attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Hurdle – Southwell

Southwell

17:00

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-10-23

Distance 1m7f182y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,542

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Goblet Of Fire Bay J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	165	—	414-4	108	109	81	—	—	—	-2	21.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Progressive on Flat since June (form 11312); could be nicely weighted off a mark of 108.
1	Toonagh Warrior Chestnut J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	170	—	26424-	112	113	102	184d	—	—	+9	24.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Reliable since winning at Wetherby last November; eases in grade on seasonal reappearance.
4	Jeudidee Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey	J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey	163	t	3-6F63	105	111	55	17d	—	—	+4	20.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Various mishaps since trying hand over fences; fairly treated returning to hurdles; place?
2	Forget The Way Bay J:Mr Alex Chadwick(5) T:James Owen	J:Mr Alex Chadwick(5) T:James Owen	166	tp	U24365	108	113	92	20d	—	—	+9	20.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Beaten a short-head off this mark at Worcester (2m) in June; latest run okay; cheekpieces.
5	Ascension Day Bay J:William Maggs(5) T:Shaun Lycett	J:William Maggs(5) T:Shaun Lycett	162	—	32-224	104	116	93	107d	—	—	+7	16.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Runner-up in three of last four starts, only just denied over C&D (good) in May; respected
8	Jack The Savage Bay J:James Martin(5) T:Laura Horsfall	J:James Martin(5) T:Laura Horsfall	154	t	-26534	96	117	96	—	—	—	+9	16.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Rated 7lb lower than when scoring at Huntingdon (2m) last October; poor Flat run recently.
9	Prospect House Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Peter Niven	J:Brian Hughes T:Peter Niven	142	p	72P1-5	84	106	69	25d	—	—	+5	9.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Off the mark at Market Rasen (2m2f, good) in September 2023; scarcely seen since.
7	Clear The Runway Bay J:Benjamin Macey(7) T:L J Morgan	J:Benjamin Macey(7) T:L J Morgan	159	—	5P-670	101	110	71	30d	—	—	+10	14	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Prolific in 2022; has struggled for 18 months or so now, though; risky proposition.
6	John Betjeman Bay J:Theo Gillard T:Mark Gillard	J:Theo Gillard T:Mark Gillard	162	b	7333-4	104	117	107	—	—	—	+11	14.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Yet to win away from Ffos Las; "stopped quickly" when last seen on Flat at Bath in June.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Goblet Of Fire	9/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4
Toonagh Warrior	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Jeudidee	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	6/1
Forget The Way	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Ascension Day	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1
Jack The Savage	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Prospect House	18/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Clear The Runway	18/1	16/1	18/1	20/1	16/1
John Betjeman	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Toonagh Warrior

24.4

OR: 15.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Goblet Of Fire

21.8

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Jeudidee

20.6

OR: 13.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.7

6/1

Forget The Way

20.3

OR: 14.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Jack The Savage

16.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Ascension Day

16.2

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

John Betjeman

14.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Clear The Runway

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Prospect House

9.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Toonagh Warrior	112	113	102
Goblet Of Fire	108	109	81
Forget The Way	108	113	92
Jeudidee	105	111	55
Ascension Day	104	116	93
John Betjeman	104	117	107
Clear The Runway	101	110	71
Jack The Savage	96	117	96
Prospect House	84	106	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jeudidee	17d ago	Fit
Forget The Way	20d ago	Fit
Prospect House	25d ago	Fit
Clear The Runway	30d ago	Fit
Ascension Day	107d ago	Long break
Toonagh Warrior	184d ago	Long break
Goblet Of Fire	—	—
Jack The Savage	—	—
John Betjeman	—	—