BetMGM Take Time Out During #SGWeek23! EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

14:30

Date 2023-11-17

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,373

Winning Time 2m 12.59s (slow by 5.09s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Meydaan (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Simon & Ed Crisford	2/1	Won
2nd	Mr Hampstead (USA) David Egan · Roger Varian	15/8F	1.75
3rd	Flickering Halo (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Tim Easterby	40/1	6.5
4th	Tokyo Bay (IRE) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	9/1	2.25
5th	Sir Geoff Hurst (FR) Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	66/1	0.1
6th	Believitanducan (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	125/1	6
7th	Laughing Lord (IRE) Tom Eaves · Tracy Waggott	150/1	36

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Assailant Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	133	—	3	-	84	-	34d	—	—	-20	13.6	0.44/1	7/4 36%
The form pick after his staying-on third of seven maiden at York (1m, soft); 1m2f can help
5 (1)	Meydaan Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-20	8.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Third foal; dam 1m-1m2f winner (including AW/Group 1; RPR 115); Frankel colt
6 (7)	Mr Hampstead Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-17	7.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
$575,000 yearling; second foal; brother to the 2023 Irish Oaks winner Savethelastdance
8 (6)	Tokyo Bay Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	133	—	2	-	77	-	30d	—	—	-1	7.1	2.25/1	10 10%
No match for winner at Nottingham (1m, heavy) but beat the other four, coming from rear
3 (2)	Flickering Halo Brown J:Paul Mulrennan T:Tim Easterby	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Tim Easterby	133	—	4	-	74	-	48d	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
4th of 5 in Killarney maiden (1m, heavy); left Joseph O'Brien's for 18,000gns in October
7 (4)	Sir Geoff Hurst Bay J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	8	-	47	-	13d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
4-1 for maiden at Chelmsford (1m, AW) but slowly away and green, finishing last of eight
4 (8)	Laughing Lord Grey J:Tom Eaves T:Tracy Waggott	J:Tom Eaves T:Tracy Waggott	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
16,000euros yearling, by Waldgeist; has been gelded and had wind surgery
2 (3)	Believitanducan Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	133	—	75	-	73	-	30d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Fifth of six at Nottingham (1m, heavy) was a lot better, just over 1l behind Tokyo Bay

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Assailant	7/4	13/8	11/8	6/4	13/8
Meydaan	7/4	15/8	2	15/8	15/8
Mr Hampstead	9/4	9/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Tokyo Bay	10	10	9	10	9
Flickering Halo	80	50	50	50	40
Sir Geoff Hurst	66	50	50	66	50
Laughing Lord	150	125	100	125	80
Believitanducan	150	100	100	125	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Assailant

13.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 10.6

7/4

2nd

Meydaan

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

15/8

3rd

Mr Hampstead

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Tokyo Bay

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

Flickering Halo

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Sir Geoff Hurst

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Laughing Lord

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Believitanducan

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Assailant	—	84	—
Meydaan	—	—	—
Mr Hampstead	—	—	—
Tokyo Bay	—	77	—
Flickering Halo	—	74	—
Sir Geoff Hurst	—	47	—
Laughing Lord	—	—	—
Believitanducan	—	73	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sir Geoff Hurst	13d ago	Quick return
Tokyo Bay	30d ago	Fit
Believitanducan	30d ago	Fit
Assailant	34d ago	Fit
Flickering Halo	48d ago	Fresh
Meydaan	—	—
Mr Hampstead	—	—
Laughing Lord	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.