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Lingfield (AW)

13:26

Date 2023-11-18

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Winning Time 2m 5.62s (slow by 4.32s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Popcorn Magic (GB) David Probert · Andrew Balding	10/1	Won
2nd	Indemnity (IRE) David Egan · Roger Varian	6/4	.75
3rd	Hosanna Power (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Sir Michael Stoute	5/4F	1.75
4th	Polling Day (IRE) Luke Morris · Archie Watson	5/1	0.2
5th	Luna Dipinta (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Kevin Philippart De Foy	28/1	2.5
6th	Lookingdandy (GB) David Nolan · David Evans	150/1	0.05
7th	Bloom Of Greece (GB) Gina Mangan · Rachel Cook & John Bridger	200/1	4
8th	Silk Purse (GB) George Wood · John Butler	125/1	3.75
9th	Calshot Spit (IRE) George Bass · Jack Channon	80/1	0.3
10th	Dotties Moon (GB) Rhys Clutterbuck · Pat Phelan	50/1	3.5
11th	Rapallo (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	100/1	14
12th	Green Go (IRE) Paddy Bradley · Pat Phelan	150/1	26

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (11)	Hosanna Power Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Oisin Murphy T:Sir Michael Stoute	130	—	2-2	-	93	-	58d	—	—	-18	21	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Runner-up in 7f/1m maidens on turf; longer trip should suit now switching to AW
6 (2)	Indemnity Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	130	—	22	-	90	45	36d	—	—	-15	19.1	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Promising second in two AW starts in recent months; taken to go one better now
1 (8)	Polling Day Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	147	—	11/	-	83	-	941d	—	—	+9	20.1	1.25/1	6 17%
2-2 in course novices for the Gosden yard in spring 2021 but off since
7 (10)	Popcorn Magic Chestnut J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Newcomer from a leading yard; heed the market signals
11 (12)	Luna Dipinta Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Half-sister to a couple of winners; the betting should help guide to expectations
3 (3)	Calshot Spit Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Comfortably held in 1m5f Exeter bumper so can only be watched now switching to the Flat
10 (1)	Dotties Moon Brown J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Pat Phelan	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Pat Phelan	125	—	60	-	72	37	12d	—	—	-3	1.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Both runs at 1m, hinting at ability on turf debut but well beaten on AW since
8 (6)	Silk Purse Bay J:George Wood T:John Butler	J:George Wood T:John Butler	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Best to look elsewhere on belated debut unless the betting strongly hints otherwise
12 (5)	Rapallo Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	125	—	05	-	52	-	89d	—	—	-1	0.4	49.75/1	200 1%
In good hands but well held in two outings over 1m (AW/turf) in the summer
4 (9)	Green Go Chestnut J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	130	—	5	-	57	-	189d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Modest fifth on sole run for Roger Varian; sold for only 1,000gns since
2 (7)	Lookingdandy Bay J:David Nolan T:David Evans	J:David Nolan T:David Evans	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	99.75/1	400 0%
Well beaten in a bumper and six hurdles for Ben Pauling
9 (4)	Bloom Of Greece Chestnut J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	125	—	9	-	62	-	33d	—	—	0	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
No short-term promise on last month's turf debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Hosanna Power	6/5	6/5	6/5	6/5	6/5
Indemnity	6/4	6/4	11/8	6/4	6/4
Polling Day	6	6	6	6	6
Popcorn Magic	10	10	10	10	10
Luna Dipinta	25	25	25	25	25
Calshot Spit	80	50	50	50	50
Dotties Moon	22	22	22	22	20
Silk Purse	80	100	100	100	100
Rapallo	200	66	50	66	66
Green Go	150	150	125	150	125
Lookingdandy	400	100	100	125	100
Bloom Of Greece	500	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hosanna Power

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 12.5

6/5

2nd

Polling Day

20.1

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 3.1

3rd

Indemnity

19.1

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 10.6

6/4

Popcorn Magic

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Dotties Moon

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Luna Dipinta

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Calshot Spit

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Rapallo

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200

Silk Purse

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Green Go

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Lookingdandy

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400

Bloom Of Greece

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hosanna Power	—	93	—
Indemnity	—	90	45
Polling Day	—	83	—
Popcorn Magic	—	—	—
Luna Dipinta	—	—	—
Calshot Spit	—	—	—
Dotties Moon	—	72	37
Silk Purse	—	—	—
Rapallo	—	52	—
Green Go	—	57	—
Lookingdandy	—	—	—
Bloom Of Greece	—	62	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dotties Moon	12d ago	Quick return
Bloom Of Greece	33d ago	Fit
Indemnity	36d ago	Fit
Hosanna Power	58d ago	Fresh
Rapallo	89d ago	Fresh
Green Go	189d ago	Long break
Polling Day	941d ago	Long break
Popcorn Magic	—	—
Luna Dipinta	—	—
Calshot Spit	—	—
Silk Purse	—	—
Lookingdandy	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m2f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.