Happy Valley

15:15 ✓ Result

Busan Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course C+3) (Turf)

Date 2023-04-26
Distance 5f
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £104,712
Winning Time 56.76s (fast by 0.24s)

Result

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (8)
California Deeply
Bay
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:A S Cruz
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:A S Cruz
135 t 1-2352
80
94
-
17d
14.5
Dual C&D winner towards end of last year and has remained in good form since; respected
2 (3)
Special M
Bay
J:Hugh Bowman
T:J Size
J:Hugh Bowman
T:J Size
134 et 641974
79
96
-
17d
10.3
Triple C&D winner; well drawn today but current mark demands a career-best effort
3 (5)
Mark The Moment
Bay
J:Alexis Badel
T:P C Ng
J:Alexis Badel
T:P C Ng
127 tv -72372
72
96
-
31d
13.5
Placed over 6f on four of his six HK starts; major player if coping with drop back to 5f
4 (11)
Gorgeous Vitality
Bay
J:Silvestre De Sousa
T:F C Lor
J:Silvestre De Sousa
T:F C Lor
126 43-537
71
95
-
35d
5.3
Below form over 6f last time; dangerous over 5f when he gets a strong pace to aim at
5 (9)
Lightning Storm
Bay
J:L Hewitson
T:C S Shum
J:L Hewitson
T:C S Shum
124 t 1/412-
69
103
-
427d
11.8
Low-mileage front-runner who won twice over C&D last season; absent for 14 months, though
6 (4)
Harmony N Blessed
Brown
J:K C Leung
T:David A Hayes
J:K C Leung
T:David A Hayes
122 tb 300663
67
92
-
20d 0W/0P 2 runs 0W/0P 2 runs
7.3
Not at best this season but was placed off reduced mark here three weeks ago
7 (10)
Seasons Wit
Chestnut
J:Zac Purton
T:Jamie Richards
J:Zac Purton
T:Jamie Richards
122 tb 221-24
67
96
-
31d
4.3
Ex-Australian 3yo; drawn wide today but has made very promising start to Hong Kong career
8 (6)
Flying Dragon
Bay
J:C Victor Wong(5)
T:C H Yip
J:C Victor Wong(5)
T:C H Yip
121 v 961800
66
95
-
11d
7
Gained all three wins over 6f on dirt; needs to better recent form; visored for first time
9 (1)
Harmony Fire
Bay
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:Douglas Whyte
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:Douglas Whyte
121 t 950-28
66
97
-
56d 0W/0P 1 run 0W/0P 1 run
4
Didn't run badly from a tough draw last month; can give this a good shot from stall 1
10 (2)
The Runner
Chestnut
J:H N Jack Wong(3)
T:Jimmy Ting
J:H N Jack Wong(3)
T:Jimmy Ting
119 v 86-065
64
102
-
14d
3.5
Ran okay over 6f a fortnight ago and is well drawn again but drop back to 5f is not ideal
11 (7)
Lucky Fun
Bay
J:H W Lai
T:L Ho
J:H W Lai
T:L Ho
116 v -02008
61
101
-
35d
4.3
Placed at big odds at Sha Tin in January but quickly back in the doldrums since

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st California Deeply
14.5
OR: 7.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0
2nd Mark The Moment
13.5
OR: 5.5 Form: 8 Odds: 0
3rd Lightning Storm
11.8
OR: 4.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0
4 Special M
10.3
OR: 7.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0
5 Harmony N Blessed
7.3
OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0
6 Flying Dragon
7
OR: 4 Form: 3 Odds: 0
7 Gorgeous Vitality
5.3
OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
8 Seasons Wit
4.3
OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Lucky Fun
4.3
OR: 2.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0
10 Harmony Fire
4
OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 The Runner
3.5
OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
California Deeply
80
94
Special M
79
96
Mark The Moment
72
96
Gorgeous Vitality
71
95
Lightning Storm
69
103
Harmony N Blessed
67
92
Seasons Wit
67
96
Flying Dragon
66
95
Harmony Fire
66
97
The Runner
64
102
Lucky Fun
61
101

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Flying Dragon 11d ago Quick return
The Runner 14d ago Fit
California Deeply 17d ago Fit
Special M 17d ago Fit
Harmony N Blessed 20d ago Fit
Mark The Moment 31d ago Fit
Seasons Wit 31d ago Fit
Gorgeous Vitality 35d ago Fit
Lucky Fun 35d ago Fit
Harmony Fire 56d ago Fresh
Lightning Storm 427d ago Long break

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
Lightning Storm Front Runner
California Deeply Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.