Jim Barry Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) – Ascot

Ascot

14:25

Jim Barry Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3)

Date 2023-10-07

Distance 1m3f211y

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £45,368

Winning Time 2m 32.66s (slow by 2.96s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Al Qareem (IRE) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	100/30	Won
2nd	Israr (GB) Benoit De La Sayette · John & Thady Gosden	4/1	.75
3rd	Postileo (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	9/1	2.5
4th	Euchen Glen (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	40/1	1.75
5th	Al Aasy (IRE) Jim Crowley · William Haggas	11/10F	8
6th	L'Astronome (GB) Tom Marquand · Hugo Palmer	25/1	6
7th	Claymore (FR) Neil Callan · Jane Chapple-Hyam	20/1	5.5
8th	Fortino (CHI) Rossa Ryan · John & Thady Gosden	50/1	46

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (1)	Al Aasy Bay J:Jim Crowley T:William Haggas	J:Jim Crowley T:William Haggas	135	—	1-5112	113	121	105	28d	—	—	-6	36.9	11/10 48%
Both wins this summer at about 1m2f but he ran on strongly when 2nd over 1m4f latest start
3 (4)	Al Qareem Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	132	—	15-001	112	122	111	21d	—	—	+3	20.5	7/2 22%
Layoff before Listed win at Chester (1m4f) three weeks ago, which was career-best form
1 (6)	Israr Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	137	—	0-2216	115	121	111	28d	—	—	+5	20.7	9/2 18%
Rivals below form when he won Newmarket Group 2 in July; thereabouts on other 2023 form
8 (5)	Postileo Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	132	p	1/1601	105	119	100	43d	—	—	+14	23.4	17/2 11%
Back to 1m4f for handicap win at Hamilton in first-time cheekpieces; e-w contender on that
7 (2)	Lastronome Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Hugo Palmer	J:Tom Marquand T:Hugo Palmer	132	t	6-3163	105	117	105	21d	—	—	+10	15.1	18 6%
Yard debut when two and a half lengths behind Al Qareem at levels in Chester Listed race
4 (3)	Claymore Bay J:Neil Callan T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Neil Callan T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	132	—	2014-6	111	120	-	135d	—	—	+12	16.3	25 4%
Off 306 days before tailed off this May, bleeding from the nose; new trip; lightly raced
6 (7)	Fortino Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Rossa Ryan T:John & Thady Gosden	132	p	211-17	109	105	-	28d	—	—	+12	15.7	28 4%
Group 1 wins in Chile; 10-1, last of seven for Group 3 at Kempton (1m4f, AW) last month
5 (8)	Euchen Glen Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	132	—	083402	97	111	88	16d	—	—	+16	18.4	50 2%
Won this in 2020 (York); not the force of old despite some bold shows in handicaps lately

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Al Aasy	1	11/10	11/10	11/10	11/10
Al Qareem	4	4	7/2	4	7/2
Israr	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Postileo	9	8	17/2	8	8
Lastronome	18	16	16	16	16
Claymore	25	22	22	25	25
Fortino	28	25	25/1	28	28
Euchen Glen	50	40	33	40	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Al Aasy

36.9

OR: 15.8 Form: 7 Odds: 14.2

11/10

2nd

Postileo

23.4

OR: 13.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

17/2

3rd

Israr

20.7

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Al Qareem

20.5

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Euchen Glen

18.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 0.7

Claymore

16.3

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Fortino

15.7

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Lastronome

15.1

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Israr	115	121	111
Al Aasy	113	121	105
Al Qareem	112	122	111
Claymore	111	120	—
Fortino	109	105	—
Postileo	105	119	100
Lastronome	105	117	105
Euchen Glen	97	111	88

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Euchen Glen	16d ago	Fit
Al Qareem	21d ago	Fit
Lastronome	21d ago	Fit
Al Aasy	28d ago	Fit
Israr	28d ago	Fit
Fortino	28d ago	Fit
Postileo	43d ago	Fit
Claymore	135d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Al Aasy	Hold Up
Euchen Glen	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 8 runners classified.