John Smith's Nursery Handicap – York

York

16:20

John Smith's Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-07-15

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £10,468

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (8)	Arc Shadowfax Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	133	—	413	76	86	78	44d	—	—	+4	21.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Redcar maiden winner who has been gelded since his last run and is on the shortlist
5 (4)	Scoops Ahoy Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	132	—	2210	75	85	81	24d	—	—	+6	21.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Hamilton maiden winner; well beaten at Royal Ascot but this is far more realistic
1 (7)	Onigiri Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:Marco Botti	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Marco Botti	135	—	10	78	90	42	24d	—	—	+4	18	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Well beaten at Royal Ascot but form of debut win at Redcar reads well; retains potential
6 (6)	Ticktyboo Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	131	—	520	74	86	74	25d	—	—	+2	12.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Promise over C&D on first 2 runs; makes nursery debut off fair mark; improvement possible
2 (1)	Biloxi Boy Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	135	—	314	78	85	70	16d	—	—	+9	18	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ripon novice winner (5f) on second start but faded into fourth in 6f AW novice last time
7 (11)	Neverstopdreaming Bay J:Tom Marquand T:James Horton	J:Tom Marquand T:James Horton	131	—	419	74	81	70	14d	—	—	+7	15.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won at Pontefract on second start; very slowly away when well beaten in Newmarket Listed
4 (3)	Callianassa Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	133	h	460	76	85	66	24d	—	—	+2	8.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Caught the eye when sixth in the Hilary Needler and she's a possible now up in trip
9 (2)	Specific Times Bay J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	124	—	524	67	87	68	24d	—	—	+3	9.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Has displayed ability on her three starts and she's in good hands to progress
8 (12)	Classy Clarets Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	129	—	636	72	85	58	57d	—	—	+4	8.8	4.75/1	20 5%
Gelded since last time & improvement possible now in a nursery for his top northern stable
11 (9)	Amayretto Chestnut J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	117	—	976	60	81	55	25d	—	—	-2	4.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Nursery debut; has shown some ability and there's a bit of potential in her pedigree
10 (5)	Havana Prince Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle	J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle	121	p	549	64	80	68	60d	—	—	+1	4.4	6.75/1	28 4%
His claims could be boosted if he's back on a slow surface on nursery debut
12 (10)	Sues Little Angel Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	114	p	608	57	83	51	17d	—	—	0	2.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Half-sister to 3 winners; wears first-time cheekpieces on h'cap debut and not written off

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Arc Shadowfax	4	4	7/2	4	4
Scoops Ahoy	9/2	4	4	9/2	9/2
Onigiri	6	11/2	9/2	11/2	5
Ticktyboo	7	7	13/2	7	15/2
Biloxi Boy	8	8	8	8	15/2
Neverstopdreaming	8	17/2	15/2	17/2	17/2
Callianassa	12	12	11	12	14
Specific Times	12	12	11	12	12
Classy Clarets	20	18	18	18	18
Amayretto	16	14	12	14	14
Havana Prince	25	28	28	28	28
Sues Little Angel	40	33	40	40	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Scoops Ahoy

21.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 11 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Arc Shadowfax

21.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Onigiri

OR: 7 Form: 7 Odds: 4

11/2

Biloxi Boy

OR: 7 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Neverstopdreaming

15.5

OR: 6 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Ticktyboo

12.4

OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Specific Times

9.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

Classy Clarets

8.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Callianassa

8.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Havana Prince

4.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Amayretto

4.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Sues Little Angel

2.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Onigiri	78	90	42
Biloxi Boy	78	85	70
Arc Shadowfax	76	86	78
Callianassa	76	85	66
Scoops Ahoy	75	85	81
Ticktyboo	74	86	74
Neverstopdreaming	74	81	70
Classy Clarets	72	85	58
Specific Times	67	87	68
Havana Prince	64	80	68
Amayretto	60	81	55
Sues Little Angel	57	83	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Neverstopdreaming	14d ago	Fit
Biloxi Boy	16d ago	Fit
Sues Little Angel	17d ago	Fit
Scoops Ahoy	24d ago	Fit
Onigiri	24d ago	Fit
Callianassa	24d ago	Fit
Specific Times	24d ago	Fit
Ticktyboo	25d ago	Fit
Amayretto	25d ago	Fit
Arc Shadowfax	44d ago	Fit
Classy Clarets	57d ago	Fresh
Havana Prince	60d ago	Fresh