bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) – Newmarket

Newmarket

3:40

bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap)

Date 2023-09-30

Distance 1m1f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £103,080

Runners 35

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
23 (25)	Greek Order b Oisin Murphy · Harry & Roger Charlton	Oisin Murphy · Harry & Roger Charlton	121	—	32-311	95	118	87	42d	—	—	-6	18.5	9/4 31%
2-2 in handicaps and has been well backed for this race; firmly in calculations
19 (34)	Merlin The Wizard b William Buick · Harry & Roger Charlton	William Buick · Harry & Roger Charlton	122	—	-51151	96	113	104	49d	—	—	+23	32	10 10%
Stayed on well for cosy 1m win last time; this unexposed 3yo is open to further progress
12 (22)	Liberty Lane b Clifford Lee · K R Burke	Clifford Lee · K R Burke	127	—	-27041	101	114	99	14d	—	—	+18	26.1	10 10%
Rallied to win 1m handicap at Doncaster and this unexposed 3yo could have more to offer
2 (15)	Saga gr/ro Ryan Moore · John & Thady Gosden	Ryan Moore · John & Thady Gosden	137	b	04-253	106	116	90	85d	—	—	+8	16.2	12/1 8%
Two of his best runs have come in big-field handicaps; ideal scenario and interesting
25 (29)	Majestic b Benoit De La Sayette · Jack Channon	Benoit De La Sayette · Jack Channon	120	—	942404	89	118	112	51d	—	—	+6	13.2	12 8%
Won this last year; mixed form this season but clearly well suited by today's scenario
10 (1)	Oviedo b Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	129	—	-61932	103	114	100	35d	—	—	+18	25.3	12 8%
3yo with good record in handicaps, with a win and a creditable 2nd; could be thereabouts
33 (31)	Crack Shot b Georgia Dobie(3) · Ed Walker	Georgia Dobie(3) · Ed Walker	114	—	91251	88	115	90	32d	—	—	+21	26.6	14 7%
Won at Newbury last month on second handicap start and this 3yo could continue to progress
1 (35)	Astro King b Richard Kingscote · Daniel & Claire Kubler	Richard Kingscote · Daniel & Claire Kubler	138	—	0-4021	107	115	102	35d	—	—	+11	15.6	20 5%
Better than ever for new yard; up 5lb to career-high mark but could be bang there
5 (28)	Bopedro b Daniel Tudhope · David Omeara	Daniel Tudhope · David Omeara	133	—	730019	102	117	104	21d	—	—	+17	22	18 6%
Mixed form this year but Newmarket has brought out the best in him; he's one to consider
6 (32)	Haunted Dream gr Morgan Cole(5) · Ed Dunlop	Morgan Cole(5) · Ed Dunlop	133	—	102323	102	115	101	35d	—	—	+20	23.6	22 5%
Running really well in defeat in hot handicaps at about 1m2f; solid each-way contender
15 (16)	Dual Identity b Marco Ghiani · William Knight	Marco Ghiani · William Knight	126	—	745001	95	119	101	28d	—	—	+18	22.6	18 6%
Fine third in this last year and bolted up at Sandown most recently; has to be respected
9 (12)	Killybegs Warrior b James Doyle · Charlie Johnston	James Doyle · Charlie Johnston	129	—	901044	103	113	102	20d	—	—	+14	17.2	20 5%
Handicapper appears to have him about right but he likes Newmarket; not ruled out each-way
21 (19)	Terwada b Tom Marquand · Ed Walker	Tom Marquand · Ed Walker	121	—	34117	95	116	82	37d	—	—	+21	24.9	25 4%
Had been making good progress but finished well down the field in yesterday Cambridgeshire
8 (24)	Eagles Way ch Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	130	—	11-274	99	114	97	28d	—	—	+10	13.1	25 4%
Not helped by wide draw when fourth at Sandown latest; could still be capable of better
14 (18)	Paradias b Rossa Ryan · Alan King	Rossa Ryan · Alan King	126	—	-21545	95	116	107	36d	—	—	+13	16	33 3%
Narrow win at Sandown in June; has run pretty well since but improvement is needed here
17 (4)	Dutch Decoy ch Neil Callan · Charlie Johnston	Neil Callan · Charlie Johnston	124	—	231360	93	115	108	14d	—	—	+13	16.8	28 4%
String of good runs before recent blip at Doncaster and he's not written off
16 (9)	Stay Well b Kieran Shoemark · Hughie Morrison	Kieran Shoemark · Hughie Morrison	124	—	830043	93	115	102	28d	—	—	+13	14.9	50 2%
Solid efforts off this mark the last twice but others are more compelling
