France Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf) – Happy Valley

Happy Valley

11:00

France Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf)

Date 2023-12-06

Distance 1m55y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £52,183

Winning Time 1m 43.33s (slow by 5.33s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Nice Birdie (IRE) Jerry Chau · C S Shum	30/1	Won
2nd	Medic Elite (NZ) Hollie Doyle · P C Ng	66/10	0.2
3rd	Hang's Choice (IRE) Karis Teetan · W Y So	54/10	.5
4th	One Heart One (NZ) Lyle Hewitson · David A Hayes	12/1	1.5
5th	Brother Pearl (NZ) L J Ferraris · C H Yip	10/1	0.3
6th	Happy Jai Jai (NZ) Zac Purton · T P Yung	14/5F	.5
7th	Loyal Ambition (GER) James McDonald · C Fownes	67/10	0.3
8th	Mister Arm (AUS) H T Mo · Y S Tsui	33/1	0.1
9th	Charmander (NZ) C Y Ho · Jamie Richards	81/10	0.3
10th	Double Show (NZ) Tom Marquand · Douglas Whyte	43/5	1
11th	Circuit Elite (IRE) Brenton Avdulla · A S Cruz	28/1	2.75
12th	Compulsory (AUS) Andrea Atzeni · C W Chang	14/1	5.5

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R13 (13)	Happy Hunk Bay J:TBC T:K L Man	J: T:K L Man	135	ht	078079	40	59	-	28d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Appears to have a modicum of ability but is yet to be placed after six runs
R14 (14)	Fire Ball Bay J:TBC T:C H Yip	J: T:C H Yip	128	p	009303	33	69	-	14d	—	—	—	4.5	—	—
Inconsistent but capable at this level and caught the eye over 6f here 14 days ago
1 (9)	Charmander Chestnut J:C Y Ho T:Jamie Richards	J:C Y Ho T:Jamie Richards	135	tb	079006	40	65	-	17d	—	—	—	0	—	—
More to like about his 6f run here 17 days ago; interesting contender now back up in trip
2 (12)	Circuit Elite Grey J:Brenton Avdulla T:A S Cruz	J:Brenton Avdulla T:A S Cruz	135	tb	901079	40	59	-	38d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Three 1m1f wins at this level last term but is still 5lb above last winning mark
3 (4)	Happy Jai Jai Bay J:Zac Purton T:T P Yung	J:Zac Purton T:T P Yung	131	t	268323	36	64	-	28d	—	—	—	8	—	—
C&D winner; 4lb below his last winning mark and sure to be popular again under Zac Purton
4 (11)	Nice Birdie Bay J:Jerry Chau(2) T:C S Shum	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:C S Shum	128	t	060050	33	66	-	14d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Failed to progress since finishing second over C&D on first turf outing earlier this year
5 (10)	One Heart One Brown J:L Hewitson T:David A Hayes	J:L Hewitson T:David A Hayes	128	tp	359980	33	69	-	31d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Stayed on for third over C&D in March (off 12lb higher) but mainly downhill since
6 (1)	Brother Pearl Brown J:L J Ferraris T:C H Yip	J:L J Ferraris T:C H Yip	127	—	670084	32	68	-	28d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Improved showing over C&D four weeks ago; interesting contender from the plum rails draw
7 (5)	Loyal Ambition Brown J:James McDonald T:C Fownes	J:James McDonald T:C Fownes	125	—	478902	30	62	-	14d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Runner-up over C&D 14 days ago and remains 1lb below last winning mark; every chance
8 (8)	Medic Elite Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:P C Ng	J:Hollie Doyle T:P C Ng	123	et	614556	28	64	-	28d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Gained second career win over C&D in September; solid claims off a slightly reduced mark
9 (2)	Double Show b/br J:Tom Marquand T:Douglas Whyte	J:Tom Marquand T:Douglas Whyte	122	tb	405237	27	70	-	28d	—	—	—	4.6	—	—
Maiden; should run well from a good draw but likely to find at least one too good again
10 (7)	Hang's Choice Chestnut J:Karis Teetan T:W Y So	J:Karis Teetan T:W Y So	119	tb	209561	24	63	-	38d	—	—	—	10	—	—
Belatedly shed his maiden status over C&D at the end of October; up 5lb but a contender
11 (3)	Mister Arm Bay J:H T Mo(2) T:Y S Tsui	J:H T Mo(2) T:Y S Tsui	119	—	34-750	24	65	-	14d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Last victory was over C&D but back in December 2021; can only be watched at present
12 (6)	Compulsory Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:C W Chang	J:Andrea Atzeni T:C W Chang	117	p	580434	21	52	-	10d	—	—	—	2.1	—	—
Improved form in three outings this season over 7f; step up to 1m looks the right move

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hang's Choice

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Happy Jai Jai

OR: 0 Form: 8 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Loyal Ambition

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Double Show

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 4.6 Odds: 0

—

Fire Ball

4.5

OR: 0 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0

—

Circuit Elite

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Compulsory

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Medic Elite

OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Happy Hunk

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Charmander

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Nice Birdie

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

One Heart One

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Brother Pearl

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mister Arm

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Happy Hunk	40	59	—
Charmander	40	65	—
Circuit Elite	40	59	—
Happy Jai Jai	36	64	—
Fire Ball	33	69	—
Nice Birdie	33	66	—
One Heart One	33	69	—
Brother Pearl	32	68	—
Loyal Ambition	30	62	—
Medic Elite	28	64	—
Double Show	27	70	—
Hang's Choice	24	63	—
Mister Arm	24	65	—
Compulsory	21	52	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Compulsory	10d ago	Quick return
Fire Ball	14d ago	Fit
Nice Birdie	14d ago	Fit
Loyal Ambition	14d ago	Fit
Mister Arm	14d ago	Fit
Charmander	17d ago	Fit
Happy Hunk	28d ago	Fit
Happy Jai Jai	28d ago	Fit
Brother Pearl	28d ago	Fit
Medic Elite	28d ago	Fit
Double Show	28d ago	Fit
One Heart One	31d ago	Fit
Circuit Elite	38d ago	Fit
Hang's Choice	38d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 1m55y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.