Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

13:02

Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap

Date 2023-11-04

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,281

Runners (20)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
14 (7)	Tiriac Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Jack Channon	J:Clifford Lee T:Jack Channon	130	p	756243	75	92	84	19d	—	—	+4	14.8	1.50/1	7 14%
Placed in soft-ground handicaps on last three starts; handles heavy; should run well
15 (6)	Albert Cee b/br J:Kieran Shoemark T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	130	—	34-221	75	93	84	40d	—	—	-1	9.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Looked good at Leicester in September but slower conditions & better opposition this time
17 (13)	Ramiro Chestnut J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	128	—	859152	73	92	69	14d	—	—	+9	18.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Conditions will suit and he comes here in form; likely to be arriving on the scene late
11 (3)	Verdansk Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	132	—	53-303	77	88	55	19d	—	—	+1	9	2.50/1	11 9%
Ran well over 7f (AW) on recent stable debut; return to 6f can help; promise on soft
3 (8)	Amazonian Dream Bay J:David Probert T:Rod Millman	J:David Probert T:Rod Millman	135	—	432731	80	93	79	19d	—	—	+17	23.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Kept on well to win a 6f handicap at Windsor last month (soft); 4lb rise not excessive
1 (1)	Razeyna Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	137	tb	-34524	82	92	76	42d	—	—	+5	14.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Handles bad ground and won't need much more for the addition of a tongue-tie to feature
NR (11)	Antiphon Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	132	—	329829	77	95	81	1d	—	—	+5	13.8	1.75/1	8 13%
Well suited by soft but ninth of 13 at Newmarket (5f, heavy) on Friday
12 (15)	Harry's Halo Chestnut J:Sean Levey T:Kevin Frost	J:Sean Levey T:Kevin Frost	131	h	-92255	76	94	75	19d	—	—	+6	12.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Conditions will suit well; not seen to best effect latest; hood now added; each-way claims
5 (19)	Aplomb Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Stefano Cherchi T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	135	—	-50239	80	96	82	42d	—	—	+7	14.2	2.00/1	9 11%
On losing run; good form in recent months but type that needs everything to fall right
9 (4)	Momaer Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Mark Loughnane	J:Josephine Gordon T:Mark Loughnane	132	h	613642	77	93	80	19d	—	—	+9	16.8	2.50/1	11 9%
Ran well on soft at Windsor 19 days ago but she'll need more up 2lb in a deeper race
6 (10)	Gemini Star Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	134	—	-12522	79	93	77	25d	—	—	+14	21.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Runner-up in 5f handicaps the last twice; return to 6f can suit and he handles heavy
NR (2)	Primeval Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:NON-RUNNER T:Harry & Roger Charlton	135	—	114	80	94	68	43d	—	—	-31	39.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Unexposed; didn't see out 7f as well as may have been expected latest; bred to do better
10 (17)	Coco Bear Brown J:Rob Hornby T:Patrick Chamings	J:Rob Hornby T:Patrick Chamings	132	p	111670	77	93	84	30d	—	—	+9	13	4.25/1	18 6%
Three 6f wins on soft to begin his campaign; quiet the last twice; now gets cheekpieces
13 (12)	Cold Stare Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	131	tp	643215	76	92	86	32d	—	—	+13	18.5	3.25/1	14 7%
Two good runs at the Ayr Gold Cup meeting but below that level latest; first run here
NR (14)	Solray Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	133	—	321	78	90	-	36d	—	—	+4	29.8	2.00/1	9 11%
Two promising turf runs before easy AW win; this a very different test of his credentials
2 (18)	Faro De San Juan Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Dylan Cunha	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Dylan Cunha	136	t	198649	81	91	61	29d	—	—	+5	9	5.25/1	22 5%
On a handy mark and today's drop in class should help; Paul Mulrennan a good booking
16 (16)	Miss Bella Brand Bay J:George Wood T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	J:George Wood T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	129	—	117004	74	93	85	19d	—	—	+6	8.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Fourth behind three of these rivals at Windsor latest; should give her running once more
19 (9)	Boafo Boy Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	123	t	967588	68	89	77	78d	—	—	+2	5.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Two wins for former yard; fair start for this one but today's ground is an unknown factor
20 (5)	Hoof It Hoof It Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Tim Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Tim Easterby	122	t	942418	67	94	78	25d	—	—	+11	13.5	6.75/1	28 4%
Made all in a lower grade in September; disappointing latest; ground a worry
18 (20)	Iris Dancer Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Tristan Davidson	J:Andrew Mullen T:Tristan Davidson	124	b	532110	69	91	78	23d	—	—	+17	19.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Flopped in hat-trick bid latest; conditions should be fine but needs a career best