31 (20)	Zozimus b Aiden Brookes(5) · David Omeara	Aiden Brookes(5) · David Omeara	115	v	345622	84	117	112	21d	—	—	+15	17.7	40 3%
Modest strike-rate but in good form in this visor and he's not ruled out each-way
20 (11)	Storm Catcher b Shane Foley · Simon Pearce	Shane Foley · Simon Pearce	122	—	147231	91	113	87	30d	—	—	+23	25.4	50 2%
Steadily progressive and won last time (1m2f, AW) but this rise in grade may find him out
11 (6)	Akhu Najla b David Egan · Roger Varian	David Egan · Roger Varian	127	b	138-40	96	115	76	37d	—	—	+10	12.2	50 2%
Promising comeback at Ascot; failed to build on it at York but of interest now up in trip
27 (13)	Faylaq b William Pyle(5) · Jim Goldie	William Pyle(5) · Jim Goldie	117	—	233033	86	116	95	23d	—	—	+14	16.2	50 2%
Some good runs this year over 1m3f-2m but losing sequence goes back to September 2019
29 (27)	Carolus Magnus b James Sullivan · Michael & David Easterby	James Sullivan · Michael & David Easterby	116	t	0-6959	85	113	33	23d	—	—	+7	9.3	66 2%
Hint of spark last month but well beaten since; back to having something to prove
22 (30)	Arqoob b Kaiya Fraser(5) · William Jarvis	Kaiya Fraser(5) · William Jarvis	121	—	430-53	90	114	98	34d	—	—	+8	10.6	66 2%
On a handy mark; two solid runs last month but more pressing cases can be made for others
NR (33)	Botas br NON-RUNNER · Jim Boyle	NON-RUNNER · Jim Boyle	114	—	329144	83	112	-	4d	—	—	+13	14.6	66 2%
In good form but 4lb out of the handicap in this hotter race and likely to come up short
3 (14)	Tyrrhenian Sea gr Aidan Keeley(3) · Roger Varian	Aidan Keeley(3) · Roger Varian	136	—	350-27	105	114	105	182d	—	—	+12	14.3	66 2%
On a competitive mark but off since April and this is a very tough comeback assignment
26 (2)	Bluelight Bay b Saffie Osborne · Eve Johnson Houghton	Saffie Osborne · Eve Johnson Houghton	119	—	061924	93	113	95	22d	—	—	+16	17.8	66 2%
Not obviously ahead of his mark but the strong pace and extra 1f could both be positives
13 (26)	Eilean Dubh b Jack Kearney(5) · K R Burke	Jack Kearney(5) · K R Burke	126	t	031308	95	115	98	37d	—	—	+15	16.8	80 1%
Won six-runner handicap at Hamilton in July but looks vulnerable in this red-hot race
24 (8)	Thunder Ball ch Mohammed Tabti(5) · Paul & Oliver Cole	Mohammed Tabti(5) · Paul & Oliver Cole	121	—	-01462	95	114	77	34d	—	—	+18	19.6	100 1%
Displayed some strong handicap form this year; no surprise to see bold bid from this 3yo
4 (23)	Major Partnership gr Pat Dobbs · Saeed Bin Suroor	Pat Dobbs · Saeed Bin Suroor	133	t	581627	102	115	98	22d	—	—	+18	19.9	100 1%
Some good runs this year but others may be better treated and he was below par last time
7 (5)	Epic Poet b George Wood · Freddie & Martyn Meade	George Wood · Freddie & Martyn Meade	132	—	322-67	101	114	84	57d	—	—	+12	13.1	100 1%
French Listed winner but well beaten this year on his two British starts; has been gelded
30 (7)	Geremia b George Rooke · Jim Goldie	George Rooke · Jim Goldie	115	—	361560	84	115	108	36d	—	—	+10	11.9	150 1%
Two wins this year but they were over 1m5f and he ran poorly at Hamilton (1m4f) last time
28 (21)	Thundering b Jimmy Quinn · Kevin Ryan	Jimmy Quinn · Kevin Ryan	117	—	504701	86	113	74	9d	—	—	+18	19.4	150 1%
Back to winning ways at Ayr recently but could be vulnerable in this much stronger race
18 (3)	Graignes b Charles Bishop · George Baker	Charles Bishop · George Baker	123	ht	411232	92	114	92	17d	—	—	+24	25.5	150 1%
Rejuvenated this year and remains well treated on 2020 form, but more needed in hot race
34 (10)	Wildfell ch J F Egan · Peter Chapple-Hyam	J F Egan · Peter Chapple-Hyam	114	—	111627	88	113	90	16d	—	—	+17	18.4	150 1%
Prolific earlier in year and retains potential; 4lb out of the handicap in this hot race
32 (17)	Sayf Al Dawla b G Cheyne · Peter Chapple-Hyam	G Cheyne · Peter Chapple-Hyam	114	—	133/16	83	114	103	8d	—	—	+7	8.6	150 1%
Won in July when back from a long absence but only sixth of seven at Newbury last Friday

