Unibet More Extra Place Races Nursery Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

16:35

Unibet More Extra Place Races Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-10-23

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 12.48s (slow by 1.38s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Spiritualism (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Amy Murphy	28/1	Won
2nd	Rogue Bullet (IRE) Luke Morris · Jack Jones	10/1	.75
3rd	Rare Change (IRE) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	9/2	0.2
4th	Curzon (GB) Harry Davies · Martyn Meade	7/1	0.2
5th	Forager (GB) William Carson · Simon Pearce	25/1	1.25
6th	Number (IRE) Neil Callan · John Butler	15/2	.5
7th	Fort Augustus (GB) Jamie Spencer · Charles Hills	7/4F	1
8th	Kokabah (GB) Silvestre De Sousa · Roger Varian	16/1	0.2
9th	Beautiful Things (IRE) Paddy Bradley · Michael Attwater	66/1	0.2
10th	Cristalino (IRE) David Egan · Kevin Philippart De Foy	40/1	2.5
11th	Skellig Isle (GB) Oisin Murphy · Tom Ward	17/2	1
12th	Sweet Sonata (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Rod Millman	20/1	5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (6)	Fort Augustus Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Charles Hills	J:Jamie Spencer T:Charles Hills	135	—	5432	75	82	71	14d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-8	22.7	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Improved effort when 2nd over C&D on nursery debut two weeks ago (well backed); contender
3 (11)	Rare Change Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	134	p	643346	74	81	-	40d	—	—	-3	12.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Below par in blinkers latest; change of headgear for this AW debut
5 (9)	Curzon Bay J:Harry Davies T:Martyn Meade	J:Harry Davies T:Martyn Meade	133	—	452	73	80	-	14d	—	—	+3	13.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Promise in his three turf runs; likely improver switched to AW for nursery debut
9 (1)	Number Bay J:Neil Callan T:John Butler	J:Neil Callan T:John Butler	130	—	352406	70	77	64	10d	—	—	0	9.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Six-race maiden who isn't progressing; others may prove better handicapped
2 (12)	Skellig Isle Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Tom Ward	J:Oisin Murphy T:Tom Ward	135	—	04103	75	81	72	14d	—	—	+8	16.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
5f turf win in Aug; similar form when 3rd over C&D latest (Fort Augustus 2nd); wide draw
8 (3)	Rogue Bullet Bay J:Luke Morris T:Jack Jones	J:Luke Morris T:Jack Jones	130	b	544657	70	80	-	21d	—	—	-1	7.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has left the impression a bigger effort could be imminent; new headgear; one to consider
6 (5)	Kokabah Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	131	—	0934	71	80	-	55d	—	—	+2	9.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Below par on heavy ground latest; earlier Nottingham third was encouraging; nursery debut
4 (7)	Sweet Sonata Chestnut J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	134	—	861464	74	79	69	14d	—	—	+5	10.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Met trouble in running when 4th behind two of these rivals over C&D last time; e-w shout
11 (2)	Forager Bay J:William Carson T:Simon Pearce	J:William Carson T:Simon Pearce	129	h	52130	69	81	64	18d	—	—	+11	14.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Conditions no problem but disappointing on nursery debut; this weaker than last time
10 (4)	Spiritualism Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Amy Murphy	J:Hollie Doyle T:Amy Murphy	130	tb	4393	70	78	65	48d	—	—	+8	10.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Three fair efforts from her four starts but her opening mark looks tough enough
12 (8)	Cristalino Bay J:David Egan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:David Egan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	129	—	7305	69	78	64	64d	—	—	+2	8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Best run came over C&D; didn't look ahead of her mark at Wolverhampton when last seen
7 (10)	Beautiful Things Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	131	—	84932	71	80	65	22d	—	—	+11	12.9	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Placed in both nurseries but she will need a step forward to gain a breakthrough win

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Fort Augustus	13/8	7/4	13/8	13/8	13/8
Rare Change	6/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2
Curzon	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1	15/2
Number	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Skellig Isle	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Rogue Bullet	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Kokabah	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Sweet Sonata	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Forager	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Spiritualism	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Cristalino	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Beautiful Things	66/1	40/1	50/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fort Augustus

22.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 9.4

7/4

2nd

Skellig Isle

16.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 8 Odds: 2.2

10/1

3rd

Forager

14.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Curzon

13.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Beautiful Things

12.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Rare Change

12.8

OR: 6 Form: 2.4 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Sweet Sonata

10.6

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Spiritualism

10.2

OR: 5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Kokabah

9.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Number

9.2

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Cristalino

OR: 4.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

33/1

Rogue Bullet

7.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fort Augustus	75	82	71
Skellig Isle	75	81	72
Rare Change	74	81	—
Sweet Sonata	74	79	69
Curzon	73	80	—
Kokabah	71	80	—
Beautiful Things	71	80	65
Number	70	77	64
Rogue Bullet	70	80	—
Spiritualism	70	78	65
Forager	69	81	64
Cristalino	69	78	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Number	10d ago	Quick return
Fort Augustus	14d ago	Fit
Curzon	14d ago	Fit
Skellig Isle	14d ago	Fit
Sweet Sonata	14d ago	Fit
Forager	18d ago	Fit
Rogue Bullet	21d ago	Fit
Beautiful Things	22d ago	Fit
Rare Change	40d ago	Fit
Spiritualism	48d ago	Fresh
Kokabah	55d ago	Fresh
Cristalino	64d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.