Haslem Hotel Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) – Down Royal

Down Royal

13:45

Haslem Hotel Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race)

Date 2023-11-11

Distance 2m190y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €23,600

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	The Model Kingdom Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Noel Meade	J:Jack Kennedy T:Noel Meade	153	t	13202-	127	148	119	—	—	—	+11	38.1	15/8 35%
Satisfactory return to action in a 2m Flat maiden at Thurles; could go close
5	Foxy Girl Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	149	h	2/218-	123	154	130	240d	—	—	+3	29.8	5/2 29%
May be well handicapped and could take beating despite her lack of handicap experience
2	Magic Tricks Bay J:Carl Millar(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Carl Millar(7) T:Gordon Elliott	164	p	232/98	138	143	126	50d	—	—	+13	25.6	5 20%
Not disgraced in mid-division in a Listed contest at Listowel last time; could go well
NR	Media Naranja Bay J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	144	—	13-123	118	138	102	1d	—	—	-15	33.3	17/2 11%
Not that easy to assess and the handicapper has not taken many chances
3	Palace Rock Bay J:P J O'Hanlon(3) T:Francis Casey	J:P J O'Hanlon(3) T:Francis Casey	159	—	21/P2-	133	144	114	—	—	—	+15	23	10 10%
Nice comeback when staying fourth in a 1m4f handicap at Dundalk last month; should contend
1	Party Central Bay J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	166	t	171/40	140	138	112	100d	—	—	+16	24.9	10 10%
Tough task under top-weight but it is not the most competitive contest for the grade
9	Captains Nephew Chestnut J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:P J Rothwell	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:P J Rothwell	144	t	66-053	118	145	113	20d	—	—	+12	18.7	14 7%
Well beaten in a Listed at Listowel before a couple of okay runs in beginners chases
NR	Wajaaha Bay J:TBC T:Patrick J McKenna	J: T:Patrick J McKenna	144	p	0-5046	118	146	128	—	—	—	+13	18.3	25 4%
Solid runs in defeat on the Flat recently, including at Dundalk on Wednesday; more needed
8	Dark Note Chestnut J:Philip Donovan(5) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Philip Donovan(5) T:Andrew Slattery	148	—	332142	122	145	123	—	—	—	+27	31.2	22 5%
Beaten on the Flat at Dundalk latest; entitled to plenty of respect on his Listowel form
10	Legacy Thor Bay J:Peter Carberry T:S R B Crawford	J:Peter Carberry T:S R B Crawford	144	t	60020-	118	144	110	198d	—	—	+18	21.3	33 3%
Close second in a 2m3f handicap hurdle at Cork in April; best watched after 7 months off
13	Bestaline Grey J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	142	—	93-3	116	125	108	20d	—	—	+17	20.3	33 3%
Would appear harshly handicapped but unlikely that she has finished improving
6	Max Flamingo Bay J:Simon Torrens T:Francis Casey	J:Simon Torrens T:Francis Casey	149	b	P0P0-6	123	138	42	31d	—	—	+16	19	33 3%
Ran okay in a 2m4f handicap hurdle at Punchestown but hard to fancy over this trip
7	Sit Down Lucy Bay J:Kieran Callaghan(5) T:Peter Fahey	J:Kieran Callaghan(5) T:Peter Fahey	149	—	8-30U6	123	143	126	20d	—	—	+17	18.8	40 3%
Struggled to find her best form over hurdles or fences since the spring; others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
The Model Kingdom	2	2	15/8	2	2
Foxy Girl	9/4	9/4	5/2	5/2	9/4
Magic Tricks	5	5	5	5	5
Media Naranja	9	17/2	8	8	17/2
Palace Rock	9	10	17/2	9	10
Party Central	10	8	8	8	8
Captains Nephew	14	12	11	12	12
Wajaaha	25	25	25	25	25
Dark Note	22	22	20	22	20
Legacy Thor	28	28	28	28	33
Bestaline	33	33	28	33	33
Max Flamingo	33	33	33	33	33
Sit Down Lucy	40	33	33	40	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Model Kingdom

38.1

OR: 19.3 Form: 10.4 Odds: 8.4

15/8

2nd

Media Naranja

33.3

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 16.3

17/2

3rd

Dark Note

31.2

OR: 18 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.1

Foxy Girl

29.8

OR: 18.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 8

5/2

Magic Tricks

25.6

OR: 22 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Party Central

24.9

OR: 22.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Palace Rock

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Legacy Thor

21.3

OR: 17 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

Bestaline

20.3

OR: 16.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

Max Flamingo

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Sit Down Lucy

18.8

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Captains Nephew

18.7

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Wajaaha

18.3

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Party Central	140	138	112
Magic Tricks	138	143	126
Palace Rock	133	144	114
The Model Kingdom	127	148	119
Foxy Girl	123	154	130
Max Flamingo	123	138	42
Sit Down Lucy	123	143	126
Dark Note	122	145	123
Media Naranja	118	138	102
Captains Nephew	118	145	113
Wajaaha	118	146	128
Legacy Thor	118	144	110
Bestaline	116	125	108

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Media Naranja	1d ago	Quick return
Captains Nephew	20d ago	Fit
Bestaline	20d ago	Fit
Sit Down Lucy	20d ago	Fit
Max Flamingo	31d ago	Fit
Magic Tricks	50d ago	Fresh
Party Central	100d ago	Long break
Legacy Thor	198d ago	Long break
Foxy Girl	240d ago	Long break
The Model Kingdom	—	—
Palace Rock	—	—
Wajaaha	—	—
Dark Note	—	—