Kempton (AW)

16:00

Unibet Zero% Mission Classified Claiming Stakes

Date 2024-10-23
Distance 6f
Class Class 5
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £4,187

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (5)
Hierarchy
Chestnut
J:Saffie Osborne
T:Jamie Osborne
J:Saffie Osborne
T:Jamie Osborne
135 tb 003223
75
88
71
2d -16
32.4
0.21/1
5/6
55%
Placed on last four starts, the most recent on Monday, and should give his running again
7 (2)
Treacherous
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:Ed de Giles
J:Luke Morris
T:Ed de Giles
127 288120
75
96
-
38d +2
20
1.00/1
4/1
20%
Veteran who flopped last time but who had been in good nick beforehand; solid claims
8 (7)
Aidan Andabettin
Bay
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Richard Spencer
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Richard Spencer
126 b 941607
75
98
75
26d -1
13.3
1.50/1
6/1
14%
C&D winner; easy AW win in July (5f) but less good since; chance down in class
4 (8)
Pinball Wizard
Bay
J:Sean D Bowen(3)
T:James Owen
J:Sean D Bowen(3)
T:James Owen
129 p 546317
70
87
62
20d +5
16.8
1.88/1
15/2
12%
7f win last month but not in the same form latest; has a rare 6f run today
2 (4)
Dion Baker
Bay
J:Taylor Fisher(3)
T:Michael Wigham
J:Taylor Fisher(3)
T:Michael Wigham
133 p 014127
75
87
57
21d +9
19.6
2.50/1
10/1
9%
Three 7f turf wins this year; drops in class and should make a bold bid
3 (1)
Legend Of Leros
Bay
J:Jordan Williams(5)
T:David Evans
J:Jordan Williams(5)
T:David Evans
133 050070
69
81
47
14d +3
5.2
16.50/1
66/1
1%
Struggled for new yard, including dropped to 6f here two weeks ago; plenty to prove
6 (6)
Rajwaan
Bay
J:Ross Coakley
T:Bernard Llewellyn
J:Ross Coakley
T:Bernard Llewellyn
127 7731/9
67
77
-
8d +4
4.4
50.00/1
200/1
0%
Low-key return from 714-day absence at Leicester last week (stable debut); no appeal
5 (3)
Okami
Bay
J:William Carson
T:Laura Mongan
J:William Carson
T:Laura Mongan
127 p 00-797
65
76
-
68d +3
3.9
50.00/1
200/1
0%
Struggled for current stable and can't be backed with confidence
Horse bet365 Coral Virgin Bet
Hierarchy
4/5 5/6 4/5
Treacherous
4/1 4/1 4/1
Aidan Andabettin
6/1 11/2 6/1
Pinball Wizard
15/2 15/2 15/2
Dion Baker
10/1 8/1 8/1
Legend Of Leros
66/1 50/1 50/1
Rajwaan
200/1 100/1 150/1
Okami
200/1 125/1 150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Hierarchy
32.4
OR: 6.3 Form: 9.9 Odds: 16.3
5/6
2nd Treacherous
20
OR: 6.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.2
4/1
3rd Dion Baker
19.6
OR: 6.3 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.9
10/1
4 Pinball Wizard
16.8
OR: 5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.3
15/2
5 Aidan Andabettin
13.3
OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4
6/1
6 Legend Of Leros
5.2
OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
66/1
7 Rajwaan
4.4
OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
200/1
8 Okami
3.9
OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
200/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Hierarchy
75
88
71
Treacherous
75
96
Aidan Andabettin
75
98
75
Dion Baker
75
87
57
Pinball Wizard
70
87
62
Legend Of Leros
69
81
47
Rajwaan
67
77
Okami
65
76

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Hierarchy 2d ago Quick return
Rajwaan 8d ago Quick return
Legend Of Leros 14d ago Fit
Pinball Wizard 20d ago Fit
Dion Baker 21d ago Fit
Aidan Andabettin 26d ago Fit
Treacherous 38d ago Fit
Okami 68d ago Fresh

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
Dion Baker Mid-Pack
Hierarchy Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 8 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.