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Ludlow

4:40

Farm & Garden Machinery Novices' Handicap Chase

Date 2024-02-21
Distance 1m7f212y
Class Class 5
Going Soft
Type Chase
Surface Turf
Age Band 5yo+
Prize £4,753
Runners 11

Runners

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
7
Harry Kimber(3) · Robert Walford 147 p 633-13
79
101
88
 30d — — -5
12.3
7/2
22%
Has taken well to fences, winning at Fontwell then third at Plumpton; enters calculations
2
Tom Bellamy · Matt Sheppard 166 — 512313
98
106
96
 14d — — +14
32.2
10/3
23%
Form figures since November read 12313; ran well in higher grade over C&D most recently
3
Theo Gillard · Donald McCain 163 t 43-441
95
110
97
 55d — — +2
14.9
5/1
17%
Opened his rules account at Catterick eight weeks ago; may build on that success
1
Gavin Sheehan · Evan Williams 168 p 3/3-UP
100
104
-
 37d — — +8
19.2
6/1
14%
Currently hard to assess but first-time cheekpieces may have positive effect
4
Charlie Deutsch · Venetia Williams 155 — P4-68U
87
-
-
 20d — — +2
11.9
7/1
13%
Well held when unseating rider two out at Ffos Las (11-2 for chase debut) last month
10
James Davies · Henry Oliver 142 — 47-46P
74
96
80
 48d — — 0
8.4
8/1
11%
Has not improved over fences but is seemingly thought capable of better
5
Sam Twiston-Davies · Polly Gundry 154 — 3/4/0P
86
-
-
 40d — — +7
11.9
14/1
7%
Lightly raced; has achieved nothing in two runs (hurdle/chase) for new stable
9
Brendan Powell · Sheila Lewis 142 — P605P5
74
105
74
 14d — — +4
6.8
25/1
4%
Inconsistent maiden; achieved nothing of value here the last twice
8
Connor Brace · David Brace 145 h -9PP6U
77
-
-
 20d — — +4
7.6
22/1
4%
11
Shane Quinlan(3) · Nikki Evans 142 tp 704966
74
98
-
 77d — — +5
6.5
40/1
2%
Maiden under rules; holds weak claims on this season's hurdles form
NR
NON-RUNNER · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 149 — 44-P3
83
-
-
 60d — — —
8.3
—
Solid third, behind subsequent scorers, at Newcastle on the switch to fences; interesting
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Gorcombe Moonshine
 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2
Famoso
 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3
Guillaume
 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1
Mister Marbles
 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1
Icarat
 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1
Key Factor
 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1
Lustleigh
 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
Beannaigh Do
 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1
Thatza Dazzler
 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1
Dancing Dani
 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Famoso
32.2
OR: 12 Form: 15 Odds: 5.2
10/3
2nd Mister Marbles
19.2
OR: 12.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.1
6/1
3rd Guillaume
14.9
OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6
5/1
4 Gorcombe Moonshine
12.3
OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5
7/2
5 Icarat
11.9
OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
7/1
6 Lustleigh
11.9
OR: 9 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4
14/1
7 Key Factor
8.4
OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4
8/1
8 Tropical Talent
8.3
OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
—
9 Thatza Dazzler
7.6
OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
22/1
10 Beannaigh Do
6.8
OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
25/1
11 Dancing Dani
6.5
OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
40/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Mister Marbles Top Rated
100
104
 —
Famoso
98
106
96
Guillaume
95
110
97
Icarat
87
 — —
Lustleigh
86
 — —
Tropical Talent
83
 — —
Gorcombe Moonshine
79
101
88
Thatza Dazzler
77
 — —
Key Factor
74
96
80
Beannaigh Do
74
105
74
Dancing Dani
74
98
 —

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Gorcombe Moonshine 30d ago Fit
Famoso 14d ago Fit
Guillaume 55d ago Fresh
Mister Marbles 37d ago Fit
Icarat 20d ago Fit
Key Factor 48d ago Fresh
Lustleigh 40d ago Fit
Beannaigh Do 14d ago Fit
Thatza Dazzler 20d ago Fit
Dancing Dani 77d ago Fresh
Tropical Talent 60d ago Fresh

Going: Soft

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