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Ascot

15:35

Howden Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap)

Date 2023-10-07
Distance 7f
Class Class 2
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £92,772

Runners (18)

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
8 (18)
Fresh
Bay
J:Jack Mitchell
T:James Fanshawe
J:Jack Mitchell
T:James Fanshawe
 132 t 505056
99
116
101
 27d — — +1
16.7
9/2
18%
Mark is below 100 for first time since winning last year's C&D International; big chance
5 (1)
Quinault
Bay
J:Luke Catton(5)
T:Stuart Williams
J:Luke Catton(5)
T:Stuart Williams
 133 ht 111131
102
115
89
 28d — — +26
38.7
11/2
15%
Remarkable improver this term; made all over C&D last time; now 7-8 in handicaps
18 (2)
Hickory
Bay
J:Benoit De La Sayette
T:James Fanshawe
J:Benoit De La Sayette
T:James Fanshawe
 122 v 442023
89
114
87
 28d — — +9
21.1
13/2
13%
Placed in the C&D handicaps won by Baradar and Quinault
1 (11)
Popmaster
Grey
J:Tom Marquand
T:Ed Walker
J:Tom Marquand
T:Ed Walker
 139 — 100221
106
112
87
 15d — — +25
32.1
10/1
9%
Second to Quinault over C&D then won Listed event at Newbury; future mark is 3lb higher
2 (8)
Biggles
Bay
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Ralph Beckett
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Ralph Beckett
 138 — 291045
105
115
95
 15d — — +11
18.9
10
10%
Largely productive record in 7f handicaps, including Bunbury Cup win; not ruled out
17 (9)
Pearle Dor
Chestnut
J:Jim Crowley
T:David Omeara
J:Jim Crowley
T:David Omeara
 123 h 692131
90
111
101
 14d — — +24
30.3
11
9%
In great form but the issues are a 6lb penalty and return to forecast faster ground
11 (10)
Escobar
Bay
J:Neil Callan
T:David Omeara
J:Neil Callan
T:David Omeara
 127 tp 080400
94
112
95
 14d — — +6
13.1
12
8%
Landed this race last year but has not matched that form since
12 (6)
Maywake
Chestnut
J:Billy Garritty
T:Richard Fahey
J:Billy Garritty
T:Richard Fahey
 126 — 324151
93
115
100
 35d — — +22
28.5
14
7%
Last two attempts at 7f have resulted in emphatic wins; better than ever
6 (3)
Bless Him
Bay
J:Hayley Turner
T:David Simcock
J:Hayley Turner
T:David Simcock
 133 h 754075
100
116
86
 7d — — +9
13.9
14
7%
Retains ability but he's a hold-up performer who needs the cards to drop perfectly
16 (7)
Orbaan
Bay
J:Jason Hart
T:David Omeara
J:Jason Hart
T:David Omeara
 123 tp 795005
90
113
96
 14d — — +6
11.4
16
6%
0-14 since winning over C&D on Shergar Cup day in 2022
15 (16)
Glenfinnan
Bay
J:Pat Dobbs
T:Andrew Balding
J:Pat Dobbs
T:Andrew Balding
 125 — -49516
94
113
93
 7d — — +14
19.4
16
6%
Can't be dismissed, being a recent C&D winner (penultimate outing)
13 (12)
Lethal Levi
Bay
J:Clifford Lee
T:K R Burke
J:Clifford Lee
T:K R Burke
 126 v 355749
93
113
86
 14d — — +8
11.8
22
5%
Useful 6f handicapper; not crying out for this return to 7f
4 (4)
Blue For You
Chestnut
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:David Omeara
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:David Omeara
 135 tv 501000
102
114
98
 21d — — +14
16.9
33
3%
Below form since York win; yet to defy a triple-digit mark
10 (13)
Atrium
Bay
J:Harry Davies
T:Charlie Fellowes
J:Harry Davies
T:Charlie Fellowes
 129 — 589106
96
115
92
 22d — — +14
17.4
28
4%
Balance of 2023 form suggests he'll come up well short
7 (17)
Rhoscolyn
Bay
J:Jason Watson
T:David Omeara
J:Jason Watson
T:David Omeara
 133 t 210171
100
109
94
 10d — — +27