Horse	bet365
Greek Order	9/4
Merlin The Wizard	10
Liberty Lane	10
Saga	12/1
Majestic	12
Oviedo	12
Crack Shot	14
Astro King	20
Bopedro	18
Haunted Dream	22
Dual Identity	18
Killybegs Warrior	20
Terwada	25
Eagles Way	25
Paradias	33
Dutch Decoy	28
Stay Well	50
Zozimus	40
Storm Catcher	50
Akhu Najla	50
Faylaq	50
Carolus Magnus	66
Arqoob	66
Botas	66
Tyrrhenian Sea	66
Bluelight Bay	66
Eilean Dubh	80
Thunder Ball	100
Major Partnership	100
Epic Poet	100
Geremia	150
Thundering	150
Graignes	150
Wildfell	150
Sayf Al Dawla	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Merlin The Wizard

OR: 11.5 Form: 18 Odds: 2.5

2nd

Crack Shot

26.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 15.5 Odds: 1.6

3rd

Liberty Lane

26.1

OR: 12.8 Form: 11 Odds: 2.4

Graignes

25.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 14.6 Odds: 0.4

150

Storm Catcher

25.4

OR: 10.3 Form: 14.6 Odds: 0.6

Oviedo

25.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 10.1 Odds: 1.9

Terwada

24.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 12.6 Odds: 1.1

Haunted Dream

23.6

OR: 13 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.1

Dual Identity

22.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

Bopedro

OR: 13 Form: 7.6 Odds: 1.4

Major Partnership

19.9

OR: 13 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.4

100

Thunder Ball

19.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 8 Odds: 0.4

100

Thundering

19.4

OR: 9 Form: 10 Odds: 0.4

150

Greek Order

18.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

9/4

Wildfell

18.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.4

150

Bluelight Bay

17.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.6

Zozimus

17.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.7

Killybegs Warrior

17.2

OR: 13.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1

Dutch Decoy

16.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1

Eilean Dubh

16.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0.5

Saga

16.2

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Faylaq

16.2

OR: 9 Form: 6.6 Odds: 0.6

Paradias

OR: 11.3 Form: 4 Odds: 0.8

Astro King

15.6

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Stay Well

14.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.6

Botas

14.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 6 Odds: 0.4

Tyrrhenian Sea

14.3

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Majestic

13.2

OR: 9.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9

Eagles Way

13.1

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Epic Poet

13.1

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Akhu Najla

