BetMGM Fillies' And Mares' Championships Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:25

BetMGM Fillies' And Mares' Championships Handicap

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £77,310

Weather Overcast

Temp 5.9°C

Wind 12mph S

Rain 66%

Winning Time 1m 27.23s (slow by 3.23s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Stateira (FR) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	11/8F	Won
2nd	Indigo Dream (GB) Jamie Spencer · Ross O'Sullivan	8/1	2
3rd	Brazilian Rose (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · Rebecca Menzies	25/1	1.25
4th	Carolina Jetstream (GB) Rowan Scott · Robson De Aguiar	5/1	0.3
5th	Callianassa (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Brian Ellison	13/2	1
6th	Paris Babe (FR) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	20/1	1
7th	Ziggy's Queen (IRE) Ethan Tindall · Richard & Peter Fahey	10/1	0.3
8th	Bridget's View (GB) Jason Hart · Stuart Williams	25/1	2.25
9th	Shallow (GB) Saffie Osborne · Richard Spencer	11/1	2.25
10th	Fouette (IRE) Jack Mitchell · James Horton	18/1	.5
11th	Powdering (IRE) Joanna Mason · Michael Herrington	28/1	3.25

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Stateira Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	138	—	4812-1	96	106	67	77d	—	—	-3	32.9	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Two Newcastle visits have yielded two wide-margin wins; up 10lb; needs to progress again
1 (1)	Carolina Jetstream Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Robson De Aguiar	J:Rowan Scott T:Robson De Aguiar	138	—	042-11	96	105	73	42d	—	—	+1	15.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Good record on Dundalk's AW track; back against females this time; high on the list
7 (2)	Callianassa Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Brian Ellison	J:Billy Loughnane T:Brian Ellison	126	—	103-15	84	104	84	28d	—	—	-2	12.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Three 1m wins here, latest off 2lb lower; not at best last month; back against own sex now
8 (11)	Indigo Dream Grey J:Jamie Spencer T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Jamie Spencer T:Ross O'Sullivan	124	—	2531-3	82	100	78	77d	—	—	+4	13.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Didn't have to improve to win a maiden in December; no match for Stateira last time
10 (10)	Shallow Chestnut J:Saffie Osborne T:Richard Spencer	J:Saffie Osborne T:Richard Spencer	118	—	86-256	76	103	91	44d	—	—	+2	8.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has been disappointing since York fourth last August; lowly mark but needs a revival
11 (7)	Ziggy's Queen Bay J:Ethan Tindall(5) T:Richard & Peter Fahey	J:Ethan Tindall(5) T:Richard & Peter Fahey	117	ht	1-2321	75	104	84	35d	—	—	+9	15	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Improved for 7th furlong when nabbing Powdering at Lingfield five weeks ago; considered
3 (3)	Fouette Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:James Horton	J:Jack Mitchell T:James Horton	135	—	/1165-	93	100	63	111d	—	—	+15	20.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Two 7f AW handicap wins in October; good runs in Listed company since; contender
4 (9)	Paris Babe Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	133	p	710-45	91	105	101	56d	—	—	+7	11.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Two wins in France; sold 32,000euros in February; this looks a tough stable debut
6 (6)	Brazilian Rose Bay J:Kaiya Fraser T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Rebecca Menzies	127	h	513441	85	102	78	21d	—	—	+19	22.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Four Southwell wins this year (6f/7f); up in weights and would be more appealing over 6f
5 (8)	Bridget's View Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Stuart Williams	J:Jason Hart T:Stuart Williams	129	t	/91-55	87	105	74	35d	—	—	+7	10.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Of interest on her best form and latest 5th (stable debut) was respectable; each-way shout
9 (4)	Powdering Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Herrington	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Herrington	122	—	46-692	80	103	77	35d	—	—	+5	8.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Tough 6yo who just missed out at Lingfield in February; can feature once again

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Stateira	11/8	11/8	11/8
Carolina Jetstream	5/1	5/1	5/1
Callianassa	6/1	6/1	6/1
Indigo Dream	17/2	17/2	17/2
Shallow	11/1	11/1	11/1
Ziggy's Queen	14/1	14/1	12/1
Fouette	18/1	18/1	16/1
Paris Babe	18/1	16/1	16/1
Brazilian Rose	28/1	28/1	28/1
Bridget's View	33/1	28/1	28/1
Powdering	33/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Stateira

32.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 10 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Brazilian Rose

22.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 12.9 Odds: 0.9

28/1

3rd

Fouette

20.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Carolina Jetstream

15.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Ziggy's Queen

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Indigo Dream

13.7

OR: 8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Callianassa

12.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Paris Babe

11.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Bridget's View

10.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Shallow

8.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Powdering

8.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Stateira	96	106	67
Carolina Jetstream	96	105	73
Fouette	93	100	63
Paris Babe	91	105	101
Bridget's View	87	105	74
Brazilian Rose	85	102	78
Callianassa	84	104	84
Indigo Dream	82	100	78
Powdering	80	103	77
Shallow	76	103	91
Ziggy's Queen	75	104	84

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Brazilian Rose	21d ago	Fit
Callianassa	28d ago	Fit
Ziggy's Queen	35d ago	Fit
Bridget's View	35d ago	Fit
Powdering	35d ago	Fit
Carolina Jetstream	42d ago	Fit
Shallow	44d ago	Fit
Paris Babe	56d ago	Fresh
Stateira	77d ago	Fresh
Indigo Dream	77d ago	Fresh
Fouette	111d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.