Essex Handicap (Div II) (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course B+2) (Turf)

Sha Tin

19:30

Date 2024-03-03

Distance 6f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £65,915

Winning Time 1m 10.17s (slow by 1.17s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sky Heart (NZ) Blake Shinn · C Fownes	31/10	Won
2nd	You'remyeverything (IRE) Angus Chung · A S Cruz	18/1	0.2
3rd	Must Go (AUS) Ryan Moore · J Size	12/5F	0.3
4th	Less Is More (AUS) Hugh Bowman · F C Lor	39/10	.75
5th	Always Fluke (AUS) Andrea Atzeni · K W Lui	9/1	.5
6th	Full Credit (AUS) Ben E Thompson · Mark Newnham	15/1	.75
7th	Strathbarry (AUS) Jerry Chau · T P Yung	19/1	.5
8th	Northern Beast (AUS) Alexis Badel · D J Hall	12/1	0.1
9th	Wonderful Unicorn (AUS) Zac Purton · W Y So	12/1	1
10th	Podium (AUS) M L Yeung · C W Chang	72/1	0.3
11th	Majestic Speed (IRE) K H Alfred Chan · C S Shum	163/1	1
12th	Super Bonus (IRE) K C Leung · P C Ng	39/1	.5
13th	Magic Supreme (AUS) Brenton Avdulla · K L Man	52/1	5
14th	Go Hero (AUS) H T Mo · Y S Tsui	155/1	0.3

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R15 (15)	Forerunner Chestnut J:TBC T:W K Mo	J: T:W K Mo	129	t	4997-8	54	69	-	20d	—	—	—	1	—	—
Impressed over 7f on debut in December 2022 but lightly raced and disappointing since
R16 (16)	Happy Feeling b/br J:TBC T:Jamie Richards	J: T:Jamie Richards	121	t	00-30	46	70	-	35d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Placed at Happy Valley in January, his third run, but well beaten over C&D since
1 (6)	Majestic Speed Bay J:K H Alfred Chan(5) T:C S Shum	J:K H Alfred Chan(5) T:C S Shum	135	t	710-00	60	77	-	32d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
Well-beaten outsider on first three Hong Kong starts (7f-1m); drops in trip and grade here
2 (2)	Wonderful Unicorn Bay J:Zac Purton T:W Y So	J:Zac Purton T:W Y So	134	t	0/056-	59	73	-	140d	—	—	—	2.3	—	—
Unplaced all four HK starts but Zac Purton is eyecatching jockey booking on stable debut
3 (11)	You'remyeverything Bay J:Angus Chung(5) T:A S Cruz	J:Angus Chung(5) T:A S Cruz	134	tb	67-002	59	87	-	14d	—	—	—	2.3	—	—
Well below best this season but was second off much reduced mark here two weeks ago
4 (9)	Magic Supreme Bay J:Brenton Avdulla T:K L Man	J:Brenton Avdulla T:K L Man	133	tb	102-90	58	68	-	39d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Won on dirt in early part of season but reverts to turf after some disappointing runs
5 (3)	Always Fluke Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:K W Lui	J:Andrea Atzeni T:K W Lui	131	hp	83129-	56	74	-	119d	—	—	—	10.9	—	—
C&D winner in September; not yet fully exposed but absent since below-par run in November
6 (1)	Must Go b/br J:Ryan Moore T:J Size	J:Ryan Moore T:J Size	130	et	7-0026	55	73	-	7d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
Good second over C&D last month and had tough draw when sixth on latest outing; big player
7 (13)	Sky Heart Bay J:Blake Shinn T:C Fownes	J:Blake Shinn T:C Fownes	129	t	23	54	74	-	28d	—	—	—	7.5	—	—
Placed on first two starts (6f/7f) and probably still has potential; respected
8 (12)	Full Credit Bay J:Ben E Thompson T:Mark Newnham	J:Ben E Thompson T:Mark Newnham	127	—	—	52	-	-	—	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Drawn wide for official debut but won recent 6f dirt trial here and evidently has ability
9 (7)	Super Bonus Bay J:K C Leung T:P C Ng	J:K C Leung T:P C Ng	127	b	36000-	52	85	-	81d	—	—	—	1.1	—	—
Struggled in handicaps towards end of last year and is not the most obvious answer today
10 (4)	Less Is More Bay J:Hugh Bowman T:F C Lor	J:Hugh Bowman T:F C Lor	126	ht	56	51	76	-	28d	—	—	—	0.3	—	—
Displayed significant promise over 5f on first two starts; looks ready for a crack at 6f
11 (5)	Strathbarry Brown J:Jerry Chau(2) T:T P Yung	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:T P Yung	125	—	49-	50	66	-	77d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Belied big odds when fourth on debut; may not have handled dirt on second start
12 (14)	Go Hero Brown J:H T Mo(2) T:Y S Tsui	J:H T Mo(2) T:Y S Tsui	120	—	750-90	45	81	-	28d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Not devoid of ability but ran very poorly over 7f here last month and is now 0-7
13 (8)	Northern Beast Black J:Alexis Badel T:D J Hall	J:Alexis Badel T:D J Hall	118	—	605-05	43	83	-	25d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Ran okay when dropped to 6f last month but is 0-8 now; latest 2lb drop doesn't tempt
14 (10)	Podium Brown J:M L Yeung T:C W Chang	J:M L Yeung T:C W Chang	118	tb	068-80	43	85	-	14d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Yet to be placed after 11 Hong Kong starts and probably needs a drop to Class 5

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Always Fluke

10.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 9.4 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Sky Heart

7.5

OR: 1 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Majestic Speed

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Wonderful Unicorn

2.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

You'remyeverything

2.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Magic Supreme

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Must Go

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Super Bonus

1.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0

—

Forerunner

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Full Credit

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Less Is More

0.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Happy Feeling

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Strathbarry

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Go Hero

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Northern Beast

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Podium

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Majestic Speed	60	77	—
Wonderful Unicorn	59	73	—
You'remyeverything	59	87	—
Magic Supreme	58	68	—
Always Fluke	56	74	—
Must Go	55	73	—
Forerunner	54	69	—
Sky Heart	54	74	—
Full Credit	52	—	—
Super Bonus	52	85	—
Less Is More	51	76	—
Strathbarry	50	66	—
Happy Feeling	46	70	—
Go Hero	45	81	—
Northern Beast	43	83	—
Podium	43	85	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Must Go	7d ago	Quick return
You'remyeverything	14d ago	Fit
Podium	14d ago	Fit
Forerunner	20d ago	Fit
Northern Beast	25d ago	Fit
Sky Heart	28d ago	Fit
Less Is More	28d ago	Fit
Go Hero	28d ago	Fit
Majestic Speed	32d ago	Fit
Happy Feeling	35d ago	Fit
Magic Supreme	39d ago	Fit
Strathbarry	77d ago	Fresh
Super Bonus	81d ago	Fresh
Always Fluke	119d ago	Long break
Wonderful Unicorn	140d ago	Long break
Full Credit	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Sha Tin over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Based on 10 draws with historical results at this course and distance.