12.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Geremia

11.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4

150

Arqoob

10.6

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Carolus Magnus

9.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Sayf Al Dawla

8.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Astro King Top Rated	107	115	102
Saga	106	116	90
Tyrrhenian Sea	105	114	105
Oviedo	103	114	100
Killybegs Warrior	103	113	102
Bopedro	102	117	104
Haunted Dream	102	115	101
Major Partnership	102	115	98
Liberty Lane	101	114	99
Epic Poet	101	114	84
Eagles Way	99	114	97
Merlin The Wizard	96	113	104
Akhu Najla	96	115	76
Greek Order	95	118	87
Dual Identity	95	119	101
Terwada	95	116	82
Paradias	95	116	107
Eilean Dubh	95	115	98
Thunder Ball	95	114	77
Dutch Decoy	93	115	108
Stay Well	93	115	102
Bluelight Bay	93	113	95
Graignes	92	114	92
Storm Catcher	91	113	87
Arqoob	90	114	98
Majestic	89	118	112
Crack Shot	88	115	90
Wildfell	88	113	90
Faylaq	86	116	95
Thundering	86	113	74
Carolus Magnus	85	113	33
Zozimus	84	117	112
Geremia	84	115	108
Botas	83	112	—
Sayf Al Dawla	83	114	103

Course & Distance Record

Horse	Course (Newmarket)	Distance (1m1f)
Greek Order	—	—
Merlin The Wizard	—	—
Liberty Lane	—	—
Saga	—	—
Majestic	—	—
Oviedo	—	—
Crack Shot	—	—
Astro King	—	—
Bopedro	—	—
Haunted Dream	—	—
Dual Identity	—	—
Killybegs Warrior	—	—
Terwada	—	—
Eagles Way	—	—
Paradias	—	—
Dutch Decoy	—	—
Stay Well	—	—
Zozimus	—	—
Storm Catcher	—	—
Akhu Najla	—	—
Faylaq	—	—
Carolus Magnus	—	—
Arqoob	—	—
Botas	—	—
Tyrrhenian Sea	—	—
Bluelight Bay	—	—
Eilean Dubh	—	—
Thunder Ball	—	—
Major Partnership	—	—
Epic Poet	—	—
Geremia	—	—
Thundering	—	—
Graignes	—	—
Wildfell	—	—
Sayf Al Dawla	—	—

Freshness

Horse	Days Since Last Run	Status
Greek Order	42d ago	Fit
Merlin The Wizard	49d ago	Fresh
Liberty Lane	14d ago	Fit
Saga	85d ago	Fresh
Majestic	51d ago	Fresh
Oviedo	35d ago	Fit
Crack Shot	32d ago	Fit
Astro King	35d ago	Fit
Bopedro	21d ago	Fit
Haunted Dream	35d ago	Fit
Dual Identity	28d ago	Fit
Killybegs Warrior	20d ago	Fit
Terwada	37d ago	Fit
Eagles Way	28d ago	Fit
Paradias	36d ago	Fit
Dutch Decoy	14d ago	Fit
Stay Well	28d ago	Fit
Zozimus	21d ago	Fit
Storm Catcher	30d ago	Fit
Akhu Najla	37d ago	Fit
Faylaq	23d ago	Fit
Carolus Magnus	23d ago	Fit
Arqoob	34d ago	Fit
Botas	4d ago	Quick return
Tyrrhenian Sea	182d ago	Long break
Bluelight Bay	22d ago	Fit
Eilean Dubh	37d ago	Fit
Thunder Ball	34d ago	Fit
Major Partnership	22d ago	Fit
Epic Poet	57d ago	Fresh
Geremia	36d ago	Fit
Thundering	9d ago	Quick return
Graignes	17d ago	Fit
Wildfell	16d ago	Fit
Sayf Al Dawla	8d ago	Quick return

Going: Good To Firm

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