Mayo Wynne Baxter Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) – Plumpton

Plumpton

1:15

Mayo Wynne Baxter Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2024-01-16

Distance 2m4f114y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3	Bob Bob Ricard b Richie McLernon · Jonjo O'Neill	Richie McLernon · Jonjo O'Neill	156	—	/32-25	-	122	103	25d	—	—	-29	14.2	11/10 48%
Final-flight error cost him on hurdle debut; good form at Ascot, racing freely in blinkers
1	Canty Bay b Tom Bellamy · Emma Lavelle	Tom Bellamy · Emma Lavelle	163	—	/86-1F	115	116	75	28d	—	—	-4	25.1	2/1 33%
Won 2m3f maiden at Taunton; in serious contention when falling two out at Wincanton
2	Doc McCoy ch Gavin Sheehan · Jamie Snowden	Gavin Sheehan · Jamie Snowden	163	—	332-14	116	112	83	53d	—	—	+1	23.2	3/1 25%
Excellent place chance but he apparently needs a bit better to take this
7	Just One Surf b Harry Cobden · Warren Greatrex	Harry Cobden · Warren Greatrex	156	—	3-235	-	82	59	21d	—	—	-3	4.2	10/1 9%
Placed in Irish points; work to do after Market Rasen bumper and Fontwell novice hurdle
6	Defi Nonantais b Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	156	—	3-8	-	103	59	64d	—	—	-2	3.7	16/1 6%
Third in an Irish point in the mud; 18-1, no show in novice hurdle at Kempton (2m5f, good)
11	Supreme Commander b Lorcan Murtagh · Syd Hosie	Lorcan Murtagh · Syd Hosie	156	—	2P/7	-	89	73	60d	—	—	-18	7.7	25/1 4%
Tailed off in novice hurdle (2m5f, good to soft; 150-1) but that was a Cheltenham Grade 2
4	Captain Howse b Marc Goldstein · Karen Jewell	Marc Goldstein · Karen Jewell	156	—	—	-	-	-	29d	—	—	-1	0.4	100/1 1%
Modest Flat form for Sir Mark Prescott; tailed off both runs (one Flat) for new yard
5	D'Ambonnay b Harry Reed · Camilla Poulton	Harry Reed · Camilla Poulton	156	—	0/088	-	62	29	29d	—	—	0	0.2	200/1 0%
Triple-figure odds for two bumpers and two hurdle races and has failed to achieve much
8	No More No gr Fergus Gregory · Lawney Hill	Fergus Gregory · Lawney Hill	156	t	P-7UP5	-	71	49	9d	—	—	0	0.2	200/1 0%
Hard to fancy judged on his two points and three hurdle races
9	Rum Cove ch Niall Houlihan · Nick Gifford	Niall Houlihan · Nick Gifford	156	—	0P	-	-	-	34d	—	—	-1	0.4	200/1 0%
Always behind in a bumper and pulled up in a 2m5f novice hurdle, both at Exeter
10	Simon The Seagull b Tabitha Worsley(3) · Diana Grissell	Tabitha Worsley(3) · Diana Grissell	156	—	—	-	-	-	36d	—	—	0	0.2	200/1 0%
100-1, remote in the extreme in bumper at Lingfield (1m, AW)
12	Vintage Icon b Caoilin Quinn(3) · Andy Irvine	Caoilin Quinn(3) · Andy Irvine	156	h	07-009	-	67	-	29d	—	—	-2	0.6	200/1 0%
Well beaten in three bumpers and tailed off in two hurdle races; hooded over C&D latest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bob Bob Ricard	11/10	11/10	11/10	evn	11/10
Canty Bay	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Doc McCoy	11/4	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1
Just One Surf	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Defi Nonantais	16/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Supreme Commander	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Captain Howse	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
D'Ambonnay	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
No More No	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Rum Cove	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Simon The Seagull	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Vintage Icon	200/1	100/1	33/1	80/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Canty Bay

25.1

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Doc McCoy

23.2

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Bob Bob Ricard

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 14.2

11/10

Supreme Commander

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.7

25/1

Just One Surf

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Defi Nonantais

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Vintage Icon

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

200/1

Captain Howse

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Rum Cove

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200/1

D'Ambonnay

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

No More No

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Simon The Seagull

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Doc McCoy Top Rated	116	112	83
Canty Bay	115	116	75
Bob Bob Ricard	—	122	103
Just One Surf	—	82	59
Defi Nonantais	—	103	59
Supreme Commander	—	89	73
Captain Howse	—	—	—
D'Ambonnay	—	62	29
No More No	—	71	49
Rum Cove	—	—	—
Simon The Seagull	—	—	—
Vintage Icon	—	67	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bob Bob Ricard	25d ago	Fit
Canty Bay	28d ago	Fit
Doc McCoy	53d ago	Fresh
Just One Surf	21d ago	Fit
Defi Nonantais	64d ago	Fresh
Supreme Commander	60d ago	Fresh
Captain Howse	29d ago	Fit
D'Ambonnay	29d ago	Fit
No More No	9d ago	Quick return
Rum Cove	34d ago	Fit
Simon The Seagull	36d ago	Fit
Vintage Icon	29d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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