Bet With Paddock Bookmakers On Course "Newcomers" NH Flat Race (C1 Elim') (Qual') (GBB)

Ayr

16:04

Date 2023-11-04

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-5yo

Prize £2,995

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9	Junker D'Allier Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-25	11.8	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Cost 105,000euros as a 3yo and yard is 2-4 in bumpers here in recent years; likely type
13	Golden Point Bay J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	149	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
80,000gns 3yo; has a striking pedigree and he needs a close look
3	Danno's Dollar Chestnut J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	2.00/1	9 11%
Has plenty of stamina in pedigree but interesting to see how he figures in the market
7	Helsgetaway Chestnut J:Miss Roisin Leech(7) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Miss Roisin Leech(7) T:Lucinda Russell	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Half-brother to two bumper winners and he's an interesting contender for in-form yard
8	Hundred Percent Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Lizzie Quinlan	J:Sean Quinlan T:Lizzie Quinlan	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Lots of stamina on dam's side and he's already had wind surgery; probably best watched
4	Fort Lauderdale Bay J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Has fair pedigree and he needs watching in market; one of three runners for yard
10	The Hardest Geezer Brown J:Craig Nichol T:Donald Whillans	J:Craig Nichol T:Donald Whillans	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Has useful jumps pedigree and he could be one for further down the line
12	Threeandahalf Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Peter Niven	J:Danny McMenamin T:Peter Niven	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	6.00/1	25 4%
Yard 1-25 in bumpers in recent years and he makes limited appeal
11	Theonetowatch Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	6.00/1	25 4%
Trainer had a well-backed bumper winner last month and this one needs watching in market
2	Cushendun Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Ian Duncan	J:Brian Hughes T:Ian Duncan	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	6.00/1	25 4%
Yard 0-29 in bumpers in recent years and others are more likely types
1	Bogleyburn Brown J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	6.00/1	25 4%
Yard 0-11 in bumpers last season and he's probably a longer-term prospect
14	Shadow Royal Grey J:Joshua Thompson(10) T:Micky Hammond	J:Joshua Thompson(10) T:Micky Hammond	149	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Has a speedy pedigree and she's probably best watched starting out in a bumper
15	Will Tomorrow Do Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Gillian Boanas	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Gillian Boanas	149	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Has plenty of winners on dam's side including a bumper scorer; market should guide
5	Foster's Fortune Bay J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Chris Grant	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Chris Grant	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Yard 1-60 in bumpers in recent years and he's probably one for jumps later on
6	Golden Swift Bay J:Callum Bewley T:R Mike Smith	J:Callum Bewley T:R Mike Smith	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Cost just 2,200euros as a 3yo and her yard is 0-35 in bumpers in recent years; opposable

Horse	bet365	Coral
Junker D'Allier	5/4	6/5
Golden Point	9/2	4
Danno's Dollar	9	9
Helsgetaway	11	11
Hundred Percent	14	14
Fort Lauderdale	20	16
The Hardest Geezer	20	20
Threeandahalf	22	25
Theonetowatch	22	25
Cushendun	25	22
Bogleyburn	25	25
Shadow Royal	28	28
Will Tomorrow Do	28	28
Foster's Fortune	66	50
Golden Swift	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Junker D'Allier

11.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

5/4

2nd

Golden Point

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Danno's Dollar

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Helsgetaway

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Hundred Percent

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Fort Lauderdale

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

The Hardest Geezer

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Threeandahalf

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Theonetowatch

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Cushendun

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Shadow Royal

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Will Tomorrow Do

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Bogleyburn

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Foster's Fortune

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Golden Swift

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Junker D'Allier	—	—	—
Golden Point	—	—	—
Danno's Dollar	—	—	—
Helsgetaway	—	—	—
Hundred Percent	—	—	—
Fort Lauderdale	—	—	—
The Hardest Geezer	—	—	—
Threeandahalf	—	—	—
Theonetowatch	—	—	—
Cushendun	—	—	—
Bogleyburn	—	—	—
Shadow Royal	—	—	—
Will Tomorrow Do	—	—	—
Foster's Fortune	—	—	—
Golden Swift	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Junker D'Allier	—	—
Golden Point	—	—
Danno's Dollar	—	—
Helsgetaway	—	—
Hundred Percent	—	—
Fort Lauderdale	—	—
The Hardest Geezer	—	—
Threeandahalf	—	—
Theonetowatch	—	—
Cushendun	—	—
Bogleyburn	—	—
Shadow Royal	—	—
Will Tomorrow Do	—	—
Foster's Fortune	—	—
Golden Swift	—	—