Play The BetVictor Predictor Now Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

17:55

Play The BetVictor Predictor Now Handicap

Date 2024-08-29

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £7,328

Winning Time 1m 24.85s (slow by 2.05s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	North View (GB) William Buick · Peter Chapple-Hyam	15/2	Won
2nd	Murashah (IRE) Jim Crowley · Charles Hills	3/1F	.75
3rd	Tennessee Gold (FR) Robert Havlin · Joseph Parr	13/2	0.2
4th	American Bay (GB) Pat Dobbs · Harry Charlton	8/1	1.5
5th	Bona Fortuna (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Michael Appleby	13/2	2
6th	Bella Taslina (GB) Richard Kingscote · Clive Cox	33/1	1.5
7th	Miguel (IRE) George Bass · Jack Channon	10/1	.75
8th	My Margie (IRE) Ethan Jones · Richard Hughes	22/1	0.1
9th	Mercian Warrior (IRE) George Downing · Eve Johnson Houghton	25/1	.5
10th	Invincible Aura (GB) Tom Marquand · Marco Botti	50/1	.5
11th	Bourgeoisie (GB) Joe Leavy · Richard Hannon	28/1	1
12th	Scarlet Lady (GB) Hollie Doyle · Philip McBride	7/1	0.2
13th	The Caribbean (IRE) Silvestre De Sousa · Heather Main	40/1	1.75
14th	Hunters Run (IRE) George Rooke · Richard Hughes	125/1	0.3
15th	Rating (IRE) Gina Mangan · Gary Brown	50/1	1
16th	Fool's Gold (IRE) James Doyle · Richard Spencer	9/1	2.5

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (9)	American Bay Chestnut J:Pat Dobbs T:Harry Charlton	J:Pat Dobbs T:Harry Charlton	136	—	32-445	81	88	73	69d	—	—	-1	11.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has regressed from an eyecatching return here but being gelded could help matters
4 (2)	Murashah Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Charles Hills	J:Jim Crowley T:Charles Hills	136	—	1-6	81	88	65	85d	—	—	+6	18.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Enters handicaps as an unexposed 3yo but market confidence would be welcomed
9 (16)	Bona Fortuna Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	133	t	35-11	78	94	79	38d	—	—	-2	10.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
2-2 for this yard and 3lb rise for Windsor seems fair; gives the impression he'll stay 7f
17 (14)	Scarlet Lady Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Philip McBride	J:Hollie Doyle T:Philip McBride	117	—	225331	62	99	87	10d	—	—	+8	21.2	1.50/1	6/1 14%
It was only a Class 6 that she won at Yarmouth but did so by 4l and goes unpenalised
7 (3)	Tennessee Gold Chestnut J:Robert Havlin T:Joseph Parr	J:Robert Havlin T:Joseph Parr	134	—	-14231	79	89	72	21d	—	—	+16	26.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
The pace was strong when getting up late in the day over this far at Sandown latest
10 (4)	North View Bay J:William Buick T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:William Buick T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	131	b	-04254	76	91	79	34d	—	—	+3	11.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Held up in a race that suited the prominent racers when a close fourth at Ascot last time
13 (1)	Miguel Chestnut J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	129	—	279052	74	91	83	19d	—	—	+5	13.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Every chance before run out of it late on at Haydock last time; this is a higher grade
2 (13)	Fool's Gold Bay J:James Doyle T:Richard Spencer	J:James Doyle T:Richard Spencer	136	—	617-4	81	87	66	54d	—	—	+2	9.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Speedy juvenile and returned over 5f; stamina is the burning issue now raised to 7f
1 (10)	My Margie Bay J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Richard Hughes	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Richard Hughes	137	—	114075	82	89	66	25d	—	—	+7	11	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Needs to get back on track but feasibly treated, especially with a 5lb claimer employed
8 (12)	Bourgeoisie Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	134	—	5222-5	79	83	61	87d	—	—	+4	8.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Runner-up in three of four races last year and return was okay; up in trip for h'cap debut
12 (8)	Mercian Warrior Bay J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	129	—	3528-7	74	94	86	13d	—	—	+3	7.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Well treated on one piece of form last season but that's beginning to look flattering
15 (7)	Bella Taslina Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	125	p	243184	70	89	85	19d	—	—	+8	12	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Hasn't kicked on from her winning handicap debut and cheekpieces are now added
11 (17)	Invincible Aura Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Marco Botti	J:Tom Marquand T:Marco Botti	130	tp	405981	75	90	29	22d	—	—	+14	17	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Did well to win at all at Kempton (off 5lb lower) but does seem a better horse on the AW
14 (6)	Rating Chestnut J:Gina Mangan T:Gary Brown	J:Gina Mangan T:Gary Brown	128	p	3-3052	73	89	71	65d	—	—	+6	8.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Good final run for Brian Meehan but she's had her share of off days; tries cheekpieces
6 (5)	The Caribbean Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Heather Main	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Heather Main	135	tb	-79400	80	91	70	174d	—	—	+6	8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Dual winner in Ireland; below par in five Meydan starts and now gelded; best watched
16 (15)	Hunters Run Bay J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	120	h	076	65	77	-	28d	—	—	+3	4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Doesn't look on that good a mark now handicapping; hood is tried now
NR (11)	Secret Bid Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Archie Watson	J:NON-RUNNER T:Archie Watson	135	p	915640	80	-	-	28d	—	—	—	9.5	—	—
Non-runner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
American Bay	13/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Murashah	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Bona Fortuna	5/1	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2
Scarlet Lady	5/1	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2
Tennessee Gold	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
North View	10/1	17/2	8/1	17/2	17/2
Miguel	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Fool's Gold	9/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
My Margie	20/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Bourgeoisie	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Mercian Warrior	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Bella Taslina	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Invincible Aura	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Rating	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
The Caribbean	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Hunters Run	150/1	100/1	80/1	125/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tennessee Gold

