Newcastle (AW)

16:55 ✓ Result

Skopes Menswear Metrocentre Store Handicap

Date 2024-06-28
Distance 5f
Class Class 5
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £4,711
Winning Time 1m 0.03s (slow by 2.53s)

Result

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (13)
Elegant Erin
Bay
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:Paul Midgley
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:Paul Midgley
137 854632
77
92
68
28d +4
17.9
1.25/1
5/1
17%
Running into form lately and is suited by a stiff track; respected
5 (12)
Nelson Gay
Bay
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
132 b 3-4773
72
91
80
18d -2
11.2
1.50/1
6/1
14%
3lb lower than when winning over C&D last summer; on a favourable mark
11 (1)
Rory
Chestnut
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Jim Goldie
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Jim Goldie
126 183823
66
88
81
6d +2
15
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Needs a strong pace to aim at but needs everything to fall right even if he does get it
4 (14)
Paddy's Day
Bay
J:Rowan Scott
T:Nigel Tinkler
J:Rowan Scott
T:Nigel Tinkler
134 4-2627
74
89
77
22d -2
9.3
1.75/1
7/1
13%
Still 4lb higher than when winning over C&D last November and a bit more is required
3 (5)
Never Dark
Bay
J:Billy Loughnane
T:Iain Jardine
J:Billy Loughnane
T:Iain Jardine
135 7-0043
75
89
68
1d -2
9.6
1.63/1
13/2
13%
7lb below last winning mark; returned to some form lately, third at Hamilton yesterday
14 (7)
Phoenix Star
Bay
J:Silvestre De Sousa
T:Jessica Macey
J:Silvestre De Sousa
T:Jessica Macey
121 p 183326
61
88
60
14d +1
11.5
2.13/1
17/2
11%
Has won five times here, the latest from just 1lb lower; can't be dismissed
2 (4)
Castan
Chestnut
J:Dougie Costello
T:Bryan Smart
J:Dougie Costello
T:Bryan Smart
136 -51997
76
90
57
20d 0W/0P 1 run 0W/0P 1 run +5
11.1
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Dual C&D winner and back off the same mark as for the latest; high on list
7 (9)
Thornaby Pearl
Bay
J:Paddy Mathers
T:Adrian Nicholls
J:Paddy Mathers
T:Adrian Nicholls
130 -14755
70
89
-
21d +3
8.4
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Usually seen over further; 0-4 on the AW and not sure this is his ideal scenario
6 (2)
Our Absent Friends
Chestnut
J:Phil Dennis
T:Tristan Davidson
J:Phil Dennis
T:Tristan Davidson
132 1-9060
72
84
70
69d 0W/1P 1 run 0W/1P 1 run +9
13.9
5.50/1
22/1
4%
Dual C&D winner now 4lb lower than when last successful, but efforts this year modest
10 (10)
Newyorkstateofmind
Bay
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
127 -18051
67
90
62
16d +13
17.3
5.50/1
22/1
4%
Won at Hamilton last time, but his three previous wins have been followed by poor efforts
8 (11)
Sugar Hill Babe
Bay
J:Ethan Jones(5)
T:Lisa Williamson
J:Ethan Jones(5)
T:Lisa Williamson
128 6-1275
68
84
78
82d +2
5.6
6.25/1
25/1
4%
Record over C&D reads 2212, but still 8lb above her last winning mark
12 (8)
Buraback
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Derek Shaw
J:Cam Hardie
T:Derek Shaw
126 p 311054
66
85
76
8d +6
10
6.25/1
25/1
4%
Won four times in the spring; not disgraced the last twice, but needs a bit more
13 (3)
Lady Celia
Bay
J:Clifford Lee
T:Alan Brown
J:Clifford Lee
T:Alan Brown
126 4169-1
66
87
71
29d +12
14.9
7.00/1
28/1
3%
3lb higher than for her successful Carlisle return and has won twice here; respected
9 (6)
Borough
Bay
J:Mohammed Tabti(5)
T:Iain Jardine
J:Mohammed Tabti(5)
T:Iain Jardine
127 2007-9
67
88
-
16d +3
4.8
8.25/1
33/1
3%
2lb below last winning mark and has run well here, but he failed to beat a rival on return
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Elegant Erin
5/1 9/2 9/2 9/2 5/1
Nelson Gay
6/1 6/1 6/1 11/2 11/2
Rory
11/2 11/2 11/2 5/1 11/2
Paddy's Day
13/2 13/2 7/1 6/1 13/2
Never Dark
13/2 11/2 6/1 11/2 6/1
Phoenix Star
17/2 8/1 7/1 13/2 17/2
Castan
14/1 14/1 12/1 12/1 14/1
Thornaby Pearl
14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
Our Absent Friends
20/1 20/1 22/1 22/1 18/1
Newyorkstateofmind
20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 22/1
Sugar Hill Babe
25/1 25/1 22/1 18/1 25/1
Buraback
25/1 25/1 22/1 20/1 25/1
Lady Celia
25/1 25/1 25/1 22/1 28/1
Borough
33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Elegant Erin
17.9
OR: 6.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4
5/1
2nd Newyorkstateofmind
17.3
OR: 4.3 Form: 12 Odds: 1.1
22/1
3rd Rory
15
OR: 4 Form: 7.4 Odds: 3.6
11/2
4 Lady Celia
14.9
OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 0.9
28/1
5 Our Absent Friends
13.9
OR: 5.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4
22/1
6 Phoenix Star
11.5
OR: 2.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 2.9
17/2
7 Nelson Gay
11.2
OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6
6/1
8 Castan
11.1
OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6
14/1
9 Buraback
10
OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 1
25/1
10 Never Dark
9.6
OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
13/2
11 Paddy's Day
9.3
OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
7/1
12 Thornaby Pearl
8.4
OR: 5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.4
14/1
13 Sugar Hill Babe
5.6
OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
25/1
14 Borough
4.8
OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
33/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Elegant Erin
77
92
68
Castan
76
90
57
Never Dark
75
89
68
Paddy's Day
74
89
77
Nelson Gay
72
91
80
Our Absent Friends
72
84
70
Thornaby Pearl
70
89
Sugar Hill Babe
68
84
78
Newyorkstateofmind
67
90
62
Borough
67
88
Rory
66
88
81
Buraback
66
85
76
Lady Celia
66
87
71
Phoenix Star
61
88
60

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Never Dark 1d ago Quick return
Rory 6d ago Quick return
Buraback 8d ago Quick return
Phoenix Star 14d ago Fit
Newyorkstateofmind 16d ago Fit
Borough 16d ago Fit
Nelson Gay 18d ago Fit
Castan 20d ago Fit
Thornaby Pearl 21d ago Fit
Paddy's Day 22d ago Fit
Elegant Erin 28d ago Fit
Lady Celia 29d ago Fit
Our Absent Friends 69d ago Fresh
Sugar Hill Babe 82d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.