Bet @racingtv.com Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

8:30

Bet @racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2023-09-18

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (8)	Geelong b Tom Marquand · Paul & Oliver Cole	Tom Marquand · Paul & Oliver Cole	135	b	634325	56	69	64	25d	—	—	-4	11.5	9/2 18%
More than capable at this level but, while he can pull hard, this trip is a bare minimum
NR (14)	Frankfreya b Frederick Larson(3) · Roger Teal	Frederick Larson(3) · Roger Teal	132	—	4-9781	59	67	45	18d	—	—	-14	9.3	9/2 18%
Drawn on the outside off his 6lb higher mark but is lightly raced and may well be up to it
10 (2)	Albus Anne b Alec Voikhansky(5) · Jimmy Fox	Alec Voikhansky(5) · Jimmy Fox	131	—	7-2353	52	69	-	33d	—	—	-10	4.5	11/2 15%
Best efforts have come on soft turf (well held in five runs on the AW, all here)
13 (9)	Storm Valley b Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	130	—	543354	57	70	26	7d	—	—	-6	8.2	11/2 15%
Has the ability to win off the mark but hard to keep giving her the benefit of the doubt
1 (7)	Mitigator b Dylan Hogan · Jack Jones	Dylan Hogan · Jack Jones	138	b	37192-	59	70	-	488d	—	—	+4	16.2	13/2 13%
Now with his fourth yard returning from a lengthy absence; the market will be useful
4 (13)	Largo Bay ch George Rooke · Michael Madgwick	George Rooke · Michael Madgwick	135	v	945443	56	76	38	14d	—	—	-4	7.8	13/2 13%
Offering more on turf lately; one of the likelier winners switched to a first-time visor
12 (10)	Smart Charger b Neil Callan · Tony Carroll	Neil Callan · Tony Carroll	130	—	8-0966	57	68	-	14d	—	—	-8	5.8	13/2 13%
Good headway from some way back latest; is low mileage and that gave something to build on
6 (11)	Hildegard b Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	133	p	473345	60	69	58	17d	—	—	-1	7.3	11 9%
Maiden who's had plenty of chances in ordinary handicaps this summer; stamina to prove
9 (1)	Goodwood Vision b Kieran Shoemark · David Menuisier	Kieran Shoemark · David Menuisier	131	—	3-7744	58	69	-	14d	—	—	-1	6.2	10/1 9%
Best effort yet last time on her first crack at 1m2f; one of the more interesting runners
NR (12)	Pysanka b Finley Marsh · Mark Loughnane	Finley Marsh · Mark Loughnane	132	p	507746	53	74	48	22d	—	—	-7	3.6	14 7%
Looks worth a try over this longer trip; holds each-way claims in an open handicap
11 (4)	Delvey b Cieren Fallon · Karen Jewell	Cieren Fallon · Karen Jewell	131	—	7-0677	52	67	52	14d	—	—	-2	1.4	25 4%
Regressive maiden who was well held on turf last time; is some way down the pecking order
14 (6)	Bear Force b Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman	Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman	130	—	5-8705	57	66	25	76d	—	—	-1	2.6	28/1 3%
Four poor efforts this year and is hard to make a case for back from an 11-week break
2 (3)	Extinction b/br Minty Bloss(7) · James Ferguson	Minty Bloss(7) · James Ferguson	138	—	36046	59	66	9	41d	—	—	0	3.8	28/1 3%
The return to Polytrack and much longer trip are the two possible angles in with him
3 (5)	Seattle King b Josephine Gordon · Phil Mcentee	Josephine Gordon · Phil Mcentee	137	—	214157	58	67	-	111d	—	—	+7	9.6	50 2%
Regressed sharply last year; said to have been unsuited by firm ground when last seen

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Geelong	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	4
Frankfreya	4	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Albus Anne	11/2	5	9/2	5/1	5
Storm Valley	6	11/2	5	11/2	6
Mitigator	13/2	6	11/2	13/2	13/2
Largo Bay	13/2	6/1	11/2	13/2	13/2
Smart Charger	9/2	13/2	6	6	13/2
Hildegard	11	10	8	10/1	10
Goodwood Vision	10	10	9	10/1	10
Pysanka	14	11	11	11	11
Delvey	25	25	22	25	25
Bear Force	28	28/1	22	25	25
Extinction	28	28/1	22	25/1	25
Seattle King	50	40	33	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mitigator

16.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Geelong

11.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Seattle King

9.6

OR: 2 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6

Frankfreya

9.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7

9/2

Storm Valley

8.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 2.4 Odds: 4

11/2

Largo Bay

7.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Hildegard

7.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.4 Odds: 2.4

Goodwood Vision

6.2

OR: 2 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Smart Charger

5.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Albus Anne

4.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Extinction

3.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1

28/1

Pysanka

3.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Bear Force

2.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Delvey

1.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hildegard Top Rated	60	69	58
Frankfreya	59	67	45
Mitigator	59	70	—
Extinction	59	66	9
Goodwood Vision	58	69	—
Seattle King	58	67	—
Storm Valley	57	70	26
Smart Charger	57	68	—
Bear Force	57	66	25
Geelong	56	69	64
Largo Bay	56	76	38
Pysanka	53	74	48
Albus Anne	52	69	—
Delvey	52	67	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Geelong	25d ago	Fit
Frankfreya	18d ago	Fit
Albus Anne	33d ago	Fit
Storm Valley	7d ago	Quick return
Mitigator	488d ago	Long break
Largo Bay	14d ago	Fit
Smart Charger	14d ago	Fit
Hildegard	17d ago	Fit
Goodwood Vision	14d ago	Fit
Pysanka	22d ago	Fit
Delvey	14d ago	Fit
Bear Force	76d ago	Fresh
Extinction	41d ago	Fit
Seattle King	111d ago	Long break

Going: Standard To Slow

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