Boost Your Acca With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:00

Boost Your Acca With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-03-23

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £8,374

Winning Time 1m 0.11s (slow by 2.61s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Pepsi Cat (IRE) Dougie Costello · Steph Hollinshead	6/1	Won
2nd	Moon Flight (IRE) Robert Havlin · Linda Perratt	4/1	0.05
3rd	Strong Johnson (IRE) Luke Morris · Paul Midgley	16/1	.75
4th	Bonito Cavalo (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	7/2	0.1
5th	Elegant Erin (IRE) David Nolan · Paul Midgley	18/1	0.3
6th	Dream For Gold (IRE) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	3/1F	0.3
7th	Gustav Graves (GB) Joanna Mason · Derek Shaw	12/1	.75
8th	Grace Angel (GB) Sean Kirrane · Darryll Holland	25/1	2.25
9th	Castan (GB) Andrew Breslin · Bryan Smart	7/1	5
10th	Soul Seeker (IRE) Ben Robinson · David O'Meara	80/1	2.25

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	Dream For Gold Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	130	—	008-52	80	99	80	11d	—	—	-8	14.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Two good runs here since a gelding operation; should be involved once more
8 (10)	Moon Flight Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Linda Perratt	J:Robert Havlin T:Linda Perratt	129	—	-22125	79	98	85	20d	—	—	+6	23.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Series of good runs since joining this yard and likely to be in the shake up again
9 (5)	Bonito Cavalo Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	127	—	111131	77	100	84	10d	—	—	+14	35	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Been a revelation on AW this year, winning 6 times; overcame trouble latest; 3lb rise fair
2 (1)	Pepsi Cat Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	133	t	11-133	83	97	87	20d	—	—	0	11.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Continues on the upgrade and well suited by conditions; unlikely to be far away
6 (3)	Castan Chestnut J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	130	—	127-51	80	97	86	20d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	0	10.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Gained 2nd C&D win with a game effort here three weeks ago; up 4lb but set to go well
5 (8)	Strong Johnson Bay J:Luke Morris T:Paul Midgley	J:Luke Morris T:Paul Midgley	130	—	6262-6	80	99	87	76d	—	—	+4	8.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Well treated on this winter's best, including a C&D win off 2lb higher; one to consider
3 (6)	Elegant Erin Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	131	—	3463-8	81	96	36	20d	—	—	+4	9.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Behind a couple of these last time but that was back from a break; should fare better now
10 (9)	Gustav Graves Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	126	—	312117	76	97	87	10d	—	—	+18	23.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
He has enjoyed a fine winter but the handicapper may now have his measure
1 (2)	Grace Angel Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Darryll Holland	J:Sean Kirrane T:Darryll Holland	136	tb	71888-	86	98	-	195d	—	—	+9	13.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Did well on turf last year and plenty of AW promise as a 2yo; 195-day absence to overcome
7 (4)	Soul Seeker Bay J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	129	t	21310-	79	96	-	168d	—	—	+18	20.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Useful turf sprinter but yet to show comparable form on AW; best watched after an absence

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Dream For Gold	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2
Moon Flight	4/1	7/2	4/1	7/2	10/3
Bonito Cavalo	4/1	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Pepsi Cat	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2
Castan	8/1	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Strong Johnson	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Elegant Erin	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Gustav Graves	18/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Grace Angel	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Soul Seeker	25/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bonito Cavalo

OR: 6.8 Form: 22.1 Odds: 6.2

4/1

2nd

Moon Flight

23.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 11 Odds: 5.2

4/1

3rd

Gustav Graves

23.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 15.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Soul Seeker

20.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Dream For Gold

14.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Grace Angel

13.1

OR: 9 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Pepsi Cat

11.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Castan

10.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Elegant Erin

9.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Strong Johnson

8.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Grace Angel	86	98	—
Pepsi Cat	83	97	87
Elegant Erin	81	96	36
Dream For Gold	80	99	80
Castan	80	97	86
Strong Johnson	80	99	87
Moon Flight	79	98	85
Soul Seeker	79	96	—
Bonito Cavalo	77	100	84
Gustav Graves	76	97	87

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bonito Cavalo	10d ago	Quick return
Gustav Graves	10d ago	Quick return
Dream For Gold	11d ago	Quick return
Moon Flight	20d ago	Fit
Pepsi Cat	20d ago	Fit
Castan	20d ago	Fit
Elegant Erin	20d ago	Fit
Strong Johnson	76d ago	Fresh
Soul Seeker	168d ago	Long break
Grace Angel	195d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.