Argyll Bar Paisley EBF "National Hunt" Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier) (GBB Race) (Div I)

Ayr

12:00

Date 2023-11-04

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-6yo

Prize £4,629

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Indeevar Bleu Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	154	—	1-	-	-	-	228d	—	—	-15	21.8	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Created very good impression when winning soft-ground Wetherby bumper by 12l in March
3	Florida Dreams Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	154	—	11-	-	-	-	203d	—	—	-7	28.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Grade 2 bumper winner at Aintree festival in April; exciting prospect for novice hurdles
NR	Rockstown Girl Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Anthony McCann	J:NON-RUNNER T:Anthony McCann	147	—	3437-2	-	130	-	33d	—	—	-45	25	1.50/1	7 14%
Useful in bumpers last season and was close/clear second on recent hurdling debut
8	Primoz Bay J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	154	t	22-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	14.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Second in two Irish points in the spring before changing hands for £150,000
1	I Love My Baie Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:S R B Crawford	J:Daryl Jacob T:S R B Crawford	160	—	1-31	-	125	108	121d	—	—	+2	9.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Pushed-out winner of five-runner Perth maiden on hurdling debut; this will be tougher
2	Ballyfort Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	154	—	3F423-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+5	7.1	24.75/1	100 1%
Placed in three of his six Irish points; bought for £30,000 in May; rules debut today
7	Paddy Elvis Bay J:Brian Hughes T:S R B Crawford	J:Brian Hughes T:S R B Crawford	154	—	92-665	-	104	74	24d	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Respectable fifth in run-of-the-mill Sedgefield maiden on recent hurdle debut
10	Snow Shepherdess Grey J:Craig Nichol T:Iain Jardine	J:Craig Nichol T:Iain Jardine	147	—	23	-	-	-	140d	—	—	+5	6.9	19.75/1	80 1%
Showed clear promise in two bumpers in early part of season; others look stronger here
6	Joie More Bay J:Ryan Mania T:Jackie Stephen	J:Ryan Mania T:Jackie Stephen	154	—	P24-P	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Ability in Irish points before changing hands for £18,000; tough task on rules debut
4	Follow Charlie Bay J:Callum Bewley T:R Mike Smith	J:Callum Bewley T:R Mike Smith	154	—	0-0	-	77	-	176d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Well beaten at triple-digit odds in two Irish bumpers in the spring; stable/hurdle debut

Horse	bet365	Coral
Indeevar Bleu	5/4	5/4
Florida Dreams	11/8	11/8
Rockstown Girl	7	SP
Primoz	4	7/2
I Love My Baie	12	10
Ballyfort	100	50/1
Paddy Elvis	80	50
Snow Shepherdess	80	66
Joie More	200	150
Follow Charlie	200	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Florida Dreams

28.4

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Rockstown Girl

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 20

3rd

Indeevar Bleu

21.8

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 11.8

5/4

Primoz

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

I Love My Baie

9.1

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

Ballyfort

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 6.7 Odds: 0.5

100

Snow Shepherdess

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.4

Paddy Elvis

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Joie More

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Follow Charlie

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Indeevar Bleu	—	—	—
Florida Dreams	—	—	—
Rockstown Girl	—	130	—
Primoz	—	—	—
I Love My Baie	—	125	108
Ballyfort	—	—	—
Paddy Elvis	—	104	74
Snow Shepherdess	—	—	—
Joie More	—	—	—
Follow Charlie	—	77	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Paddy Elvis	24d ago	Fit
Rockstown Girl	33d ago	Fit
I Love My Baie	121d ago	Long break
Snow Shepherdess	140d ago	Long break
Follow Charlie	176d ago	Long break
Florida Dreams	203d ago	Long break
Indeevar Bleu	228d ago	Long break
Primoz	—	—
Ballyfort	—	—
Joie More	—	—