Or8Wellness EBF Stallions Nursery Handicap

York

4:45

Date 2023-08-24

Distance 7f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £51,540

Runners 20

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (14)	Aragon Castle ch Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	128	t	712	86	102	92	18d	—	—	+7	26.7	7/2 22%
Going the right way and respected for leading stable that won this in 2021
6 (16)	Expert Choice b Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	127	—	221	85	101	87	23d	—	—	+19	26.9	10/1 9%
Promising, easily winning novice at Beverley latest; more to come but draw not ideal
17 (9)	Blue Collar b Andrea Atzeni · Richard Hannon	Andrea Atzeni · Richard Hannon	119	—	764	77	95	72	13d	—	—	-2	10.1	13/2 13%
Caught the eye dropped to 6f latest and open to progress back at 7f for nursery debut
4 (8)	Gushing Gold b William Buick · Andrew Balding	William Buick · Andrew Balding	129	—	2933	87	93	77	8d	—	—	+10	18.1	12 8%
Placed 3 times in novice/maiden events but opening mark demands improvement
10 (3)	Lincoln Legacy b Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	124	—	1361	82	99	67	5d	—	—	+13	26.1	11/2 15%
Back on the up with 7f Newmarket nursery win; should be competitive under penalty
1 (10)	Soldiers Gold b Richard Kingscote · Hugo Palmer	Richard Kingscote · Hugo Palmer	135	—	42117	93	95	79	23d	—	—	+21	25.6	25 4%
Not up to Goodwood Group 2 latest but ready winner of Ascot nursery prior to that
12 (19)	Matloob gr David Egan · Roger Varian	David Egan · Roger Varian	122	—	4015	80	100	69	38d	—	—	+10	16.1	16 6%
AW novice win but below that level in three turf runs; something to prove up 2f in trip
2 (1)	Balon Dor b James Doyle · Hugo Palmer	James Doyle · Hugo Palmer	131	—	132467	89	99	95	21d	—	—	+9	13.1	20 5%
Looks quite exposed and well-held seventh on 7f Goodwood nursery debut latest
8 (5)	Barg b Sam James · K R Burke	Sam James · K R Burke	124	p	3148	82	100	95	26d	—	—	+11	15.1	22 5%
Feasibly treated if cheekpieces help him recapture form of Ripon win in June
13 (6)	Gamraan ch Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	122	—	9332	80	98	87	21d	—	—	+13	17.2	25 4%
Improved second in 7f nursery at Glorious Goodwood; respected with the yard going well
19 (4)	Keep Warm b Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	114	v	65311	72	97	95	34d	—	—	+21	25	28 4%
Two 6f Pontefract wins in July; this is a rise in grade but should stay 7f; not discounted
14 (15)	Ajwadi b Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	120	—	551	78	97	84	15d	—	—	+11	19.4	12 8%
Progressive, winning 6f maiden latest; one of three solid contenders for in-form stable
15 (12)	Lexington Belle b P J McDonald · Alice Haynes	P J McDonald · Alice Haynes	120	p	63811	78	94	83	6d	—	—	+22	25.9	28 4%
Winner of two nurseries already this month but effectively 14lb higher in hat-trick bid
16 (7)	Straight A b Hayley Turner · Harry Eustace	Hayley Turner · Harry Eustace	119	—	518	77	99	61	33d	—	—	+11	14.8	25 4%
Emphatic win on second start; possibly unsuited by soft ground since; retains potential
7 (18)	Rednblue Sovereign b Pierre-Louis Jamin · Tom Dascombe	Pierre-Louis Jamin · Tom Dascombe	125	—	56231	83	95	96	21d	—	—	+18	24.6	14 7%
Fifth start when making all at Epsom (7f) latest; runner-up won on Saturday; drawn wide
9 (13)	Bigbertiebassett b Liam Keniry · Tom Dascombe	Liam Keniry · Tom Dascombe	124	—	219	82	96	90	26d	—	—	+15	18.3	33 3%
7f novice win; well held but travelled well long way in Listed latest; retains potential
3 (2)	Inishfallen b Sean Levey · Brian Meehan	Sean Levey · Brian Meehan	129	—	615	87	93	74	34d	—	—	+14	17.1	33 3%
Hard to argue he looks well treated but has advanced RPR with each start; first run at 7f
18 (17)	Dark Encounter gr Saffie Osborne · K R Burke	Saffie Osborne · K R Burke	117	—	267	75	95	74	22d	—	—	+7	9.2	40 3%
Second on debut but comfortably held twice since ahead of this switch to handicaps
11 (20)	Misemerald b Andrew Mullen · Philip Kirby	Andrew Mullen · Philip Kirby	123	—	3112	81	95	69	17d	—	—	+24	26.4	66 2%
Progressive, winning twice; outside stall could be tricky to overcome, though
20 (11)	Nelson Rose b Raul Da Silva · Adam West	Raul Da Silva · Adam West	114	h	76245	72	92	93	6d	—	—	+7	8.4	100 1%
Second in 7f maiden in July but below par twice since and outsider on nursery debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Aragon Castle	3	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Expert Choice	10	10	10	10/1	11
Blue Collar	7	11/2	13/2	13/2	7
Gushing Gold	12	10	9	11	11
Lincoln Legacy	6	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Soldiers Gold	25	18	16	16	22/1
Matloob	16	14	12	16	16
Balon Dor	20	18	16	18	18
Barg	20	22	20	22	22
Gamraan	20	22	20	22	25
Keep Warm	20	25	22	25	28
Ajwadi	12	10	10	8	11
Lexington Belle	25	25	22	28	28
Straight A	25	22	18	22	22
Rednblue Sovereign	14	11	11	12	12
Bigbertiebassett	33	33	33	33	33
Inishfallen	33	25	22	28	28
Dark Encounter	40	40	40	40	40
Misemerald	66	33	28	33	33
Nelson Rose	100	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Expert Choice

