bet365 Handicap (Div II) – Brighton

Brighton

6:45

bet365 Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-04-20

Distance 1m1f207y

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (4)	Chinthurst ch Pat Cosgrave · Jim Boyle	Pat Cosgrave · Jim Boyle	137	—	8322-5	54	65	41	15d	—	—	-18	9.4	15/8 35%
Runner-up in all three runs here; his recent AW return was quite eyecatching
3 (7)	Velvet Vulcan b Kevin Stott · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	Kevin Stott · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	135	tp	-24172	52	63	-	15d	—	—	-3	17.7	11/4 27%
AW winner and 2nd last time; chance if transferring that form on this turf debut
7 (8)	Gilbert b Ethan Jones(7) · Adam West	Ethan Jones(7) · Adam West	131	tp	2362-8	48	63	57	15d	—	—	-8	3.1	6/1 14%
Course winner with each-way claims but his good days are hard to predict
2 (12)	Total Lockdown b Billy Loughnane · Martin Dunne	Billy Loughnane · Martin Dunne	136	h	8-8494	53	66	66	30d	—	—	-7	3.8	6/1 14%
Has form claims but can be slowly away and is probably not one to trust
6 (11)	Barbarosa br Jack Mitchell · Clare Hobson	Jack Mitchell · Clare Hobson	132	ht	/31988	49	64	-	7d	—	—	0	4.8	16/1 6%
Classified winner for this yard but has found life a lot tougher in handicaps
8 (3)	Jimmy Mark b William Cox · Stuart Kittow	William Cox · Stuart Kittow	131	—	55145-	48	63	50	180d	—	—	+2	6.2	16/1 6%
Both wins at Bath over this far; could have a say if relatively straight after his break
5 (10)	Forever Proud b Aidan Keeley(3) · Mark Hoad	Aidan Keeley(3) · Mark Hoad	133	—	7-3136	50	62	57	45d	—	—	-3	1	20/1 5%
Consistent over this far on the AW this winter and has comparable form on turf
10 (6)	Naadyaa b Alice Bond(7) · Alexandra Dunn	Alice Bond(7) · Alexandra Dunn	129	—	-24038	46	63	54	18d	—	—	+1	4	22/1 4%
Has some placed form to her name this year but she's a longstanding maiden
12 (1)	Beau Geste b Jack Doughty(7) · Tony Carroll	Jack Doughty(7) · Tony Carroll	129	—	07-068	46	55	-	32d	—	—	-2	0.9	22/1 4%
Has plenty of form around here but this exposed 8yo has been struggling for a while
9 (2)	Bbob Alula ch William Carson · Bill Turner	William Carson · Bill Turner	129	tv	65463-	46	59	35	198d	—	—	+1	3.7	28/1 3%
Never won over this far but was a closing third at Lingfield when last seen
11 (5)	Irezumi b Charlie Bennett · Jim Boyle	Charlie Bennett · Jim Boyle	129	b	7607-0	46	58	32	15d	—	—	-2	0.6	40/1 2%
Shown occasional promise but was tailed off on the AW two weeks ago after a lengthy break
NR (9)	Roman Tempest b Harry Davies · Simon Dow	Harry Davies · Simon Dow	135	—	73501-	52	60	25	184d	—	—	—	11.4	—
He won with a good bit to spare over C&D (soft) when last seen in October

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Chinthurst	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
Velvet Vulcan	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Gilbert	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Total Lockdown	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Barbarosa	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Jimmy Mark	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Forever Proud	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Naadyaa	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Beau Geste	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Bbob Alula	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Irezumi	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Velvet Vulcan

17.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 11 Odds: 6.2

11/4

2nd

Roman Tempest

11.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 10.9 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Chinthurst

9.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

15/8

Jimmy Mark

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Barbarosa

4.8

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Naadyaa

OR: 0 Form: 3.1 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Total Lockdown

3.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Bbob Alula

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Gilbert

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Forever Proud

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Beau Geste

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Irezumi

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Chinthurst Top Rated	54	65	41
Total Lockdown	53	66	66
Velvet Vulcan	52	63	—
Roman Tempest	52	60	25
Forever Proud	50	62	57
Barbarosa	49	64	—
Gilbert	48	63	57
Jimmy Mark	48	63	50
Naadyaa	46	63	54
Beau Geste	46	55	—
Bbob Alula	46	59	35
Irezumi	46	58	32

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Chinthurst	15d ago	Fit
Velvet Vulcan	15d ago	Fit
Gilbert	15d ago	Fit
Total Lockdown	30d ago	Fit
Barbarosa	7d ago	Quick return
Jimmy Mark	180d ago	Long break
Forever Proud	45d ago	Fit
Naadyaa	18d ago	Fit
Beau Geste	32d ago	Fit
Bbob Alula	198d ago	Long break
Irezumi	15d ago	Fit
Roman Tempest	184d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Gilbert	Prominent
Total Lockdown	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Going: Good

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