Trustatrader Apply Today Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div II)

Warwick

13:20

Date 2023-11-07

Distance 2m3f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,085

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
10	Kintail Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	153	—	2-1	-	-	-	178d	—	—	-22	32.9	4/6 60%
Won course bumper in May, form that has been well advertised by the runner-up over hurdles
2	God's Own Getaway Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	154	—	972-	-	106	71	221d	—	—	-6	9.4	9/2 18%
No threat to winner when second on hurdle debut but should have more to offer; up in trip
6	Mount Ferns Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	154	—	02-	-	-	-	217d	—	—	-2	7.7	17/2 11%
Left disappointing debut behind when second in Fontwell bumper in April; can improve again
11	Nelson Criq Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	153	—	5-	-	-	-	195d	—	—	-5	1.7	12 8%
Made just a mildly encouraging bumper debut at Ludlow; improvement needed here
5	Kruger Park Chestnut J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	154	—	35P-	-	-	-	222d	—	—	-4	1.6	12 8%
Ran with promise in first two bumpers; pulled up when unsteerable next time; hurdle debut
9	Jo Lescribaa Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	153	—	32-	-	-	-	366d	—	—	+3	8.7	14 7%
Placed in two 1m4f AQPS flat races in France last autumn; market may guide here
8	Clondaw Royale Grey J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	153	—	2-8	-	64	-	32d	—	—	+1	4.4	28 4%
Second in Irish point debut in April but tailed off in Fontwell novice hurdle last month
3	Grand Escaparde Bay J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	154	t	0-	-	-	-	233d	—	—	-3	1	28 4%
Tailed off when 25-1 for soft-ground Chepstow bumper in March; had wind op in September
7	Parliament Bay J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	100 1%
1m5f Flat winner in France (fair form); makes stable/hurdle debut after long absence
13	Overabottleofred Chestnut J:David Noonan T:Tom Gretton	J:David Noonan T:Tom Gretton	146	—	U-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	200 1%
In contention before unseating rider on point debut but probably best watched here
1	Blagthebookies Bay J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	154	—	4D1-000	-	79	-	12d	—	—	-1	0.2	200/1 0%
Irish point winner in March but a well-beaten outsider in three hurdles last month
4	Kalabana Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Sam Allwood	J:Craig Nichol T:Sam Allwood	154	—	3/0-	-	-	-	389d	—	—	+2	2.3	500 0%
Struggled when 100-1 for Uttoxeter novice hurdle last month
12	Tiger Blade Bay J:Shane Quinlan(3) T:Harriet Brown	J:Shane Quinlan(3) T:Harriet Brown	153	—	6-65	-	-	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.2	500 0%
Ran quite well in course bumper in April but struggled on recent stable/hurdle debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kintail	8/15	4/6	4/6	4/6	4/6
God's Own Getaway	9/2	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
Mount Ferns	8	15/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Nelson Criq	12	12	12	12	12
Kruger Park	12	12	12	12	12
Jo Lescribaa	14	14	14	14	14
Clondaw Royale	28	28	28	28	28
Grand Escaparde	28	25	25/1	22	22
Parliament	100	66	66	66	66
Overabottleofred	150	200	150	150/1	150
Blagthebookies	200	200	150	200/1	125
Kalabana	500	300	300	300	300
Tiger Blade	500	250	250	250	250

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kintail

32.9

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 19.4

4/6

2nd

God's Own Getaway

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Jo Lescribaa

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.6

Mount Ferns

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Clondaw Royale

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.9

Kalabana

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.2

500

Nelson Criq

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Kruger Park

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Grand Escaparde

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Parliament

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Overabottleofred

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Blagthebookies

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Tiger Blade

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kintail	—	—	—
God's Own Getaway	—	106	71
Mount Ferns	—	—	—
Nelson Criq	—	—	—
Kruger Park	—	—	—
Jo Lescribaa	—	—	—
Clondaw Royale	—	64	—
Grand Escaparde	—	—	—
Parliament	—	—	—
Overabottleofred	—	—	—
Blagthebookies	—	79	—
Kalabana	—	—	—
Tiger Blade	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blagthebookies	12d ago	Quick return
Tiger Blade	16d ago	Fit
Clondaw Royale	32d ago	Fit
Kintail	178d ago	Long break
Nelson Criq	195d ago	Long break
Mount Ferns	217d ago	Long break
God's Own Getaway	221d ago	Long break
Kruger Park	222d ago	Long break
Grand Escaparde	233d ago	Long break
Jo Lescribaa	366d ago	Long break
Kalabana	389d ago	Long break
Parliament	—	—
Overabottleofred	—	—