Betfred "Passionate About Sport" Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

15:57

Betfred "Passionate About Sport" Handicap

Date 2023-11-04

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,281

Runners (18)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (14)	Hodler Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Jim Boyle	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Jim Boyle	136	—	086752	83	99	81	18d	—	—	+1	18.3	0.75/1	4 25%
Acts well on soft; good 2nd in this race last year when 2lb higher; back to form latest
14 (6)	Lunatick Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	130	—	920132	78	96	55	20d	—	—	+10	24.1	1.00/1	5 20%
Off the mark in September; things haven't gone to plan since; return to 7f can suit
15 (12)	Hiromichi Grey J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	130	p	800251	77	93	72	26d	—	—	+11	22.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Triple winner over 1m in 2023; two wins at about 7f last year; one of the better options
NR (4)	Liamarty Dreams Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:K R Burke	J:NON-RUNNER T:K R Burke	139	—	624053	86	95	-	36d	—	—	-37	33	—	—
Handles soft but doesn't improve for it and 7f turf wins come on good or quicker ground
4 (11)	Repertoire Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	137	—	652871	84	93	87	26d	—	—	+15	21.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Course winner at 1m in May; in good form; rarely races on ground slower than good to soft
1 (16)	Marshal Dan Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Heather Main	J:Hector Crouch T:Heather Main	140	p	088961	87	95	81	18d	—	—	+14	21.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Third in the 2018 running; back to form with ready 7f win latest; back up 5lb; thereabouts
17 (15)	King Of Fury Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:T J Kent	J:Jack Mitchell T:T J Kent	124	—	332	72	91	59	18d	—	—	+9	16	3.25/1	14 7%
Promising in three 7f runs; type to progress further now handicapping; this looks tough
9 (8)	Bernardo O'Reilly Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Richard Spencer	J:Hayley Turner T:Richard Spencer	135	—	274845	82	95	79	35d	—	—	+3	9.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Suited by 6f on soft; third in this race (good) in 2021 but outstayed 12 months ago
11 (2)	Hieronymus Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:George Baker	J:Paul Mulrennan T:George Baker	135	p	5-0026	82	91	83	19d	—	—	+3	9.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has 7f form on soft but on a long losing run and has yet to win on turf (0-16)
3 (3)	Hierarchy Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Jamie Osborne	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Jamie Osborne	138	tp	084413	85	94	84	20d	—	—	+14	20.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Major weights drop before 6f win in September; close 3rd since; first run at beyond 6f
16 (7)	Ivory Madonna Grey J:Robert Havlin T:Richard Spencer	J:Robert Havlin T:Richard Spencer	127	b	456582	75	94	64	19d	—	—	+6	13.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Placed in Group races at 6f and 7f as 2yo but still winless and major ground query
5 (1)	Love De Vega Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	136	—	711840	83	96	83	20d	—	—	+10	14.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Down the field in this race last year; two wins at 6f/7f in August; lesser efforts since
8 (13)	Marlay Park b/br J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Jim Boyle	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Jim Boyle	136	—	534412	83	92	85	34d	—	—	+17	22.2	3.25/1	14 7%
All best form over 7f at Epsom and has plenty to prove away from that track
13 (18)	Dirtyoldtown Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	130	—	-09080	77	87	52	3d	—	—	+4	7.8	5.25/1	22 5%
Soft-ground winner as 2yo; well treated on close 2nd in good 7f handicap last autumn
18 (5)	Shandy Star Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	124	eb	7-7774	72	86	54	7d	—	—	+3	6.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Three 6f wins as 2yo; this year isn't going so well and a non-stayer over 7f latest
12 (17)	Little Boy Blue Grey J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Bill Turner	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Bill Turner	134	tp	364295	81	94	81	34d	—	—	+8	11.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Has won on soft but questionable whether testing ground brings out the best in him
6 (9)	Bay Breeze Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Tim Easterby	J:Ben Robinson T:Tim Easterby	136	—	401000	83	96	75	42d	—	—	+9	12.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Remote last of nine in his sole start over 7f (last November) and out of sorts of late
10 (10)	Al Marmar Brown J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	135	—	7-0030	82	91	10	185d	—	—	+6	8.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
All races at 1m; intriguing stable switch but trip and ground raise serious questions

Horse	bet365	Coral
Hodler	4	4
Lunatick	5	5
Hiromichi	13/2	13/2
Liamarty Dreams	SP	SP
Repertoire	11	11/1
Marshal Dan	11/1	11
King Of Fury	14	14
Bernardo O'Reilly	12	12
Hieronymus	11	11/1
Hierarchy	12/1	12/1
Ivory Madonna	14	14
Love De Vega	18	16/1
Marlay Park	14	14
Dirtyoldtown	22	22
Shandy Star	20	20
Little Boy Blue	33	25
Bay Breeze	25	25
Al Marmar	80/1	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Liamarty Dreams

OR: 9 Form: 4 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Lunatick

24.1

OR: 7 Form: 13.1 Odds: 4

3rd

Hiromichi

22.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Marlay Park

22.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 12.6 Odds: 1.4

Repertoire

21.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Marshal Dan

21.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Hierarchy

20.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Hodler

18.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5

King Of Fury

OR: 5.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.9

Love De Vega

14.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

Ivory Madonna

13.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

Bay Breeze

12.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

Little Boy Blue

11.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.9

Hieronymus

9.9

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Bernardo O'Reilly

9.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Al Marmar

8.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Dirtyoldtown

7.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Shandy Star

6.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Marshal Dan	87	95	81
Liamarty Dreams	86	95	—
Hierarchy	85	94	84
Repertoire	84	93	87
Hodler	83	99	81
Love De Vega	83	96	83
Marlay Park	83	92	85
Bay Breeze	83	96	75
Bernardo O'Reilly	82	95	79
Hieronymus	82	91	83
Al Marmar	82	91	10
Little Boy Blue	81	94	81
Lunatick	78	96	55
Hiromichi	77	93	72
Dirtyoldtown	77	87	52
Ivory Madonna	75	94	64
King Of Fury	72	91	59
Shandy Star	72	86	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dirtyoldtown	3d ago	Quick return
Shandy Star	7d ago	Quick return
Hodler	18d ago	Fit
Marshal Dan	18d ago	Fit
King Of Fury	18d ago	Fit
Hieronymus	19d ago	Fit
Ivory Madonna	19d ago	Fit
Lunatick	20d ago	Fit
Hierarchy	20d ago	Fit
Love De Vega	20d ago	Fit
Hiromichi	26d ago	Fit
Repertoire	26d ago	Fit
Marlay Park	34d ago	Fit
Little Boy Blue	34d ago	Fit
Bernardo O'Reilly	35d ago	Fit
Liamarty Dreams	36d ago	Fit
Bay Breeze	42d ago	Fit
Al Marmar	185d ago	Long break