Copper Horse Handicap – Ascot

Ascot

18:10

Copper Horse Handicap

Date 2023-06-20

Distance 1m6f34y

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £51,540

Winning Time 3m 5.28s (slow by 3.78s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Vauban (FR) Ryan Moore · W P Mullins	EvensF	Won
2nd	Absurde (FR) Frankie Dettori · W P Mullins	5/1	7.5
3rd	Cemhaan (GB) Pat Cosgrave · George Baker	66/1	0.1
4th	Chillingham (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	11/1	3.5
5th	Sam Cooke (IRE) Rob Hornby · Ralph Beckett	22/1	0.3
6th	Postileo (IRE) James Doyle · Roger Varian	14/1	1.25
7th	More Felons (IRE) David Egan · Milton Harris	40/1	0.05
8th	Point King (IRE) James McDonald · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	8/1	0.2
9th	Get Shirty (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	40/1	1.25
10th	Berkshire Rocco (FR) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	25/1	2.75
11th	Gaassee (IRE) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	25/1	.75
12th	Aaddeey (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	33/1	5.5
13th	Charging Thunder (GB) Jason Watson · David O'Meara	80/1	0.1
14th	Ruling Dynasty (GB) William Buick · Charlie Appleby	6/1	1.5
15th	Raymond Tusk (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Alan King	40/1	7
16th	Alright Sunshine (IRE) Billy Garritty · Keith Dalgleish	100/1	.75

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (7)	Vauban Chestnut J:Ryan Moore T:W P Mullins	J:Ryan Moore T:W P Mullins	134	t	4411/	101	-	-	—	—	—	+1	43.9	0.23/1	10/11 52%
High-class hurdler who could be well treated now back on the Flat
14 (12)	Ruling Dynasty Chestnut J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	130	—	21-1	97	116	92	11d	—	—	+12	25.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Thrown in at deep end on h'cap debut but this well-bred 4yo could have lots more to offer
8 (10)	Absurde Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:W P Mullins	J:Frankie Dettori T:W P Mullins	134	—	/3127-	101	115	39	—	—	—	+14	25.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two-time French Flat winner; one of two for top Irish yard; no surprise to see a big run
13 (18)	Postileo Bay J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	131	—	2471/1	98	113	85	44d	—	—	+17	24.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Returned from long absence to win at Hamilton and could have more left in the tank
4 (16)	Point King Bay J:James McDonald T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:James McDonald T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	137	—	1119-2	104	113	72	32d	—	—	+14	20.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Very lightly raced Listed winner who could have potential off today's mark
15 (13)	Chillingham Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	130	h	5131-1	97	114	85	59d	—	—	+16	23.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Has won both handicaps and the ceiling of his ability is yet to be identified
12 (11)	Berkshire Rocco Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	132	p	4-1250	99	115	64	44d	—	—	+10	13.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Perhaps soft ground wasn't ideal last time but claims not compelling on the back of that
2 (4)	Sam Cooke Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	137	—	6411-2	104	112	90	34d	—	—	+16	19.5	6.75/1	28 4%
7yo who posted a career best when going close at York on return and has to be respected
11 (8)	Gaassee Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	134	t	/130-7	101	114	95	31d	—	—	+11	13.5	8.00/1	33 3%
On a comeback mission but in top hands and remains lightly raced; not written off
10 (19)	Raymond Tusk Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	134	—	004-73	101	112	86	45d	—	—	+11	13.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Fair effort when 7th 12 months ago but firm suspicion this 8yo will again be vulnerable
1 (9)	Get Shirty Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	138	t	823069	105	105	70	10d	—	—	+14	16.2	9.75/1	40 3%
Won this last year and he's feasibly treated but has been well beaten the last twice
6 (6)	Aaddeey Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	136	t	1/67-1	103	114	67	52d	—	—	+26	29	9.75/1	40 3%
Won at Ripon on stable debut; remains to be seen how far he can go for this yard
5 (15)	Scriptwriter Bay J:David Egan T:Milton Harris	J:David Egan T:Milton Harris	137	t	15/51-	104	112	-	—	—	—	+12	14	16.25/1	66 2%
Grade 2 juvenile h'dle winner who won sole Flat for this yard; may have untapped potential
9 (5)	Alright Sunshine Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Keith Dalgleish	J:Billy Garritty T:Keith Dalgleish	134	v	40165-	101	113	99	217d	—	—	+17	18.1	19.75/1	80 1%
This is a tough reappearance task but he was fourth 12 months ago; not ruled out each-way
16 (14)	Charging Thunder Bay J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	130	tp	2-7559	97	115	93	123d	—	—	+14	15.6	24.75/1	100 1%
Three small-field wins last summer; returns from break; others have stronger credentials
3 (3)	Cemhaan Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	137	t	910-01	104	110	49	27d	—	—	+12	13.9	37.25/1	150 1%
5l win at Kempton last month but had easy lead; now 9lb higher and back up in grade

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Vauban	10/11	1	1	1	10/11
Ruling Dynasty	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Absurde	11/2	11/2	6	11/2	11/2
Postileo	11	10	12	12	12
Point King	14	11	11	11	14
Chillingham	10	10	9	10	11
Berkshire Rocco	25	25	25	25	28
Sam Cooke	28	25	22	25	22
Gaassee	33	28	25	28	33
Raymond Tusk	40	33	28	33	33
Get Shirty	40	40	40	40	40
Aaddeey	40	33	28	33	33
Scriptwriter	66	40	40	40	50
Alright Sunshine	80	66	66	66	66
Charging Thunder	100	80	66	80	80
Cemhaan	150	66	50	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Vauban

43.9

OR: 12.8 Form: 17 Odds: 14.2

10/11

2nd

Aaddeey

OR: 13.3 Form: 15 Odds: 0.7

3rd

Ruling Dynasty

25.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 10 Odds: 4

9/2

Absurde

25.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 9.4 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Postileo

24.1

OR: 12 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

Chillingham

23.9

OR: 11.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

Point King

20.2

OR: 13.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

Sam Cooke

19.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1

Alright Sunshine

18.1

OR: 12.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.4

Get Shirty

16.2

OR: 13.8 Form: 1.9 Odds: 0.6

Charging Thunder

15.6

OR: 11.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.4

100

Scriptwriter

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Cemhaan

13.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Gaassee

13.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Raymond Tusk

13.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Berkshire Rocco

13.1

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Get Shirty	105	105	70
Point King	104	113	72
Sam Cooke	104	112	90
Scriptwriter	104	112	—
Cemhaan	104	110	49
Aaddeey	103	114	67
Vauban	101	—	—
Absurde	101	115	39
Gaassee	101	114	95
Raymond Tusk	101	112	86
Alright Sunshine	101	113	99
Berkshire Rocco	99	115	64
Postileo	98	113	85
Ruling Dynasty	97	116	92
Chillingham	97	114	85
Charging Thunder	97	115	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Get Shirty	10d ago	Quick return
Ruling Dynasty	11d ago	Quick return
Cemhaan	27d ago	Fit
Gaassee	31d ago	Fit
Point King	32d ago	Fit
Sam Cooke	34d ago	Fit
Postileo	44d ago	Fit
Berkshire Rocco	44d ago	Fit
Raymond Tusk	45d ago	Fit
Aaddeey	52d ago	Fresh
Chillingham	59d ago	Fresh
Charging Thunder	123d ago	Long break
Alright Sunshine	217d ago	Long break
Vauban	—	—
Absurde	—	—
Scriptwriter	—	—