M J Church Handicap – Salisbury

Salisbury

16:50

M J Church Handicap

Date 2024-10-03

Distance 1m6f44y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,888

Winning Time 3m 10.45s (slow by 9.65s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Berkshire Sundance (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	15/2	Won
2nd	Small Fry (IRE) Tom Queally · Gary & Josh Moore	5/4F	.5
3rd	Crown Of India (IRE) Tom Marquand · Ed Walker	11/2	2.75
4th	Road To Wembley (GB) Jim Crowley · Richard Hughes	7/1	7
5th	Frankelian (GB) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	13/2	3
6th	Zikany (GB) Saffie Osborne · Amanda Perrett	20/1	6.5
7th	Jack The Savage (GB) Callum Hutchinson · Laura Horsfall	50/1	8
8th	Wilderness (GB) Jimmy Quinn · Seamus Mullins	66/1	20
9th	Nini Star (FR) David Probert · David Menuisier	25/1	.75
10th	St Pancras (GB) Sean Levey · Martyn Meade	11/1	3
11th	Torre Del Oro (IRE) Hayley Turner · Chris Gordon	150/1	38

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Small Fry Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	131	—	961211	76	81	74	12d	—	—	+7	39	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Won three of six starts for current yard, including a quick double last month; appealing
9	Frankelian Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	129	b	-33526	74	83	79	27d	—	—	0	15.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Eight-race maiden; trying 1m6f and cheekpieces on latest outing was not her best form
2	Road To Wembley Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Richard Hughes	J:Jim Crowley T:Richard Hughes	135	—	134217	80	83	73	26d	—	—	+8	21.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Put in his place last time; needs to resume improvement on this very different surface
4	Crown Of India Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	133	h	-33383	78	80	71	34d	—	—	+5	16.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Needs to settle much better over new trip; the hood (tried three starts back) returns
3	St Pancras Bay J:Sean Levey T:Martyn Meade	J:Sean Levey T:Martyn Meade	134	—	73513	79	84	68	53d	—	—	+11	21	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Below form latest; dam won at up to 1m6f; lightly raced, so could still have potential
5	Berkshire Sundance Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	132	—	4341-U	70	83	58	20d	—	—	-2	7.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Could have potential if there are no alarms, having reared over in the stalls on return
8	Nini Star Bay J:David Probert T:David Menuisier	J:David Probert T:David Menuisier	131	—	4-2374	76	81	68	20d	—	—	+4	7.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Improved when staying-on fourth of nine in handicap at Sandown (1m2f, soft) last time
6	Zikany Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Amanda Perrett	J:Saffie Osborne T:Amanda Perrett	132	—	6143/7	70	90	59	40d	—	—	+3	5.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Absent 666 days before soundly beaten at Goodwood this August; well treated on 2022 form
11	Jack The Savage Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Laura Horsfall	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Laura Horsfall	126	t	53/79-	64	-	-	—	—	—	+2	4.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Below form latest start over hurdles but overall jumps form means he needs a second look
10	Wilderness Bay J:Jimmy Quinn T:Seamus Mullins	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Seamus Mullins	127	b	-42935	65	88	77	29d	—	—	+6	7.7	37.50/1	150/1 1%
No win since July 2022; 2nd at Salisbury in June but not so good in her three starts since
1	Torre Del Oro Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Chris Gordon	J:Hayley Turner T:Chris Gordon	140	—	/1954-	78	-	39	403d	—	—	+9	10.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Claimed out of Andrew Balding's for £20,000; gelded since; others look far more solid

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Small Fry	13/8	13/8	6/4	6/4	6/4
Frankelian	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Road To Wembley	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2	5/1
Crown Of India	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
St Pancras	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1	8/1
Berkshire Sundance	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1	9/1
Nini Star	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Zikany	33/1	28/1	28/1	22/1	25/1
Jack The Savage	50/1	40/1	50/1	40/1	50/1
Wilderness	150/1	80/1	80/1	50/1	80/1
Torre Del Oro	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Small Fry

OR: 6.5 Form: 22.5 Odds: 10

13/8

2nd

Road To Wembley

21.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

St Pancras

OR: 7.3 Form: 10.9 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Crown Of India

16.3

OR: 7 Form: 6 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Frankelian

15.4

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Torre Del Oro

10.3

OR: 7 Form: 3 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Berkshire Sundance

7.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Wilderness

7.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Nini Star

7.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Zikany

5.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Jack The Savage

4.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Road To Wembley	80	83	73
St Pancras	79	84	68
Crown Of India	78	80	71
Torre Del Oro	78	—	39
Small Fry	76	81	74
Nini Star	76	81	68
Frankelian	74	83	79
Berkshire Sundance	70	83	58
Zikany	70	90	59
Wilderness	65	88	77
Jack The Savage	64	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Small Fry	12d ago	Quick return
Berkshire Sundance	20d ago	Fit
Nini Star	20d ago	Fit
Road To Wembley	26d ago	Fit
Frankelian	27d ago	Fit
Wilderness	29d ago	Fit
Crown Of India	34d ago	Fit
Zikany	40d ago	Fit
St Pancras	53d ago	Fresh
Torre Del Oro	403d ago	Long break
Jack The Savage	—	—