Wolferton Stakes (Listed Race) – Ascot

Ascot

17:40

Wolferton Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2024-06-18

Distance 1m1f212y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £68,052

Runners (16)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (13)	Botanical Bay J:William Buick T:Roger Varian	J:William Buick T:Roger Varian	131	—	1231-1	107	123	98	32d	—	—	+7	31.5	5/2 29%
Most impressive in handicaps last twice; can make his mark at a higher level than that
9 (8)	Israr Bay J:Jim Crowley T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Jim Crowley T:John & Thady Gosden	131	b	22-932	114	128	113	39d	—	—	+1	22.2	3/1 25%
Group 2 winner last summer; good placed efforts in Group races this spring; big player
16 (2)	Torito Bay J:James Doyle T:John & Thady Gosden	J:James Doyle T:John & Thady Gosden	131	—	1214-3	107	125	105	45d	—	—	+5	22.5	7/2 22%
Low-mileage 4yo; shaped well in strong 1m1f handicap on return; should have more to offer
4 (12)	Astro King Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	131	—	16-824	111	125	92	46d	—	—	+10	17.4	14/1 7%
Second in 1m1f Group 3 on reappearance and shaped as if still in form over 1m4f since
11 (16)	Mujtaba Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	131	tb	/2-682	108	121	89	25d	—	—	+14	19.6	14/1 7%
Back-to-form second in 1m2f Goodwood Listed race latest but Jim Crowley prefers Israr
8 (4)	Haunted Dream Grey J:Christophe Soumillon T:H Al Jehani	J:Christophe Soumillon T:H Al Jehani	131	—	84-274	104	119	103	18d	—	—	+9	15.1	14/1 7%
Career-best RPR when fourth in 1m2f Epsom handicap latest; this demands a lot more again
1 (3)	Ancient Rome b/br J:Jamie Spencer T:Charles Hills	J:Jamie Spencer T:Charles Hills	136	—	43114-	110	120	89	262d	—	—	+26	28.7	33/1 3%
Did well for this yard last summer but has a 5lb penalty for US Grade 3 win in September
6 (14)	Cemhaan Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	131	t	30-413	110	120	61	31d	—	—	+13	15.8	28/1 3%
Creditable third in Group 3 latest; probably playing for a place at best again here
10 (11)	Knight Bay J:Mickael Barzalona T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Mickael Barzalona T:Simon & Ed Crisford	131	—	4227-5	109	123	90	87d	—	—	+13	15.5	33/1 3%
Claims on his peak form last year; Doncaster reappearance in March was very disappointing
13 (5)	Ouzo Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	131	—	031-11	106	117	83	123d	—	—	+11	15	28/1 3%
On a four-timer after handicap wins here and at Meydan (twice); this is a much bigger ask
2 (10)	Bold Discovery Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	136	—	1567-1	109	116	98	37d	—	—	+23	25.3	40/1 2%
Group 3 win on reappearance but penalty for that is likely to leave him vulnerable here
3 (9)	Checkandchallenge Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:William Knight	J:Callum Shepherd T:William Knight	134	v	541-58	111	121	93	23d	—	—	+14	15.8	40/1 2%
Has 3lb penalty for last November's Listed win and well held both outings this spring
14 (7)	Savvy Victory Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:S Woods	J:Daniel Tudhope T:S Woods	131	—	00167-	109	123	113	265d	—	—	+18	20.3	66/1 1%
Claims if he can refind form which saw him win 1m2f Sandown Listed race last July; gelded
12 (6)	Notre Belle Bete Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	131	p	3044-4	103	117	98	18d	—	—	+11	14	50/1 2%
Pretty smart but 0-17 on turf and likely outsider
15 (15)	Silver Sword Grey J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	131	—	152-48	103	115	93	17d	—	—	+12	13.7	66/1 1%
Second in 1m1f Group 3 final 3yo start; fourth in Listed on return but last at Epsom since
NR (1)	Certain Lad Bay J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	131	—	511-42	108	122	101	26d	—	—	—	14.5	—
Second of four in Sandown Listed latest but well held in two previous attempts in this

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Botanical	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Israr	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1	3/1
Torito	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Astro King	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Mujtaba	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Haunted Dream	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Ancient Rome	28/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Cemhaan	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Knight	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Ouzo	28/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Bold Discovery	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1
Checkandchallenge	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Savvy Victory	40/1	40/1	50/1	66/1	50/1
Notre Belle Bete	50/1	33/1	33/1	40/1	50/1
Silver Sword	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Botanical

31.5

OR: 14.3 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Ancient Rome

28.7

OR: 15 Form: 12.9 Odds: 0.8

33/1

3rd

Bold Discovery

25.3

OR: 14.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Torito

22.5

OR: 14.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Israr

22.2

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Savvy Victory

20.3

OR: 14.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Mujtaba

19.6

OR: 14.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Astro King

17.4

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Cemhaan

15.8

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Checkandchallenge

15.8

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Knight

15.5

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Haunted Dream

15.1

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Ouzo

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Certain Lad

14.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Notre Belle Bete

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Silver Sword

13.7

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Israr	114	128	113
Astro King	111	125	92
Checkandchallenge	111	121	93
Ancient Rome	110	120	89
Cemhaan	110	120	61
Knight	109	123	90
Bold Discovery	109	116	98
Savvy Victory	109	123	113
Mujtaba	108	121	89
Certain Lad	108	122	101
Botanical	107	123	98
Torito	107	125	105
Ouzo	106	117	83
Haunted Dream	104	119	103
Notre Belle Bete	103	117	98
Silver Sword	103	115	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Silver Sword	17d ago	Fit
Haunted Dream	18d ago	Fit
Notre Belle Bete	18d ago	Fit
Checkandchallenge	23d ago	Fit
Mujtaba	25d ago	Fit
Certain Lad	26d ago	Fit
Cemhaan	31d ago	Fit
Botanical	32d ago	Fit
Bold Discovery	37d ago	Fit
Israr	39d ago	Fit
Torito	45d ago	Fit
Astro King	46d ago	Fresh
Knight	87d ago	Fresh
Ouzo	123d ago	Long break
Ancient Rome	262d ago	Long break
Savvy Victory	265d ago	Long break