Unibet Horserace Betting-Operator Of The Year/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

16:58

Date 2023-09-27

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Winning Time 1m 40.72s (slow by 3.32s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Hebridean Nomad (GB) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	7/2	Won
2nd	Dunstan (IRE) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	13/8F	0.1
3rd	Willy Campbell (IRE) Liam Keniry · Sylvester Kirk	100/1	0.3
4th	High Point (IRE) George Downing · Eve Johnson Houghton	9/4	3.5
5th	Blake (GB) Robert Havlin · Peter Chapple-Hyam	12/1	0.3
6th	Burlington House (FR) Jefferson Smith · Henry Spiller	150/1	1.25
7th	Penalty Shootout (IRE) Ross Coakley · Rod Millman	28/1	1.75
8th	No Mischief (GB) Trevor Whelan · Jonathan Portman	33/1	.5
9th	Sneaky Blinder (FR) Richard Kingscote · Tom Ward	66/1	3.5
10th	Ardara Rose (IRE) Pat Dobbs · Richard Hannon	15/2	2.25
11th	Mamies Dream (GB) George Rooke · Ryan Potter	300/1	11

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (11)	Dunstan Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	52	-	83	45	19d	—	—	-19	16.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Both runs here and ran really well from a similar draw over this trip 19 days ago
4 (4)	High Point Bay J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	133	—	34	-	83	-	35d	—	—	-16	10.1	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Strong form claims on his third at Epsom; ground perhaps too fast last time
3 (8)	Hebridean Nomad Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	133	—	4	-	74	27	19d	—	—	-13	5.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
4l behind Dunstan and 1l off No Mischief when fourth over C&D on debut; can improve
9 (7)	Blake Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:Robert Havlin T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	12 8%
10,000gns yearling; fourth foal; half-brother to smart winner Hot Rocket (7f; RPR 105)
NR (13)	Breckenridge Grey J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	4.75/1	20 5%
30,000gns yearling; second foal; dam 1m4f AW winner (RPR 99)
10 (10)	Ardara Rose Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
30,000euros yearling; fourth foal; closely related to 9.4f AW winner Densetsu (RPR 71)
6 (3)	Penalty Shootout Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	133	—	—	-	57	-	20d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Raced very green when tenth of 12 in a good 1m novice at Salisbury
12 (5)	No Mischief Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	128	—	3	-	76	30	19d	—	—	0	4	6.00/1	25 4%
Always well positioned when third here 19 days ago, dividing Dunstan and Hebridean Nomad
7 (1)	Sneaky Blinder Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Tom Ward	J:Richard Kingscote T:Tom Ward	133	—	7	-	55	-	11d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
9-1 for debut at Bath (1m) and was never dangerous after starting slowly
8 (2)	Willy Campbell Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	133	—	96	-	66	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.3	19.75/1	80 1%
Ran a better race second time out when beaten about 6l at Bath (1m); more needed
1 (9)	Burlington House Grey J:Jefferson Smith T:Henry Spiller	J:Jefferson Smith T:Henry Spiller	133	—	6	-	64	14	19d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Some positives to take from recent C&D debut but has plenty to find with Dunstan
5 (12)	Kalkaroo Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Paul Webber	J:William Carver(3) T:Paul Webber	133	—	7	-	64	35	28d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
100-1 and in rear throughout on his debut over C&D four weeks ago
13 (6)	Mamies Dream Bay J:George Rooke T:Ryan Potter	J:George Rooke T:Ryan Potter	126	—	080	-	49	-	14d	—	—	0	0.1	124.75/1	500 0%
Down the field in first three runs over 6f or 7f; unlikely to be anywhere near good enough

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Dunstan	11/8	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4
High Point	9/4	2	17/8	9/4	9/4
Hebridean Nomad	4	4	4	4	9/2
Blake	10	11	11	11	12
Breckenridge	20	20	18	18	18
Ardara Rose	18	18	18	18	20
Penalty Shootout	16	18	18/1	18	18
No Mischief	22	25	22	22	22
Sneaky Blinder	50	50	50	50	50
Willy Campbell	66	80	66	66	66
Burlington House	66	100	80	80	80
Kalkaroo	100	200	150	150	150
Mamies Dream	500	250	200	250	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dunstan

16.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

High Point

10.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Hebridean Nomad

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

9/2

No Mischief

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1

Blake

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Breckenridge

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ardara Rose

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Penalty Shootout

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Sneaky Blinder

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Willy Campbell

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

Burlington House

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Kalkaroo

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Mamies Dream

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dunstan	—	83	45
High Point	—	83	—
Hebridean Nomad	—	74	27
Blake	—	—	—
Breckenridge	—	—	—
Ardara Rose	—	—	—
Penalty Shootout	—	57	—
No Mischief	—	76	30
Sneaky Blinder	—	55	—
Willy Campbell	—	66	—
Burlington House	—	64	14
Kalkaroo	—	64	35
Mamies Dream	—	49	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sneaky Blinder	11d ago	Quick return
Willy Campbell	11d ago	Quick return
Mamies Dream	14d ago	Fit
Dunstan	19d ago	Fit
Hebridean Nomad	19d ago	Fit
No Mischief	19d ago	Fit
Burlington House	19d ago	Fit
Penalty Shootout	20d ago	Fit
Kalkaroo	28d ago	Fit
High Point	35d ago	Fit
Blake	—	—
Breckenridge	—	—
Ardara Rose	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.