30.3
33
3%
Three wins at Goodwood in August/September; unfavourably treated under 6lb penalty
9 (5)
Ropey Guest
Bay
J:Tom Queally
T:George Margarson
J:Tom Queally
T:George Margarson
 132 v 102010
99
113
91
 28d — — +19
21.5
33
3%
Regular in these big-field Ascot handicaps but he's yet to win here in 18 attempts
NR (15)
Baradar
b/br
J:NON-RUNNER
T:George Boughey
J:NON-RUNNER
T:George Boughey
 138 tp -36011
105
115
91
 22d — — +24
34.2
15/2
12%
2-2 since wearing cheekpieces, including a success in the International over C&D
14 (14)
Ancestral Land
b/br
J:William Cox
T:Clive Cox
J:William Cox
T:Clive Cox
 125 p -44936
94
113
78
 20d — — +12
13.6
66
2%
Has something to find on the balance of his handicap form
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Fresh
 4 4 9/2 4 4
Quinault
 5 5 11/2 11/2 5
Hickory
 6 6/1 6 6 13/2
Popmaster
 10 10/1 10 9/1 10
Biggles
 10 10 9 10 10
Pearle Dor
 11 11 11 11 11
Escobar
 12 12 12 12 12
Maywake
 14 12 12 14 14
Bless Him
 14 14 14 14 14
Orbaan
 16 14 16 16 16
Glenfinnan
 16 16 14 16 16
Lethal Levi
 22 22 20 22 22
Blue For You
 33 28 28 28 28
Atrium
 28 25 22 25 25
Rhoscolyn
 33 28 28 33 33
Ropey Guest
 33 28 28 28 28
Baradar
 13/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2
Ancestral Land
 66 50 50 50 50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Quinault
38.7
OR: 13 Form: 22.1 Odds: 3.6
11/2
2nd Baradar
34.2
OR: 13.8 Form: 17.6 Odds: 2.9
15/2
3rd Popmaster
32.1
OR: 14 Form: 16 Odds: 2.1
10/1
4 Pearle Dor
30.3
OR: 10 Form: 18.6 Odds: 1.7
11
5 Rhoscolyn
30.3
OR: 12.5 Form: 17 Odds: 0.8
33
6 Maywake
28.5
OR: 10.8 Form: 16 Odds: 1.7
14
7 Ropey Guest
21.5
OR: 12.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.8
33
8 Hickory
21.1
OR: 9.8 Form: 8 Odds: 3.3
13/2
9 Glenfinnan
19.4
OR: 11 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4
16
10 Biggles
18.9
OR: 13.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1
10
11 Atrium
17.4
OR: 11.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9
28
12 Blue For You
16.9
OR: 13 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9
33
13 Fresh
16.7
OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4
9/2
14 Bless Him
13.9
OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
14
15 Ancestral Land
13.6
OR: 11 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.5
66
16 Escobar
13.1
OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
12
17 Lethal Levi
11.8
OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
22
18 Orbaan
11.4
OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
16

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Popmaster
106
112
87
Biggles
105
115
95
Baradar
105
115
91
Quinault
102
115
89
Blue For You
102
114
98
Bless Him
100
116
86
Rhoscolyn
100
109
94
Fresh
99
116
101
Ropey Guest
99
113
91
Atrium
96
115
92
Escobar
94
112
95
Glenfinnan
94
113
93
Ancestral Land
94
113
78
Maywake
93
115
100
Lethal Levi
93
113
86
Pearle Dor
90
111
101
Orbaan
90
113
96
Hickory
89
114
87

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Bless Him 7d ago Quick return
Glenfinnan 7d ago Quick return
Rhoscolyn 10d ago Quick return
Pearle Dor 14d ago Fit
Escobar 14d ago Fit
Orbaan 14d ago Fit
Lethal Levi 14d ago Fit
Popmaster 15d ago Fit
Biggles 15d ago Fit
Ancestral Land 20d ago Fit
Blue For You 21d ago Fit
Atrium 22d ago Fit
Baradar 22d ago Fit
Fresh 27d ago Fit
Quinault 28d ago Fit
Hickory 28d ago Fit
Ropey Guest 28d ago Fit
Maywake 35d ago Fit