John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed Race)

York

14:35

Date 2023-07-15

Distance 5f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £39,697

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (2)	Kerdos Bay J:Jason Hart T:Clive Cox	J:Jason Hart T:Clive Cox	122	—	1-2832	102	124	101	22d	—	—	+4	26.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Excellent neck second of 26 in handicap at Royal Ascot last time; could be the answer
4 (9)	Silky Wilkie Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	127	—	181752	110	130	114	42d	—	—	+7	29.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Upwardly mobile 4yo; excellent second in the Epsom Dash last time; commands major respect
NR (10)	Regional Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	130	t	305-11	109	127	112	35d	—	—	-4	22.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
2-2 this year, latest a Listed race; strong player, although soft ground would be a doubt
NR (8)	Queen Me Chestnut J:Andrea Atzeni T:Kevin Ryan	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Kevin Ryan	117	—	123-96	105	126	100	22d	—	—	-8	23.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Respectable sixth in Royal Ascot Group 1; not dismissed lightly down in trip and grade
6 (7)	Great State Grey J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	125	—	-41113	106	123	95	28d	—	—	+23	35.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Had an excuse last time; previously an impressive C&D winner; solid contender
9 (5)	Nymphadora Bay J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	122	—	25-014	100	126	118	21d	—	—	+4	15.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Bit to find on form with a couple of these and below par at Ayr three weeks ago
2 (3)	Chipstead Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Roger Teal	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Roger Teal	127	—	19-010	105	126	97	21d	—	—	+4	17.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Steady improver, respected on C&D handicap win but needs to put a poor last run behind him
10 (6)	Rum Cocktail Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	122	—	07-331	88	114	92	15d	—	—	+5	11.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Ran away with handicap at Yarmouth last time but this represents a steep step up in grade
7 (11)	Changeofmind Chestnut J:Cieren Fallon T:Declan Carroll	J:Cieren Fallon T:Declan Carroll	122	—	1-19	93	111	83	58d	—	—	+14	19.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Won first two races but came up well short in C&D Listed race in May; again plenty to find
NR (1)	Tees Spirit Brown J:Barry McHugh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Barry McHugh T:Adrian Nicholls	127	—	110-60	99	124	83	41d	—	—	+9	13.3	5.25/1	22 5%
Five wins in 2022 but well held this year; needs to be revived by recent wind surgery
3 (4)	Mondammej Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	127	—	542825	96	118	92	15d	—	—	+14	17.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Runner-up 12 months ago but on a long losing sequence and others appeal more for the win

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kerdos	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4
Silky Wilkie	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4	5/2
Regional	7/2	3	11/4	3	3
Queen Me	5	6	5	11/2	11/2
Great State	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Nymphadora	13/2	6	7	13/2	13/2
Chipstead	6	6	11/2	6	13/2
Rum Cocktail	16	12	14	14	14
Changeofmind	16	16	16	16	16
Tees Spirit	22	22	22	22	22
Mondammej	25	25	25	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Great State

35.6

OR: 14 Form: 18 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Silky Wilkie

29.7

OR: 15 Form: 8 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Kerdos

26.7

OR: 13 Form: 7 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Queen Me

23.6

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 9.9

11/2

Regional

22.8

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.1

7/2

Changeofmind

19.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

Chipstead

17.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Mondammej

17.3

OR: 11.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

Nymphadora

15.8

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Tees Spirit

13.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Rum Cocktail

11.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Silky Wilkie	110	130	114
Regional	109	127	112
Great State	106	123	95
Queen Me	105	126	100
Chipstead	105	126	97
Kerdos	102	124	101
Nymphadora	100	126	118
Tees Spirit	99	124	83
Mondammej	96	118	92
Changeofmind	93	111	83
Rum Cocktail	88	114	92

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rum Cocktail	15d ago	Fit
Mondammej	15d ago	Fit
Nymphadora	21d ago	Fit
Chipstead	21d ago	Fit
Kerdos	22d ago	Fit
Queen Me	22d ago	Fit
Great State	28d ago	Fit
Regional	35d ago	Fit
Tees Spirit	41d ago	Fit
Silky Wilkie	42d ago	Fit
Changeofmind	58d ago	Fresh