bet365 6 Horses Challenge Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

16:35

bet365 6 Horses Challenge Handicap

Date 2024-03-29

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £21,276

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (9)	Deceiver Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Billy Loughnane T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	134	—	/1932-	81	92	66	158d	—	—	+4	23.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Looks better on the AW than on turf so far; off five months, but has a good record fresh
16 (2)	Ribal Grey J:Colin Keane T:Stuart Williams	J:Colin Keane T:Stuart Williams	130	t	37-231	77	94	64	36d	—	—	-5	11.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Narrowly off the mark last time and each-way claims returned to 1m back in a handicap
11 (5)	Billy Mill Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	133	—	9-0311	80	98	87	26d	—	—	+1	10	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Bids for a hat-trick; all bar one of his wins have come over 7f; could be vulnerable
13 (4)	Longlai Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Wigham	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Wigham	133	—	63/1P-	80	95	-	329d	—	—	-1	10.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Not seen since last May, but record after 200 days off or more reads 141; interesting
12 (1)	Zozimus Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Muscutt T:David O'Meara	133	v	489-70	80	93	68	26d	—	—	+1	10.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Well treated on best form, but is 1-30 and was behind two of these at Newcastle last time
7 (12)	Mulgrave Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	134	ht	69-071	81	99	77	56d	—	—	+1	10.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Four wins at Dundalk since early last year; still fairly handicapped despite 7lb rise
8 (3)	Eligible Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	134	—	43-164	81	94	88	30d	—	—	+2	10.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
All four AW successes have come on the Southwell Tapeta so he may come up short again
9 (11)	Wildfell Chestnut J:J F Egan T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:J F Egan T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	134	—	7-5249	81	95	65	6d	—	—	+2	10.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Much higher in the weights than when completing a four-timer last year, but could go well
1 (7)	Two Tempting Chestnut J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	135	—	24883-	82	95	74	175d	—	—	+7	14.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Kempton regular with both wins coming there; off since October but has gone well fresh
3 (10)	Riot Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	135	tp	-48338	82	96	69	26d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+7	13.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Back off last winning mark, but all five wins (including three here) have come over 7f
5 (13)	Al Marmar Brown J:Hector Crouch T:Stuart Williams	J:Hector Crouch T:Stuart Williams	135	t	5-0138	82	95	65	40d	—	—	+5	9.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Still 6lb higher than when winning easily over C&D in January; drawn wide
6 (8)	Duc De Morny Chestnut J:Connor Planas(3) T:Tom Clover	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Tom Clover	134	—	97-984	81	94	63	16d	—	—	+6	8.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Best effort since arriving from France when fourth at Kempton this month; each-way claims
15 (15)	Zu Run Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Loughnane	J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Loughnane	131	p	8-6269	78	91	73	13d	—	—	+5	7.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Well held on his stable debut at Wolverhampton 13 days ago; opposed from his high draw
14 (6)	Blow Your Horn Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Ian Williams	J:Charles Bishop T:Ian Williams	131	p	1865-0	78	89	74	83d	—	—	+6	7.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Hasn't raced over a trip this short in over four years so not hard to have reservations
NR (14)	On A Session Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David & Nicola Barron	135	—	5730-0	82	93	49	26d	—	—	—	8	—	—
0-12 on AW and behind three of these on his Newcastle reappearance this month; drawn wide
NR (16)	Titan Rock Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:John & Sean Quinn	J:NON-RUNNER T:John & Sean Quinn	135	h	04-399	82	-	-	41d	—	—	—	8	—	—
1lb below last winning mark, but not at his best the last twice; hood on

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Deceiver	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Ribal	9/2	11/2	4/1	9/2	5/1
Billy Mill	8/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	8/1
Longlai	13/2	7/1	6/1	11/2	6/1
Zozimus	8/1	17/2	9/1	8/1	8/1
Mulgrave	17/2	9/1	17/2	9/1	15/2
Eligible	9/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Wildfell	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Two Tempting	12/1	12/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Riot	12/1	12/1	11/1	10/1	12/1
Al Marmar	22/1	20/1	22/1	18/1	20/1
Duc De Morny	40/1	33/1	40/1	28/1	40/1
Zu Run	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Blow Your Horn	80/1	66/1	80/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Deceiver

23.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 10.1 Odds: 5.7

9/2

2nd

Two Tempting

14.1

OR: 8 Form: 4 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

Riot

13.5

OR: 8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Ribal

11.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

11/2

Longlai

10.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Mulgrave

10.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Zozimus

10.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Eligible

10.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Wildfell

10.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Billy Mill

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Al Marmar

9.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Duc De Morny

8.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

On A Session

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Titan Rock

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Zu Run

7.6

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Blow Your Horn

7.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Two Tempting	82	95	74
Riot	82	96	69
Al Marmar	82	95	65
On A Session	82	93	49
Titan Rock	82	—	—
Deceiver	81	92	66
Mulgrave	81	99	77
Eligible	81	94	88
Wildfell	81	95	65
Duc De Morny	81	94	63
Billy Mill	80	98	87
Longlai	80	95	—
Zozimus	80	93	68
Zu Run	78	91	73
Blow Your Horn	78	89	74
Ribal	77	94	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wildfell	6d ago	Quick return
Zu Run	13d ago	Quick return
Duc De Morny	16d ago	Fit
Billy Mill	26d ago	Fit
Zozimus	26d ago	Fit
Riot	26d ago	Fit
On A Session	26d ago	Fit
Eligible	30d ago	Fit
Ribal	36d ago	Fit
Al Marmar	40d ago	Fit
Titan Rock	41d ago	Fit
Mulgrave	56d ago	Fresh
Blow Your Horn	83d ago	Fresh
Deceiver	158d ago	Long break
Two Tempting	175d ago	Long break
Longlai	329d ago	Long break