John Smith's Racing Handicap – York

York

14:00

John Smith's Racing Handicap

Date 2023-07-15

Distance 7f192y

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £15,462

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (2)	Aramaic b/br J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	134	t	14/643	91	106	94	7d	—	—	-2	15.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Travelled well in front over 1m2f at Sandown recently; drop back to 1m is worth exploring
2 (4)	Eilean Dubh Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	139	t	906031	96	105	85	11d	—	—	+14	27.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two C&D wins last season and back on the scoresheet at Hamilton last Tuesday; contender
3 (12)	Wild Lion Chestnut J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Saeed Bin Suroor	138	p	021-01	95	105	79	28d	—	—	+3	14.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won in these cheekpieces over 7f here latest; could have more to offer now back up to 1m
1 (3)	Blue For You Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	142	v	170-50	99	107	84	24d	—	—	+3	15.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Soundly beaten at Royal Ascot but has a good record at York and he's capable of going well
5 (9)	Isla Kai Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	135	—	-01008	92	105	71	16d	—	—	+7	16.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won at Ripon in April but has an inconsistent profile and others are more solid
4 (7)	La Trinidad Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Cieren Fallon T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	137	—	283-31	94	104	85	43d	—	—	+6	13.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Two-time course winner who scored easily at Doncaster latest; a possible despite 9lb rise
9 (10)	Whats The Story Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	130	p	052130	87	106	83	16d	—	—	+14	19.5	3.25/1	14 7%
Below par on AW last time but good third here previously; each-way claims if bouncing back
7 (1)	Rhoscolyn Bay J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	134	t	0-8000	91	105	83	23d	—	—	+5	12.4	2.50/1	11 9%
His mark continues to fall but he's struggled to get competitive this season
6 (8)	Scottish Summit Bay J:Sam James T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Sam James T:Geoffrey Harker	135	—	5-5313	92	104	93	28d	—	—	+7	11.7	4.25/1	18 6%
10yo who has been running well this season and is not ruled out each-way
NR (5)	Diamondonthehill Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Michael Dods	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Michael Dods	128	—	9-8631	85	103	86	31d	—	—	-5	14.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Better than ever when winning at Yarmouth but the rise in grade may make things tough
12 (11)	Manigordo b/br J:Jason Hart T:Tim Easterby	J:Jason Hart T:Tim Easterby	126	tp	-42413	83	103	77	10d	—	—	+18	20.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Generally plies trade in lower grade and over shorter trips but not ruled out each-way
10 (6)	Barley Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	128	t	040-66	85	103	72	11d	—	—	+7	9.3	12.25/1	50 2%
Well treated on last year's best but well-beaten sixth on both starts for this yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Aramaic	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3
Eilean Dubh	11/2	11/2	5	5	5
Wild Lion	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Blue For You	6	6	5	11/2	11/2
Isla Kai	8	8	8	8	15/2
La Trinidad	10	10	10	10	10/1
Whats The Story	14	14	14	14	14
Rhoscolyn	10	10	11	10	10/1
Scottish Summit	16	18	18	18	18
Diamondonthehill	16	14	14	16	16
Manigordo	40	40	33	33	33
Barley	50	50	40	50	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Eilean Dubh

27.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Manigordo

20.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0.8

3rd

Whats The Story

19.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.6

Isla Kai

16.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Blue For You

15.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Aramaic

15.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Wild Lion

14.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Diamondonthehill

14.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.5

La Trinidad

13.1

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Rhoscolyn

12.4

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Scottish Summit

11.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Barley

9.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blue For You	99	107	84
Eilean Dubh	96	105	85
Wild Lion	95	105	79
La Trinidad	94	104	85
Isla Kai	92	105	71
Scottish Summit	92	104	93
Aramaic	91	106	94
Rhoscolyn	91	105	83
Whats The Story	87	106	83
Diamondonthehill	85	103	86
Barley	85	103	72
Manigordo	83	103	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aramaic	7d ago	Quick return
Manigordo	10d ago	Quick return
Eilean Dubh	11d ago	Quick return
Barley	11d ago	Quick return
Isla Kai	16d ago	Fit
Whats The Story	16d ago	Fit
Rhoscolyn	23d ago	Fit
Blue For You	24d ago	Fit
Wild Lion	28d ago	Fit
Scottish Summit	28d ago	Fit
Diamondonthehill	31d ago	Fit
La Trinidad	43d ago	Fit