John Smith's Stayers' Handicap – York

York

16:55

John Smith's Stayers' Handicap

Date 2023-07-15

Distance 2m56y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,468

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (10)	Robert Johnson Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:Philip Kirby	J:Connor Beasley T:Philip Kirby	126	—	011411	71	92	67	12d	—	—	+12	33.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Big improver who has won four of his last five starts and is a major player again
3 (8)	Malakahna Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Ian Williams	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Ian Williams	135	tp	611-32	80	92	82	14d	—	—	-4	11.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Clear second behind a well-handicapped rival at Chester (2m) latest; each-way claims again
1 (12)	Land Of Winter Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:Rae Guest	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Rae Guest	136	b	6-6453	81	93	81	20d	—	—	-2	11.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has possibilities on this drop back in trip and it would be a bonus if rain arrives
NR (6)	Kalamity Kitty Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Ed De Giles	J:Cieren Fallon T:Ed De Giles	120	—	/111-5	65	93	52	38d	—	—	-9	9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won four in a row before a fair effort at Kempton on her comeback last month; in the mix
NR (11)	Single Chestnut J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	135	—	0-5544	80	92	72	21d	—	—	+1	10	2.00/1	9 11%
Reliable type who has run well in last two starts and could be dangerous back up in trip
8 (2)	Sharp Distinction Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Amy Murphy	J:Tom Marquand T:Amy Murphy	124	t	622-63	69	92	84	38d	—	—	-3	7.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
0-11 but was an eyecatcher at Kempton (2m, AW) last month and he's still unexposed on turf
4 (5)	Sophiesticate Bay J:William Pyle(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:William Pyle(7) T:Jim Goldie	127	—	480135	72	90	80	6d	—	—	+5	15.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Looks weighted near her best off this mark and she's untried at this trip
9 (7)	At The Double b/br J:Darragh Keenan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Darragh Keenan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	122	—	117-83	67	92	49	16d	—	—	-1	6.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Turned things around with his third at Newmarket and has claims if he can build on that
12 (3)	Hellenista Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	116	p	864-52	61	92	85	43d	—	—	-1	4.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Got back on track with a close second at Carlisle (2m1f) and she's only 1lb higher here
7 (9)	Punxsutawney Phil Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	124	p	795035	69	92	77	34d	—	—	+2	8.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won a 1m4f maiden in December but has been generally disappointing since; others preferred
5 (4)	Tendentious Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	126	—	04208-	71	93	83	285d	—	—	+3	9.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Struggled in final two runs last season and has something to prove after 285 days off
NR (1)	Glasses Up Chestnut J:Sam James T:R Mike Smith	J:Sam James T:R Mike Smith	121	—	745254	66	89	63	14d	—	—	-6	11.7	4.75/1	20 5%
0-26 since his last win two years ago and he still has something to prove at this trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Robert Johnson	3	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4
Malakahna	9/2	4	4	4	4
Land Of Winter	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Kalamity Kitty	13/2	6	6	6	6
Single	9	8	15/2	15/2	8
Sharp Distinction	15/2	15/2	13/2	15/2	17/2
Sophiesticate	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	7
At The Double	10	10	10	10	10
Hellenista	14	14	12	14	14/1
Punxsutawney Phil	12	12	12	12	12/1
Tendentious	16/1	14	11	14	16/1
Glasses Up	16	20	18	20	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Robert Johnson

33.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 22 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Sophiesticate

15.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.9

13/2

3rd

Malakahna

11.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Land Of Winter

11.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Glasses Up

11.7

OR: 4 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5.2

Single

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Tendentious

9.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Kalamity Kitty

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

13/2

Punxsutawney Phil

8.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Sharp Distinction

7.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

17/2

At The Double

6.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Hellenista

4.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Land Of Winter	81	93	81
Malakahna	80	92	82
Single	80	92	72
Sophiesticate	72	90	80
Robert Johnson	71	92	67
Tendentious	71	93	83
Sharp Distinction	69	92	84
Punxsutawney Phil	69	92	77
At The Double	67	92	49
Glasses Up	66	89	63
Kalamity Kitty	65	93	52
Hellenista	61	92	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sophiesticate	6d ago	Quick return
Robert Johnson	12d ago	Quick return
Malakahna	14d ago	Fit
Glasses Up	14d ago	Fit
At The Double	16d ago	Fit
Land Of Winter	20d ago	Fit
Single	21d ago	Fit
Punxsutawney Phil	34d ago	Fit
Kalamity Kitty	38d ago	Fit
Sharp Distinction	38d ago	Fit
Hellenista	43d ago	Fit
Tendentious	285d ago	Long break