Jersey Stakes (Group 3) – Ascot

Ascot

3:05

Jersey Stakes (Group 3)

Date 2023-06-24

Distance 7f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £85,065

Runners 15

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (11)	Covey b Frankie Dettori · John & Thady Gosden	Frankie Dettori · John & Thady Gosden	129	—	2111	100	117	105	28d	—	—	+21	42.2	11/4 27%
Made all in fine style in competitive Silver Bowl Handicap; strong claims for top yard
2 (14)	The Antarctic gr Ryan Moore · A P Obrien	Ryan Moore · A P Obrien	132	—	132-31	112	119	96	34d	—	—	+6	19.5	9/2 18%
6f Group 3 winner who has strongly hinted he could be suited by 7f; firmly in calculations
7 (9)	Enfjaar b Jim Crowley · Roger Varian	Jim Crowley · Roger Varian	129	—	1-1	98	117	86	30d	—	—	+21	32.1	13/2 13%
2-2; thrust into much hotter company here but remains to be seen where his limitations lie
15 (15)	Olivia Maralda b Kevin Stott · Roger Varian	Kevin Stott · Roger Varian	126	—	129-71	109	125	101	22d	—	—	+6	18.4	5 20%
Convincing Listed winner at Epsom on Oaks day and she's one to consider
10 (2)	Holloway Boy ch Clifford Lee · K R Burke	Clifford Lee · K R Burke	129	—	2233-9	109	117	107	49d	—	—	+7	17.6	13/2 13%
Won at this meeting last year on debut; may have needed Guineas run; each-way possible
1 (13)	Mysterious Night b William Buick · Charlie Appleby	William Buick · Charlie Appleby	134	t	3311-7	110	117	86	65d	—	—	+11	16.4	18 6%
Canadian Grade 1 winner; flopped in Craven on return but gelded since & could bounce back
11 (12)	Quar Shamar ch Ronan Whelan · Mrs John Harrington	Ronan Whelan · Mrs John Harrington	129	—	0-16	104	121	60	28d	—	—	+9	15.2	14 7%
Sixth in Irish 2,000 Guineas, when hinting drop to 7f could be a good move; not ruled out
14 (7)	Zoology b Oisin Murphy · James Ferguson	Oisin Murphy · James Ferguson	129	—	17-14	93	107	83	63d	—	—	+8	11.8	28 4%
9l fourth in the soft-ground Greenham; retains potential but others are more compelling
3 (8)	Age Of Kings b Wayne Lordan · A P Obrien	Wayne Lordan · A P Obrien	129	—	1743-0	99	113	85	28d	—	—	+9	13.3	25 4%
Down the field in Irish 2,000 Guineas and 2yo form also suggests he's up against it
12 (3)	Streets Of Gold b Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	129	—	111-63	105	116	91	22d	—	—	+12	14.5	33 3%
Back to form with Listed third at Epsom but was behind two of these so has work to do
8 (4)	Flight Plan b Daniel Tudhope · K R Burke	Daniel Tudhope · K R Burke	129	—	51-20	102	114	35	49d	—	—	+11	13.9	40 3%
AW Listed second then down the field in 2,000 Guineas; chunk of improvement is needed
9 (1)	Holguin gr David Probert · Andrew Balding	David Probert · Andrew Balding	129	—	32-222	108	120	95	22d	—	—	+12	15.3	33 3%
Listed runner-up the last twice but there's a suspicion he'll find a few of these too good
13 (5)	Thunderbear b Jamie Spencer · Jack W Davison	Jamie Spencer · Jack W Davison	129	—	10-414	107	118	97	34d	—	—	+13	14.7	50 2%
Kept on for fourth at 50-1 in 6f Group 3 last time and he's not ruled out each-way
6 (10)	Empty Metaphor b Hollie Doyle · Mohammed Bin Hamad Khalifa Al Attiyah	Hollie Doyle · Mohammed Bin Hamad Khalifa Al Attiyah	129	t	46-41	86	96	70	63d	—	—	+8	9.4	100 1%
Won Limerick maiden on 4th start; sold for 70,000gns since; plenty to find on stable debut
4 (6)	Alexander John b Tom Marquand · Luke Comer	Tom Marquand · Luke Comer	129	t	36-078	88	114	51	28d	—	—	+8	9.9	150 1%
Not disgraced at 200-1 in Irish 2,000 Guineas but still soundly beaten and now 0-8

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Covey	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
The Antarctic	5	5	9/2	9/2	9/2
Enfjaar	13/2	6	6	13/2	13/2
Olivia Maralda	5	5	5	5	5
Holloway Boy	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	7
Mysterious Night	18	14	18	18	16
Quar Shamar	14	12	12	14	12
Zoology	28	22	22	22	22
Age Of Kings	25	25	22	22	22
Streets Of Gold	33	28	25	28	28
Flight Plan	40	33	28	33	40
Holguin	33	28	33	33	33
Thunderbear	50	50	50	50	50
Empty Metaphor	100	100	80	100	100
Alexander John	150	100	80	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Covey

42.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 23.5 Odds: 6.2

11/4

2nd

Enfjaar

32.1

OR: 12 Form: 17 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

The Antarctic

19.5

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Olivia Maralda

18.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Holloway Boy

17.6

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Mysterious Night

16.4

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Holguin

15.3

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Quar Shamar

15.2

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Thunderbear

14.7

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Streets Of Gold

14.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Flight Plan

13.9

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Age Of Kings

13.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Zoology

11.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Alexander John

9.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Empty Metaphor

9.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Antarctic Top Rated	112	119	96
Mysterious Night	110	117	86
Olivia Maralda	109	125	101
Holloway Boy	109	117	107
Holguin	108	120	95
Thunderbear	107	118	97
Streets Of Gold	105	116	91
Quar Shamar	104	121	60
Flight Plan	102	114	35
Covey	100	117	105
Age Of Kings	99	113	85
Enfjaar	98	117	86
Zoology	93	107	83
Alexander John	88	114	51
Empty Metaphor	86	96	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Covey	28d ago	Fit
The Antarctic	34d ago	Fit
Enfjaar	30d ago	Fit
Olivia Maralda	22d ago	Fit
Holloway Boy	49d ago	Fresh
Mysterious Night	65d ago	Fresh
Quar Shamar	28d ago	Fit
Zoology	63d ago	Fresh
Age Of Kings	28d ago	Fit
Streets Of Gold	22d ago	Fit
Flight Plan	49d ago	Fresh
Holguin	22d ago	Fit
Thunderbear	34d ago	Fit
Empty Metaphor	63d ago	Fresh
Alexander John	28d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Firm

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