BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

4:55

BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap

Date 2023-10-17

Distance 1m4f99y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £13,190

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (1)	Military March b Oisin Murphy · Saeed Bin Suroor	Oisin Murphy · Saeed Bin Suroor	144	—	1/4/8/	107	111	-	999d	—	—	+5	25.4	10/3 23%
Has a touch of class (fourth in the 2020 2,000 Guineas) but not seen in almost three years
2 (12)	Haunted Dream gr Daniel Muscutt · Ed Dunlop	Daniel Muscutt · Ed Dunlop	138	—	023238	101	110	-	17d	—	—	+7	24.3	9/2 18%
Has a much better strike-rate on the AW (4-6) than turf (1-16) and needs considering
7 (11)	Valsad b Paul Mulrennan · Harry & Roger Charlton	Paul Mulrennan · Harry & Roger Charlton	128	—	3-6217	91	109	52	24d	—	—	+5	15.2	15/2 12%
Heavy ground against him latest; best judged on previous Tapeta win; should fare better
6 (5)	Omniscient b Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	1-7876	91	113	103	45d	—	—	+9	20.3	13/2 13%
String of excuses for defeats this time round and should do better back on Tapeta
8 (4)	Onesmoothoperator br Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	127	—	349727	90	108	59	34d	—	—	+5	16.8	6 17%
Will always need some luck, which he didn't get behind Valsad last time; ought to go well
10 (2)	Capital Theory b Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	125	—	527301	88	109	76	24d	—	—	+17	24.1	10 10%
Good record in AW handicaps; 4lb rise for recent turf win sees him up to career-high mark
5 (3)	Woottonsun b David Nolan · Richard Fahey	David Nolan · Richard Fahey	131	—	232120	94	110	-	53d	—	—	+17	23.3	12/1 8%
Said to have run flat last time; will need a career best on just his second AW start
3 (6)	Blanchland b Ben Curtis · Jane Chapple-Hyam	Ben Curtis · Jane Chapple-Hyam	135	—	212-86	104	103	-	18d	—	—	+10	14.7	20 5%
Struggled badly in two runs this year and has plenty to prove
9 (9)	Southern Voyage b Daniel Tudhope · Richard Fahey	Daniel Tudhope · Richard Fahey	125	—	8401-0	88	110	-	31d	—	—	+6	10.9	25 4%
Entitled to have needed his recent comeback from a year off for new yard; can do better
12 (10)	Wynter Wildes b Mikkel Mortensen(7) · Charlie Fellowes	Mikkel Mortensen(7) · Charlie Fellowes	123	p	171591	86	106	83	27d	—	—	+20	22.9	33 3%
3-3 under Mikkel Mortensen; this is tougher from 4lb wrong but shouldn't be underestimated
11 (8)	Sir Chauvelin b Sam James · Jim Goldie	Sam James · Jim Goldie	123	—	850914	86	110	101	24d	—	—	+13	17	28/1 3%
Three-time C&D winner who stays further; not as good as he was but he is about to turn 12
4 (7)	Stowell b Hollie Doyle · Alan King	Hollie Doyle · Alan King	135	—	639-97	98	100	-	45d	—	—	+10	12.7	33 3%
Finished last back from a break five weeks ago and it's hard to build up much enthusiasm

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Military March	3	3/1	10/3	3/1	11/4
Haunted Dream	4	4	9/2	4	4
Valsad	15/2	13/2	7	7	7
Omniscient	7	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Onesmoothoperator	6	6	6	6	6
Capital Theory	10	10	10	10	10
Woottonsun	12	11	12/1	12/1	12
Blanchland	20	18	20	18	16
Southern Voyage	25	22	22	22	25
Wynter Wildes	33	28	22	28	28/1
Sir Chauvelin	25	28/1	20	25	25
Stowell	33	33	28	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Military March

25.4

OR: 14.3 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Haunted Dream

24.3

OR: 12.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Capital Theory

24.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.1

Woottonsun

23.3

OR: 11 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Wynter Wildes

22.9

OR: 9 Form: 13 Odds: 0.9

Omniscient

20.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Sir Chauvelin

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 1

28/1

Onesmoothoperator

16.8

OR: 10 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

Valsad

15.2

OR: 10.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Blanchland

14.7

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Stowell

12.7

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Southern Voyage

10.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Military March Top Rated	107	111	—
Blanchland	104	103	—
Haunted Dream	101	110	—
Stowell	98	100	—
Woottonsun	94	110	—
Valsad	91	109	52
Omniscient	91	113	103
Onesmoothoperator	90	108	59
Capital Theory	88	109	76
Southern Voyage	88	110	—
Wynter Wildes	86	106	83
Sir Chauvelin	86	110	101

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Military March	999d ago	Long break
Haunted Dream	17d ago	Fit
Valsad	24d ago	Fit
Omniscient	45d ago	Fit
Onesmoothoperator	34d ago	Fit
Capital Theory	24d ago	Fit
Woottonsun	53d ago	Fresh
Blanchland	18d ago	Fit
Southern Voyage	31d ago	Fit
Wynter Wildes	27d ago	Fit
Sir Chauvelin	24d ago	Fit
Stowell	45d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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