Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

19:40

Date 2024-10-23

Distance 1m

Class Class 3

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £7,731

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
14 (11)	Dolce Courage Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	130	t	11-	89	105	-	358d	—	—	+15	31.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Unbeaten 4yo; opening mark looks fair but he's returning from 358 days on the sidelines
5 (8)	Silver Sword Grey J:G Cheyne T:Dylan Cunha	J:G Cheyne T:Dylan Cunha	134	—	488700	93	107	-	25d	—	—	-2	16	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Struggled in 2024 and could prove vulnerable despite today's drop in class
6 (13)	Whitcombe Rockstar Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	133	t	110111	92	107	72	46d	—	—	+22	39.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
5-6 in 2024, four of the wins C&D; defied wide draw latest; big player despite 6lb rise
11 (12)	Gloucestershire b/br J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Martyn Meade	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Martyn Meade	131	—	/342-3	90	104	-	157d	—	—	+5	16.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Lightly raced for his age and generally reliable; 1m perhaps too sharp after a break
9 (14)	Merlin The Wizard Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Harry Charlton	J:Hollie Doyle T:Harry Charlton	133	—	510-07	92	104	-	74d	—	—	+6	12.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Three wins as a 3yo but down the field in both starts this year; still high in weights
13 (6)	Mortlake Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Ralph Beckett	J:Edward Greatrex T:Ralph Beckett	130	—	15-030	92	103	-	83d	—	—	+6	12.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Two good efforts on fast turf; even those runs will need bettering if he is to win this
3 (1)	Fantasy Believer Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	134	—	9-1119	93	104	87	32d	—	—	+7	12.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Slow starter but in fine form this summer; lacklustre run on heavy latest; drops in trip
1 (10)	Gorak Bay J:David Egan T:Charlie Fellowes	J:David Egan T:Charlie Fellowes	136	p	420033	95	106	-	53d	—	—	+14	18.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Several good runs in defeat this year and he's a contender despite top weight
2 (5)	Tempus Bay J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Archie Watson	J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Archie Watson	134	b	702449	93	108	-	47d	—	—	+9	13.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Conditions to suit and on dangerous mark; had an excuse for disappointing run last time
7 (3)	Bless Him Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	133	h	300809	92	105	-	74d	—	—	+7	11.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Good 3rd in the Victoria Cup on his reappearance; now 6lb lower but he has struggled since
12 (2)	Love De Vega Chestnut J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Charlie Johnston	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	916286	90	104	-	28d	—	—	+11	15.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Not much room for error off this mark and likely there will be better-treated rivals
10 (9)	Lion Of War Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	131	b	289-90	90	102	-	25d	—	—	+7	11	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Comes here under a cloud but down in weights and won only AW start by a wide margin
8 (7)	Under The Sun Bay J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	133	b	-45079	95	103	60	32d	—	—	+10	11.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Not beaten a rival in last three starts; drops in trip and class with blinkers now tried
4 (4)	Excel Power Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	134	p	-07848	93	102	84	95d	—	—	+9	11.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
On losing run; down in weights and return to AW a plus; others still look more convincing

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Dolce Courage	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Silver Sword	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Whitcombe Rockstar	4/1	7/2	4/1	4/1	9/2
Gloucestershire	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Merlin The Wizard	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Mortlake	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Fantasy Believer	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Gorak	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Tempus	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	18/1
Bless Him	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Love De Vega	20/1	18/1	20/1	14/1	18/1
Lion Of War	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Under The Sun	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Excel Power	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Whitcombe Rockstar

39.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 24 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Dolce Courage

31.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 17 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Gorak

18.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Gloucestershire

16.3

OR: 10 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Silver Sword

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Love De Vega

15.9

OR: 10 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Tempus

13.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Merlin The Wizard

12.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Mortlake

12.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Fantasy Believer

12.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Bless Him

11.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Under The Sun

11.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Excel Power

11.5

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Lion Of War

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gorak	95	106	—
Under The Sun	95	103	60
Silver Sword	93	107	—
Fantasy Believer	93	104	87
Tempus	93	108	—
Excel Power	93	102	84
Whitcombe Rockstar	92	107	72
Merlin The Wizard	92	104	—
Mortlake	92	103	—
Bless Him	92	105	—
Gloucestershire	90	104	—
Love De Vega	90	104	—
Lion Of War	90	102	—
Dolce Courage	89	105	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Silver Sword	25d ago	Fit
Lion Of War	25d ago	Fit
Love De Vega	28d ago	Fit
Fantasy Believer	32d ago	Fit
Under The Sun	32d ago	Fit
Whitcombe Rockstar	46d ago	Fresh
Tempus	47d ago	Fresh
Gorak	53d ago	Fresh
Merlin The Wizard	74d ago	Fresh
Bless Him	74d ago	Fresh
Mortlake	83d ago	Fresh
Excel Power	95d ago	Long break
Gloucestershire	157d ago	Long break
Dolce Courage	358d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.