Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Chase – Southwell

Southwell

14:43

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Chase

Date 2024-10-23

Distance 1m7f182y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,545

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Duke Of Luckley Bay J:James Best T:Martin Keighley	J:James Best T:Martin Keighley	166	v	21-622	108	113	89	90d	—	—	-6	23.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Went close again latest; up 3lb; consistent; should be involved again, back down in trip.
1	Mr Mackay Chestnut J:Mr Toby McCain-Mitchell(7) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Mr Toby McCain-Mitchell(7) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	168	p	247-34	110	116	96	27d	—	—	-4	23.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
2m3f hurdle winner; didn't jump fluently enough at Perth latest; cheekpieces go on.
5	Neigh Botha Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	155	tp	-13P34	97	115	109	5d	—	—	+4	21	1.00/1	4/1 20%
C&D winner in June, when 5lb lower; has taken a few backward steps since; bit to prove.
4	Fancy Stuff Brown J:Brian Hughes T:Tom Gretton	J:Brian Hughes T:Tom Gretton	161	t	666-11	103	115	80	137d	—	—	+2	17.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Seeking a hat-trick; up in grade but may not yet have reached the ceiling of her ability.
2	Sea Prince Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Alex Hales	J:Bryan Carver T:Alex Hales	166	tp	-U17P6	108	115	66	15d	—	—	+12	17.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Well treated on best chase form; returns to a more suitable trip and headgear goes on.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Duke Of Luckley	2/1	2/1	2/1	15/8	9/4
Mr Mackay	2/1	9/4	2/1	9/4	2/1
Neigh Botha	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Fancy Stuff	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1	11/2
Sea Prince	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Duke Of Luckley

23.4

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

9/4

2nd

Mr Mackay

23.4

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

Neigh Botha

OR: 11.8 Form: 4.3 Odds: 5

4/1

Sea Prince

17.9

OR: 14.5 Form: 1.7 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Fancy Stuff

17.7

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mr Mackay	110	116	96
Duke Of Luckley	108	113	89
Sea Prince	108	115	66
Fancy Stuff	103	115	80
Neigh Botha	97	115	109

Last Run