Northumbria Leisure Celebrating 52 Years Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

4:50

Date 2025-10-14

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,888

Runners 8

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (8)	Alobayyah b Tom Marquand · William Haggas	Tom Marquand · William Haggas	132	—	1-8	93	96	-	45d	—	—	-20	37.8	4/7 64%
Debut winner at Yarmouth; eighth in Sandown Group 3 ten months later; the one to beat
5 (3)	Antrim b James Doyle · John & Thady Gosden	James Doyle · John & Thady Gosden	130	p	573	77	87	-	130d	—	—	-10	18.6	2/1 33%
Good third at Doncaster in June; gelded since and could do better still after his break
8 (4)	Tyraxes b P J McDonald · Andrew Balding	P J McDonald · Andrew Balding	130	t	3	-	80	44	21d	—	—	-9	8	9/2 18%
Shaped well when a debut third at Lingfield; has more to offer so must enter calculations
7 (7)	Provision br David Nolan · Paul Midgley	David Nolan · Paul Midgley	130	—	53	-	61	37	19d	—	—	+1	3.9	66/1 1%
Third in maiden over C&D 19 days ago; he can do better still but needs to in this
6 (1)	Hangover Bay b Paul Mulrennan · Craig Lidster	Paul Mulrennan · Craig Lidster	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	100/1 1%
3,000guineas yearling by Sergei Prokofiev; on this debut, others seem more likely
2 (5)	Superfortress b James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	134	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	200/1 0%
Sea The Stars gelding; the market can guide on his belated debut
1 (6)	I Am Simba b Kaiya Fraser · Rebecca Menzies	Kaiya Fraser · Rebecca Menzies	134	—	88	-	56	30	17d	—	—	-1	0.4	300/1 0%
Beat just one in 1m4f Southwell maiden 17 days ago; it's easy to look elsewhere
3 (2)	Timely Approach b Tom Eaves · Tracy Waggott	Tom Eaves · Tracy Waggott	134	—	66	-	42	-	73d	—	—	-1	0.4	200/1 0%
Has cut little ice in a pair of bumpers and 1m novices at Pontefract/Thirsk this summer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Alobayyah	8/15	4/7	4/7	8/15	4/7
Antrim	2/1	15/8	15/8	7/4	15/8
Tyraxes	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1
Provision	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1
Hangover Bay	100/1	80/1	66/1	50/1	66/1
Superfortress	200/1	125/1	150/1	100/1	150/1
I Am Simba	250/1	200/1	200/1	100/1	300/1
Timely Approach	200/1	200/1	200/1	100/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Alobayyah

37.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 7 Odds: 20

4/7

2nd

Antrim

18.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 3 Odds: 8.9

2/1

3rd

Tyraxes

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5

9/2

Provision

3.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

66/1

Hangover Bay

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

100/1

Superfortress

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200/1

I Am Simba

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

300/1

Timely Approach

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alobayyah Top Rated	93	96	—
Antrim	77	87	—
Tyraxes	—	80	44
Provision	—	61	37
Hangover Bay	—	—	—
Superfortress	—	—	—
I Am Simba	—	56	30
Timely Approach	—	42	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Alobayyah	45d ago	Fit
Antrim	130d ago	Long break
Tyraxes	21d ago	Fit
Provision	19d ago	Fit
Hangover Bay	—	—
Superfortress	—	—
I Am Simba	17d ago	Fit
Timely Approach	73d ago	Fresh

Going: Standard

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