26.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 16.6 Odds: 3.1

7/1

2nd

Scarlet Lady

21.2

OR: 3 Form: 14.6 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Murashah

18.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Invincible Aura

OR: 6.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Miguel

13.2

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Bella Taslina

OR: 5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.1

25/1

North View

11.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.5

10/1

American Bay

11.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

My Margie

OR: 8 Form: 2 Odds: 1

25/1

Bona Fortuna

10.6

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Fool's Gold

9.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Secret Bid

9.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Rating

8.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Bourgeoisie

8.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

The Caribbean

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Mercian Warrior

7.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Hunters Run

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
My Margie	82	89	66
American Bay	81	88	73
Murashah	81	88	65
Fool's Gold	81	87	66
The Caribbean	80	91	70
Secret Bid	80	—	—
Tennessee Gold	79	89	72
Bourgeoisie	79	83	61
Bona Fortuna	78	94	79
North View	76	91	79
Invincible Aura	75	90	29
Miguel	74	91	83
Mercian Warrior	74	94	86
Rating	73	89	71
Bella Taslina	70	89	85
Hunters Run	65	77	—
Scarlet Lady	62	99	87

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Scarlet Lady	10d ago	Quick return
Mercian Warrior	13d ago	Quick return
Miguel	19d ago	Fit
Bella Taslina	19d ago	Fit
Tennessee Gold	21d ago	Fit
Invincible Aura	22d ago	Fit
My Margie	25d ago	Fit
Hunters Run	28d ago	Fit
Secret Bid	28d ago	Fit
North View	34d ago	Fit
Bona Fortuna	38d ago	Fit
Fool's Gold	54d ago	Fresh
Rating	65d ago	Fresh
American Bay	69d ago	Fresh
Murashah	85d ago	Fresh
Bourgeoisie	87d ago	Fresh
The Caribbean	174d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Secret Bid	Prominent
Murashah	Mid-Pack
North View	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 17 runners classified.