Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Hurdle – Ayr

Ayr

14:53

Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-11-04

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,281

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Ginger Mail Grey J:Danny McMenamin T:N W Alexander	J:Danny McMenamin T:N W Alexander	168	p	3522P-	118	122	114	190d	—	—	+10	27.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Not seen since a poor run in April but won this race when fresh a year ago; shortlisted
4	Sleeping Satellite Brown J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	160	—	/1613-	110	109	70	231d	—	—	+19	31.6	1.00/1	5 20%
Won run-of-the-mill novice in February; not obviously well treated for handicap debut
3	Transatlantic Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	165	t	F5P31/	115	118	-	565d	—	—	+17	31.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Not seen since front-running novice win for Gary Moore in April 2022; market may guide
6	Park Annonciade Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:S R B Crawford	J:Daryl Jacob T:S R B Crawford	159	t	9-7213	109	122	113	38d	—	—	+6	18.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Just a respectable third on handicap debut but may fare better on less-testing ground
7	Chase A Fortune Bay J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Chris Grant	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Chris Grant	159	—	2126-5	109	121	103	27d	—	—	+9	17.1	1.75/1	8 13%
Ran better than bare form suggests on seasonal/handicap debut and is 3lb lower now
5	Fenna's Loss Brown J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	159	t	8-102P	109	118	86	29d	—	—	+9	16.9	2.00/1	9 11%
Made all at Hexham in June; needs to bounce back from last month's poor chase debut
2	Rock Hurley Grey J:William Maggs(7) T:Donald McCain	J:William Maggs(7) T:Donald McCain	167	t	U1140-	117	130	82	194d	—	—	+18	27	1.75/1	8 13%
Dual winner in France last December but made underwhelming start to British career
9	Lihyan Bay J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	153	h	7340-5	103	122	110	157d	—	—	+8	15.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Irish maiden winner in summer 2022 but generally disappointing in Britain this year
NR	Swift Tuttle Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:NON-RUNNER T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	142	ht	9-P165	92	117	-	11d	—	—	-40	30.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Caused 33-1 surprise in messy race at Bangor in September but others appeal more here
10	Darkest Day Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:William Young Jnr	J:Sean Quinlan T:William Young Jnr	146	tp	949117	96	117	96	27d	—	—	+21	24.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Dual Kelso winner on good ground in September; well beaten there on slower ground since
8	Ip Up Chestnut J:Craig Nichol T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Craig Nichol T:Jedd O'Keeffe	157	—	5632-5	107	114	82	46d	—	—	+12	15	12.25/1	50 2%
Hurdle winner in France in 2022; made low-key British debut in September

Horse	bet365	Coral
Ginger Mail	4	7/2
Sleeping Satellite	5	5
Transatlantic	9/2	9/2
Park Annonciade	11/2	6
Chase A Fortune	8	8
Fenna's Loss	9	9
Rock Hurley	8	8
Lihyan	10	10
Swift Tuttle	20	SP
Darkest Day	25	25
Ip Up	50	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sleeping Satellite

31.6

OR: 15 Form: 13 Odds: 3.6

2nd

Transatlantic

31.3

OR: 16.3 Form: 11.1 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Swift Tuttle

30.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

Ginger Mail

27.1

OR: 17 Form: 5.1 Odds: 5

7/2

Rock Hurley

OR: 16.8 Form: 7.7 Odds: 2.5

Darkest Day

24.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 12 Odds: 1.1

Park Annonciade

18.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Chase A Fortune

17.1

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Fenna's Loss

16.9

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Lihyan

15.2

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ip Up

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ginger Mail	118	122	114
Rock Hurley	117	130	82
Transatlantic	115	118	—
Sleeping Satellite	110	109	70
Park Annonciade	109	122	113
Chase A Fortune	109	121	103
Fenna's Loss	109	118	86
Ip Up	107	114	82
Lihyan	103	122	110
Darkest Day	96	117	96
Swift Tuttle	92	117	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Swift Tuttle	11d ago	Quick return
Chase A Fortune	27d ago	Fit
Darkest Day	27d ago	Fit
Fenna's Loss	29d ago	Fit
Park Annonciade	38d ago	Fit
Ip Up	46d ago	Fresh
Lihyan	157d ago	Long break
Ginger Mail	190d ago	Long break
Rock Hurley	194d ago	Long break
Sleeping Satellite	231d ago	Long break
Transatlantic	565d ago	Long break