Ayr Gold Cup Trial Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

15:45

Ayr Gold Cup Trial Handicap

Date 2023-07-17

Distance 6f

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £15,462

Winning Time 1m 12.49s (slow by 3.39s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ramiro (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	13/2	Won
2nd	Music Society (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby	11/1	.5
3rd	Rock Melody (IRE) Mark Winn · Jim Goldie	28/1	0.05
4th	Illusionist (GER) Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer	16/1	1
5th	Aberama Gold (GB) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	10/1	0.2
6th	Ballyare (GB) Oisin Orr · Lucinda Russell	50/1	1
7th	Tinto (GB) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	11/1	.75
8th	Thunder Roar (GB) Tom Eaves · Tony Coyle	7/2F	0.2
9th	Black Friday (GB) Paddy Mathers · R Mike Smith	18/1	.5
10th	American Affair (GB) Amie Waugh · Jim Goldie	66/1	0.2
11th	Manila Scouse (GB) Phil Dennis · Tim Easterby	4/1	0.2
12th	Ramon Di Loria (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Ewan Whillans	28/1	1.5
13th	Fools Rush In (IRE) Joe Fanning · Jim Goldie	20/1	1
14th	Twelfth Knight (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	10/1	1.75
15th	Abduction (FR) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	8/1	5
16th	Jordan Electrics (GB) William Pyle · Jim Goldie	33/1	15

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (3)	Manila Scouse Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Tim Easterby	J:Phil Dennis T:Tim Easterby	130	t	/23242	79	97	88	7d	—	—	+4	21.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Encouraging form this term, most recently second over C&D last Monday; respected
10 (1)	Thunder Roar Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle	J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle	129	—	/3-481	78	97	86	7d	—	—	-5	14.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Opened his account in 7f handicap here last week on debut for new yard; drops in trip
2 (8)	Twelfth Knight Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	139	—	-18123	88	97	70	25d	—	—	+17	25.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Better than ever for new yard this term; may still have more progress in him; shortlisted
6 (15)	Abduction Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	136	—	623355	85	96	80	9d	—	—	+5	14.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Four starts at Ayr include two wins over 7f and an unlucky third over 6f; could go well
7 (7)	Music Society Grey J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	—	220834	82	98	79	12d	—	—	+6	13.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Ties in with Tinto on latest effort; landed the 2019 Bronze Cup here (off 1lb lower)
1 (9)	Aberama Gold Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	140	v	528118	89	97	65	16d	—	—	+18	24.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Respectable record over C&D includes a close second in this race last year; stable debut
3 (2)	Tinto Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	138	—	4-0543	87	99	63	12d	—	—	+4	11.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Steadily back to form this season; now 3lb below last winning mark; enters calculations
15 (12)	Ramiro Chestnut J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	121	—	0-5522	70	94	86	3d	—	—	-2	7.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Promising form in a hood this term; removal of the headgear presents a dilemma
5 (6)	Illusionist Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	137	—	14-306	86	97	78	37d	—	—	+5	10.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Most wins at 5f; below his peak form returned to 6f last time
14 (4)	Black Friday Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	122	—	627664	71	97	86	7d	—	—	+3	7.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Triple C&D winner off higher marks; 19-race losing sequence is the negative
4 (10)	Fools Rush In Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Jim Goldie	J:Joe Fanning T:Jim Goldie	138	tp	-70770	87	91	71	22d	—	—	+6	10.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Current mark reflects his unconvincing record for current stable
8 (14)	Rock Melody Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	131	—	356611	80	98	80	12d	—	—	+22	25.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Scored over 5f on good ground at Musselburgh the last twice; different scenario today
11 (11)	Ramon Di Loria Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ewan Whillans	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ewan Whillans	127	—	801462	76	96	88	13d	—	—	+12	15.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Creditable second at Hamilton last time; something to prove back up in class
12 (16)	Jordan Electrics Bay J:William Pyle(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:William Pyle(7) T:Jim Goldie	127	—	-71100	76	97	85	22d	—	—	+12	15.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
6f winner in the past but failed to show his form back over this trip last time
13 (5)	Ballyare Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	126	tb	730019	75	96	83	30d	—	—	+12	14.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Bit to prove having gained all wins in lower grades
16 (13)	American Affair Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	116	—	65164	70	96	79	33d	—	—	+8	10.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Disappointing favourite dropped back to 6f last time; best form came at 7f in May

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Manila Scouse	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Thunder Roar	4	7/2	4	4	4
Twelfth Knight	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Abduction	9	17/2	15/2	9	9
Music Society	11	10	10	10/1	11
Aberama Gold	12	11	11	11/1	12
Tinto	12	11	11	11	12
Ramiro	9	17/2	9	9	9
Illusionist	14	14	14	14	14
Black Friday	16	16	14	16	16
Fools Rush In	20	20	18	20	20
Rock Melody	25	20	18	22/1	18
Ramon Di Loria	25	28/1	22	25	25
Jordan Electrics	28	33/1	25	28	28
Ballyare	50	40	33	50/1	40
American Affair	50	50/1	40	50	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rock Melody

25.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 17 Odds: 1.1

2nd

Twelfth Knight

25.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.5

15/2

3rd

Aberama Gold

24.7

OR: 9.8 Form: 13 Odds: 1.9

Manila Scouse

21.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 9.4 Odds: 5

7/2

Ramon Di Loria

15.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 8 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Jordan Electrics

15.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 8 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Thunder Roar

14.8

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Abduction

14.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 3.4 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Ballyare

14.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 7.6 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Music Society

13.2

OR: 8 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.1

Tinto

11.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

American Affair

10.7

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Fools Rush In

10.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Illusionist

10.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ramiro

7.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Black Friday

7.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aberama Gold	89	97	65
Twelfth Knight	88	97	70
Tinto	87	99	63
Fools Rush In	87	91	71
Illusionist	86	97	78
Abduction	85	96	80
Music Society	82	98	79
Rock Melody	80	98	80
Manila Scouse	79	97	88
Thunder Roar	78	97	86
Ramon Di Loria	76	96	88
Jordan Electrics	76	97	85
Ballyare	75	96	83
Black Friday	71	97	86
Ramiro	70	94	86
American Affair	70	96	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ramiro	3d ago	Quick return
Manila Scouse	7d ago	Quick return
Thunder Roar	7d ago	Quick return
Black Friday	7d ago	Quick return
Abduction	9d ago	Quick return
Music Society	12d ago	Quick return
Tinto	12d ago	Quick return
Rock Melody	12d ago	Quick return
Ramon Di Loria	13d ago	Quick return
Aberama Gold	16d ago	Fit
Fools Rush In	22d ago	Fit
Jordan Electrics	22d ago	Fit
Twelfth Knight	25d ago	Fit
Ballyare	30d ago	Fit
American Affair	33d ago	Fit
Illusionist	37d ago	Fit