Prestige Safety Fire Risk Assessments 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (Arc Summer Novices Brush) (GBB)

Southwell

4:20

Date 2024-06-04

Distance 2m4f88y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,193

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Backmersackme ch Richie McLernon · Emmet Mullins	Richie McLernon · Emmet Mullins	158	—	/11-66	-	136	97	20d	—	—	-37	20	4/7 64%
Ran in a Grade 1 before running too bad to be true at Tramore; should be winning this
4	Hell Hound br Jonathan Burke · Neil Mulholland	Jonathan Burke · Neil Mulholland	158	t	2/01-	-	-	-	41d	—	—	-16	11.9	2/1 33%
Came home best at Ludlow and the second had shown plenty of promise beforehand
6	Skyjack Hijack b Sean Quinlan · Jennie Candlish	Sean Quinlan · Jennie Candlish	158	—	3/7-	-	94	67	219d	—	—	-4	4.6	10/1 9%
Made no impact when 50-1 for a good maiden hurdle at Aintree in October
12	Traditude Tara b James Bowen · Peter & Michael Bowen	James Bowen · Peter & Michael Bowen	151	—	207-	-	-	-	238d	—	—	-1	3.7	22/1 4%
0-3 for Willie Mullins and sold on for 8,000euros; a watching brief seems best
2	Fiftyfifty br Kevin Brogan · Laura Horsfall	Kevin Brogan · Laura Horsfall	158	t	0P44-3	-	-	-	—	—	—	+1	3.6	50/1 2%
Well beaten in two bumpers before running to a modest level in four points
10	Line Out b Adam Wedge · L J Morgan	Adam Wedge · L J Morgan	152	—	P6-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	50/1 2%
Beaten 20l on the occasion he did complete in points; no appeal for now
9	Kauto Castillo b Sean Bowen · Martin Keighley	Sean Bowen · Martin Keighley	152	—	P7-	-	-	-	39d	—	—	-1	0.4	80/1 1%
Pulled up and tailed off in his first two runs over hurdles and didn't jump well
8	Tumble Tumbleweed b William Shanahan(5) · Jennie Candlish	William Shanahan(5) · Jennie Candlish	158	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	100/1 1%
4,000euros 3yo; third foal; half-brother to point/2m6f chase winner O Mio Babbino
7	Timetotalk b Nathan Moscrop · Fionn McSharry	Nathan Moscrop · Fionn McSharry	158	—	43750/	87	-	-	526d	—	—	+9	10.7	100/1 1%
Exposed maiden with a BHA mark of 87 and makes no real appeal back in a maiden
11	My Dream gr James Best · Sarah Humphrey	James Best · Sarah Humphrey	151	—	94/P	-	-	-	26d	—	—	-1	0.2	200/1 0%
Minor bumper form for Tim Vaughan and was pulled up on stable/hurdle debut (150-1)
3	Glen Road br Nick Scholfield · Sue Smith	Nick Scholfield · Sue Smith	158	—	98-P6	-	-	-	12d	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Has shown very little in his four runs to date, two of those over hurdles
NR	Noble Cave b Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo & A J O'Neill	Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo & A J O'Neill	158	p	P-	-	-	-	40d	—	—	—	0	—
Only 13-2 for a Warwick maiden but was never going well or jumping well
NR	Kuma Beach b Harry Reed · L J Morgan	Harry Reed · L J Morgan	145	—	7-86	-	96	46	13d	—	—	—	0	—
Beaten 15l in a maiden here in May but tailed off on either side of that

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Backmersackme	1/2	4/7	1/2	8/15	1/2
Hell Hound	2/1	2/1	15/8	2/1	15/8
Skyjack Hijack	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Traditude Tara	20/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	18/1
Fiftyfifty	40/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1
Line Out	33/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Kauto Castillo	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Tumble Tumbleweed	100/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Timetotalk	100/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	40/1
My Dream	200/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Glen Road	150/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Backmersackme

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

4/7

2nd

Hell Hound

11.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 8.4

2/1

3rd

Timetotalk

10.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.6

100/1

Skyjack Hijack

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Traditude Tara

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Fiftyfifty

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Line Out

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Kauto Castillo

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Tumble Tumbleweed

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

My Dream

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Glen Road

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Noble Cave

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Kuma Beach

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Timetotalk Top Rated	87	—	—
Backmersackme	—	136	97
Hell Hound	—	—	—
Skyjack Hijack	—	94	67
Traditude Tara	—	—	—
Fiftyfifty	—	—	—
Line Out	—	—	—
Kauto Castillo	—	—	—
Tumble Tumbleweed	—	—	—
My Dream	—	—	—
Glen Road	—	—	—
Noble Cave	—	—	—
Kuma Beach	—	96	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Backmersackme	20d ago	Fit
Hell Hound	41d ago	Fit
Skyjack Hijack	219d ago	Long break
Traditude Tara	238d ago	Long break
Fiftyfifty	—	—
Line Out	—	—
Kauto Castillo	39d ago	Fit
Tumble Tumbleweed	—	—
Timetotalk	526d ago	Long break
My Dream	26d ago	Fit
Glen Road	12d ago	Quick return
Noble Cave	40d ago	Fit
Kuma Beach	13d ago	Quick return

Going: Good To Soft

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