Horse	bet365	Coral
Tiriac	7	7
Albert Cee	7	13/2
Ramiro	15/2	8
Verdansk	11	11
Amazonian Dream	10	11
Razeyna	15/2	15/2
Antiphon	8	8
Harry's Halo	11	12
Aplomb	9	9
Momaer	10	11
Gemini Star	9	9
Primeval	10	SP
Coco Bear	18	18
Cold Stare	14	12
Solray	9	SP
Faro De San Juan	20	22
Miss Bella Brand	25	25
Boafo Boy	33	33
Hoof It Hoof It	28	28
Iris Dancer	40	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Primeval

39.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 12 Odds: 20

2nd

Solray

29.8

OR: 7 Form: 15 Odds: 7.8

3rd

Amazonian Dream

23.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 14.2 Odds: 1.9

Gemini Star

21.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 12 Odds: 2.1

Iris Dancer

19.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 14.1 Odds: 0.7

Cold Stare

18.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 10.4 Odds: 1.6

Ramiro

18.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Momaer

16.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.1

Tiriac

14.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 3.1

Razeyna

14.8

OR: 8 Form: 4.1 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Aplomb

14.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.1

Antiphon

13.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.5

Hoof It Hoof It

13.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.7

Coco Bear

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

Harry's Halo

12.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 4 Odds: 1.9

Albert Cee

9.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Verdansk

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Faro De San Juan

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Miss Bella Brand

8.9

OR: 6 Form: 2 Odds: 0.9

Boafo Boy

5.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Razeyna	82	92	76
Faro De San Juan	81	91	61
Amazonian Dream	80	93	79
Aplomb	80	96	82
Primeval	80	94	68
Gemini Star	79	93	77
Solray	78	90	—
Verdansk	77	88	55
Antiphon	77	95	81
Momaer	77	93	80
Coco Bear	77	93	84
Harry's Halo	76	94	75
Cold Stare	76	92	86
Tiriac	75	92	84
Albert Cee	75	93	84
Miss Bella Brand	74	93	85
Ramiro	73	92	69
Iris Dancer	69	91	78
Boafo Boy	68	89	77
Hoof It Hoof It	67	94	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Antiphon	1d ago	Quick return
Ramiro	14d ago	Fit
Tiriac	19d ago	Fit
Verdansk	19d ago	Fit
Amazonian Dream	19d ago	Fit
Harry's Halo	19d ago	Fit
Momaer	19d ago	Fit
Miss Bella Brand	19d ago	Fit
Iris Dancer	23d ago	Fit
Gemini Star	25d ago	Fit
Hoof It Hoof It	25d ago	Fit
Faro De San Juan	29d ago	Fit
Coco Bear	30d ago	Fit
Cold Stare	32d ago	Fit
Solray	36d ago	Fit
Albert Cee	40d ago	Fit
Razeyna	42d ago	Fit
Aplomb	42d ago	Fit
Primeval	43d ago	Fit
Boafo Boy	78d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Miss Bella Brand	Prominent
Iris Dancer	Prominent
Cold Stare	Hold Up
Faro De San Juan	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 4 of 20 runners classified.