Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:18

Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Handicap

Date 2026-04-02

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,716

Weather Overcast

Temp 5°C

Wind 9mph NW

Rain 0%

Winning Time 1m 40.06s (slow by 1.96s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	On The Inlet (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	5/1	Won
2nd	Booziebrunch (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · S Woods	9/2	4.5
3rd	Hardstyle (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	9/2	1.5
4th	What's The Plan (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	7/2F	.5
5th	Boy Named Sioux (IRE) David Nolan · Richard & Peter Fahey	20/1	1.5
6th	Haddiah (GB) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	16/1	0.3
7th	Ebn Sabt (GB) Jason Hart · William Muir & Chris Grassick	18/1	.75
8th	Tewkesbury (IRE) Harry Davies · Simon & Ed Crisford	9/2	6.5
9th	Folk Pageant (GB) Sean D Bowen · Charlie Johnston	11/1	2.5

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (9)	What's The Plan Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	135	h	23104-	75	80	60	162d	—	—	-1	18.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Gained his 2yo win on AW and pedigree suggests he should still have more to offer
2 (8)	Tewkesbury Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	135	h	424-2	75	82	53	21d	—	—	-1	16.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Went close in Chelmsford handicap on reappearance; bred to do better still; big player
3 (3)	Hardstyle Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	134	—	112513	74	81	72	15d	—	—	+10	23.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Record of 3-7 in handicaps; ran creditably last time; in the mix
6 (5)	Booziebrunch Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:S Woods	J:Daniel Tudhope T:S Woods	132	—	53120-	72	80	57	180d	—	—	+6	18.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Good performances in two attempts over 1m on AW; removal of blinkers presents a dilemma
9 (7)	On The Inlet Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Hollie Doyle T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	125	—	645-	65	69	58	177d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-7	8.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
May settle better this year; improvement, which is necessary, therefore looks possible
5 (6)	Folk Pageant Bay J:Sean D Bowen T:Charlie Johnston	J:Sean D Bowen T:Charlie Johnston	132	—	2-1	72	77	12	28d	—	—	+13	21.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Form of 2yo effort is strong; made all at Lingfield on reappearance; commands respect
7 (2)	Haddiah Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	130	t	54-4	70	83	47	23d	—	—	0	6.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Open to improvement now handicapping with C&D reappearance under her belt; interesting
8 (4)	Ebn Sabt Grey J:Jason Hart T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Jason Hart T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	127	b	2-3146	67	80	70	8d	—	—	+5	8.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has somewhat regressed since winning at Lingfield in first-time blinkers
4 (1)	Boy Named Sioux Brown J:David Nolan T:Richard & Peter Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard & Peter Fahey	133	h	37416-	73	76	54	136d	—	—	+10	14.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Returns to the scene of his win but needs to settle better upped in distance

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
What's The Plan	10/3	7/2	10/3
Tewkesbury	4/1	4/1	4/1
Hardstyle	5/1	5/1	5/1
Booziebrunch	11/2	11/2	11/2
On The Inlet	11/2	9/2	5/1
Folk Pageant	10/1	9/1	17/2
Haddiah	14/1	12/1	12/1
Ebn Sabt	20/1	22/1	20/1
Boy Named Sioux	22/1	20/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hardstyle

23.5

OR: 6 Form: 13.5 Odds: 4

5/1

2nd

Folk Pageant

21.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

3rd

What's The Plan

18.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 6.9 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Booziebrunch

18.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 9.4 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Tewkesbury

16.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Boy Named Sioux

14.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 7.6 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ebn Sabt

8.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

On The Inlet

8.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Haddiah

6.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
What's The Plan	75	80	60
Tewkesbury	75	82	53
Hardstyle	74	81	72
Boy Named Sioux	73	76	54
Booziebrunch	72	80	57
Folk Pageant	72	77	12
Haddiah	70	83	47
Ebn Sabt	67	80	70
On The Inlet	65	69	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ebn Sabt	8d ago	Quick return
Hardstyle	15d ago	Fit
Tewkesbury	21d ago	Fit
Haddiah	23d ago	Fit
Folk Pageant	28d ago	Fit
Boy Named Sioux	136d ago	Long break
What's The Plan	162d ago	Long break
On The Inlet	177d ago	Long break
Booziebrunch	180d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.