Tennent's Lager Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

19:42

Tennent's Lager Handicap

Date 2023-08-17

Distance 7f50y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,574

Winning Time 1m 26.79s (slow by 0.19s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Abduction (FR) Shane Gray · Jim Goldie	8/1	Won
2nd	Judgment Call (GB) Connor Beasley · Linda Perratt	9/4F	4.5
3rd	Ascot Adventure (GB) Mark Winn · David O'Meara	9/2	0.3
4th	Novak (GB) Archie Young · Iain Jardine	9/1	1.5
5th	Alpine Sierra (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	5/1	2.25
6th	Barging Thru (GB) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	18/1	2
7th	Outrun The Storm (IRE) David Nolan · Richard Fahey	7/2	3.5
8th	Maraakiz (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Linda Perratt	125/1	31

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Judgment Call Brown J:Connor Beasley T:Linda Perratt	J:Connor Beasley T:Linda Perratt	134	—	145831	79	95	83	6d	—	—	0	27.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Career-best effort when bolting up at Musselburgh last week; 3lb well in under penalty
2 (8)	Ascot Adventure Chestnut J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	134	p	364323	79	94	85	20d	—	—	+3	20.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
On a losing run but running well of late and should go well in refitted cheekpieces
6 (1)	Outrun The Storm Bay J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	129	—	-08312	74	91	85	13d	—	—	+9	23.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Back to winning ways at Newmarket penultimate start and good run there last time; claims
1 (5)	Abduction Bay J:Shane Gray T:Jim Goldie	J:Shane Gray T:Jim Goldie	135	—	335500	80	97	81	19d	—	—	0	11.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Dual C&D winner; hasn't been at best of late; looks yard second string on jockey bookings
5 (7)	Novak Grey J:Archie Young(7) T:Iain Jardine	J:Archie Young(7) T:Iain Jardine	132	—	222111	77	92	85	54d	—	—	+24	34.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Back after a short break but has been in fine form and bids for the four-timer
7 (6)	Alpine Sierra Brown J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	126	—	152506	71	91	75	6d	—	—	-3	10.8	1.50/1	7 14%
Best efforts for this trainer this season have been at this venue; may do better back here
4 (2)	Barging Thru Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	133	b	145537	78	92	58	28d	—	—	+5	10.5	3.75/1	16 6%
Yet to win on turf but Ayr should suit better than Brighton/Epsom on last two turf runs
8 (4)	Maraakiz Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Linda Perratt	J:Andrew Mullen T:Linda Perratt	125	—	4430/7	70	-	-	17d	—	—	+3	5.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Useful at best for William Haggas but well beaten so far for current trainer; no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Judgment Call	9/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Ascot Adventure	9/2	7/2	4	4	4
Outrun The Storm	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
Abduction	6	11/2	6	6	6
Novak	15/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Alpine Sierra	7	11/2	6	6	6
Barging Thru	16	16	16	16	16
Maraakiz	40	40	33	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Novak

34.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 24.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

2nd

Judgment Call

27.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 8.4

5/2

3rd

Outrun The Storm

23.9

OR: 6 Form: 13.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Ascot Adventure

20.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 8 Odds: 5

9/2

Abduction

11.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Alpine Sierra

10.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4

Barging Thru

10.5

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

Maraakiz

5.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Abduction	80	97	81
Judgment Call	79	95	83
Ascot Adventure	79	94	85
Barging Thru	78	92	58
Novak	77	92	85
Outrun The Storm	74	91	85
Alpine Sierra	71	91	75
Maraakiz	70	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Judgment Call	6d ago	Quick return
Alpine Sierra	6d ago	Quick return
Outrun The Storm	13d ago	Quick return
Maraakiz	17d ago	Fit
Abduction	19d ago	Fit
Ascot Adventure	20d ago	Fit
Barging Thru	28d ago	Fit
Novak	54d ago	Fresh