Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

14:40

Date 2024-04-06

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 2

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £51,540

Winning Time 2m 21.53s (slow by 3.63s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Cemhaan (GB) Neil Callan · George Baker	25/1	Won
2nd	Killybegs Warrior (IRE) James Doyle · Charlie Johnston	18/1	.75
3rd	Intinso (GB) Hollie Doyle · John & Thady Gosden	11/4	2.25
4th	Old Peculier (GB) David Probert · Mark Fahey	14/1	0.3
5th	Youthful King (GB) Ethan Jones · Luke Dace	14/1	.75
6th	Cannon Rock (GB) Aidan Keeley · James Owen	17/2	.5
7th	Chillingham (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	9/1	.5
8th	Captain Wierzba (GB) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	40/1	0.2
9th	Duc De Kent (FR) William Buick · Ian Williams	33/1	0.2
10th	Londoner (IRE) Jim Crowley · Jim Goldie	33/1	1
11th	Old Harrovian (GB) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	9/4F	0.2
12th	Dream Harder (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Ian Williams	22/1	1.25
13th	Valsad (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	20/1	4
14th	Laafi (FR) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	28/1	19

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (5)	Old Harrovian Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	126	t	7/116-	93	116	-	322d	—	—	-5	17.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Easy winner of AW starts; off since sixth in turf Group 3 in May; very interesting runner
3 (1)	Intinso Grey J:Hollie Doyle T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Hollie Doyle T:John & Thady Gosden	131	—	7336-1	98	113	81	21d	—	—	+8	27.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Gelded prior to easy win on Wolverhampton reappearance; likely more to come for top yard
5 (8)	Chillingham Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	130	h	42492-	97	114	81	135d	—	—	+13	20.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
His second at Wolverhampton in November is very solid AW form; big player
13 (2)	Cannon Rock Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:James Owen	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:James Owen	122	p	61/1	89	108	64	32d	—	—	+14	21.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Returned from long layoff to make it 2-3 in Southwell novice recently; an unknown quantity
14 (13)	Old Peculier Bay J:David Probert T:Mark Fahey	J:David Probert T:Mark Fahey	121	b	21-112	88	112	93	36d	—	—	+5	11.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Big improver on AW in blinkers this winter; yet another who has to enter reckoning
11 (10)	Youthful King Bay J:Ethan Jones(7) T:Luke Dace	J:Ethan Jones(7) T:Luke Dace	123	—	56-534	90	113	82	8d	—	—	+6	11.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Shaped well last twice, finishing with rattle for fourth at Lingfield on Good Friday
7 (9)	Valsad Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	128	—	7-4251	95	111	71	27d	—	—	+8	12.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Latest Southwell win was a career best but a 5lb rise demands more from him again
6 (4)	Londoner Chestnut J:Jim Crowley T:Jim Goldie	J:Jim Crowley T:Jim Goldie	129	—	90352-	96	111	97	169d	—	—	+16	18.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Useful for Aidan O'Brien, including on AW; gelded ahead of first run for Jim Goldie
2 (14)	Killybegs Warrior Bay J:James Doyle T:Charlie Johnston	J:James Doyle T:Charlie Johnston	136	—	04403-	103	112	-	175d	—	—	+14	17.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Useful on his day and placed on AW last spring but others are more appealing
12 (11)	Dream Harder Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	123	—	6143-3	90	112	74	21d	—	—	+11	13.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Four Tapeta wins but also acts on Polytrack; fair third to Intinso on Wolver reappearance
10 (3)	Duc De Kent Bay J:William Buick T:Ian Williams	J:William Buick T:Ian Williams	123	—	60-885	90	108	70	21d	—	—	+8	10.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Better signs when fifth to Intinso latest; down another 4lb and Buick booked
4 (12)	Laafi Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	131	t	03610-	98	111	27	147d	—	—	+18	20.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
1m2f win on turf last autumn; well held final start but remains low mileage for top stable
1 (6)	Cemhaan Bay J:Neil Callan T:George Baker	J:Neil Callan T:George Baker	138	t	0130-4	105	113	72	70d	—	—	+12	14.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Course winner; sound fourth on 1m4f course return but will need a smart effort to prevail
8 (7)	Captain Wierzba Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	U6/95-	95	108	-	337d	—	—	+10	11.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
No impact in good company last spring but leading yard perseveres; has been gelded

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Old Harrovian	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Intinso	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Chillingham	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Cannon Rock	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Old Peculier	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Youthful King	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Valsad	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Londoner	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Killybegs Warrior	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Dream Harder	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Duc De Kent	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Laafi	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Cemhaan	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Captain Wierzba	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Intinso

27.7

OR: 12 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

3/1

2nd

Cannon Rock

21.9

OR: 9.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

9/1

3rd

Laafi

20.6

OR: 12 Form: 7.9 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Chillingham

20.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Londoner

18.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Old Harrovian

17.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Killybegs Warrior

17.1

OR: 13.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Cemhaan

14.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Dream Harder

13.9

OR: 10 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Valsad

12.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Captain Wierzba

11.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Youthful King

11.6

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Old Peculier

11.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Duc De Kent

10.9

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cemhaan	105	113	72
Killybegs Warrior	103	112	—
Intinso	98	113	81
Laafi	98	111	27
Chillingham	97	114	81
Londoner	96	111	97
Valsad	95	111	71
Captain Wierzba	95	108	—
Old Harrovian	93	116	—
Youthful King	90	113	82
Dream Harder	90	112	74
Duc De Kent	90	108	70
Cannon Rock	89	108	64
Old Peculier	88	112	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Youthful King	8d ago	Quick return
Intinso	21d ago	Fit
Dream Harder	21d ago	Fit
Duc De Kent	21d ago	Fit
Valsad	27d ago	Fit
Cannon Rock	32d ago	Fit
Old Peculier	36d ago	Fit
Cemhaan	70d ago	Fresh
Chillingham	135d ago	Long break
Laafi	147d ago	Long break
Londoner	169d ago	Long break
Killybegs Warrior	175d ago	Long break
Old Harrovian	322d ago	Long break
Captain Wierzba	337d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.