26.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 16 Odds: 2.1

10/1

2nd

Aragon Castle

26.7

OR: 9 Form: 12 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Misemerald

26.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 17.9 Odds: 0.7

Lincoln Legacy

26.1

OR: 8 Form: 14.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Lexington Belle

25.9

OR: 7 Form: 17.9 Odds: 1

Soldiers Gold

25.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.4

Keep Warm

OR: 5.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 1

Rednblue Sovereign

24.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 14.6 Odds: 1.7

Ajwadi

19.4

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

Bigbertiebassett

18.3

OR: 8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0.8

Gushing Gold

18.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 6.6 Odds: 2.2

Gamraan

17.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.1

Inishfallen

17.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.9

Matloob

16.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

Barg

15.1

OR: 8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.2

Straight A

14.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

Balon Dor

13.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Blue Collar

10.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Dark Encounter

9.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.5

Nelson Rose

8.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Soldiers Gold Top Rated	93	95	79
Balon Dor	89	99	95
Gushing Gold	87	93	77
Inishfallen	87	93	74
Aragon Castle	86	102	92
Expert Choice	85	101	87
Rednblue Sovereign	83	95	96
Lincoln Legacy	82	99	67
Barg	82	100	95
Bigbertiebassett	82	96	90
Misemerald	81	95	69
Matloob	80	100	69
Gamraan	80	98	87
Ajwadi	78	97	84
Lexington Belle	78	94	83
Blue Collar	77	95	72
Straight A	77	99	61
Dark Encounter	75	95	74
Keep Warm	72	97	95
Nelson Rose	72	92	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aragon Castle	18d ago	Fit
Expert Choice	23d ago	Fit
Blue Collar	13d ago	Quick return
Gushing Gold	8d ago	Quick return
Lincoln Legacy	5d ago	Quick return
Soldiers Gold	23d ago	Fit
Matloob	38d ago	Fit
Balon Dor	21d ago	Fit
Barg	26d ago	Fit
Gamraan	21d ago	Fit
Keep Warm	34d ago	Fit
Ajwadi	15d ago	Fit
Lexington Belle	6d ago	Quick return
Straight A	33d ago	Fit
Rednblue Sovereign	21d ago	Fit
Bigbertiebassett	26d ago	Fit
Inishfallen	34d ago	Fit
Dark Encounter	22d ago	Fit
Misemerald	17d ago	Fit
Nelson Rose	6d ago	Quick return

Going: Good To Firm

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