Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

17:30

Date 2024-11-11

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,211

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	North Star Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	128	—	2	-	86	37	24d	—	—	-25	20	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Promising debut in C&D contest, beating all bar a rival who ran well in Listed grade since
5 (9)	Pineal Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Newcomer by Pinatubo and from a good family; notable connections; respected
3 (1)	Majaz Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Roger Varian	J:Jim Crowley T:Roger Varian	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	5.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
450,000gns yearling; by Dubawi; major connections; interesting debutante
1 (5)	Searchingtheblues Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Mark Usher	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Mark Usher	137	—	11	89	90	65	105d	—	—	+18	30.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Two from two, both wins over 7f on AW in July; limitations are not yet exposed
6 (10)	Platinum Crystal Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	7	-	71	-	17d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Beat only one rival at Doncaster but may do better over this shorter trip
8 (8)	Shwaimah Bay J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Useful female line bodes well for her future; runs in same colours as her dam
2 (6)	Like A Vision Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	128	—	7	-	62	-	59d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Came up well short in Doncaster maiden but is open to improvement
10 (2)	Yellow Dream Chestnut J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	128	—	5	-	65	20	24d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Finished just over 6l behind North Star in C&D event
7 (4)	Rosezan Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Harrison Shaw T:Adrian Paul Keatley	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
38,000gns yearling; by Ardad; one of four newcomers in the field
9 (3)	Sovereign Applause Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	128	—	7	-	14	-	14d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Brings the worst piece of form, having trailed home last at Redcar

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
North Star	10/11	evn	10/11	5/6	10/11
Pineal	11/4	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4
Majaz	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Searchingtheblues	8/1	7/1	15/2	8/1	7/1
Platinum Crystal	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Shwaimah	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Like A Vision	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1
Yellow Dream	150/1	150/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Rosezan	150/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	150/1
Sovereign Applause	250/1	250/1	250/1	250/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Searchingtheblues

30.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 17 Odds: 3.3

8/1

2nd

North Star

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 15

10/11

3rd

Pineal

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Majaz

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

5/1

Platinum Crystal

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Shwaimah

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Like A Vision

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Yellow Dream

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Rosezan

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Sovereign Applause

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Searchingtheblues	89	90	65
North Star	—	86	37
Pineal	—	—	—
Majaz	—	—	—
Platinum Crystal	—	71	—
Shwaimah	—	—	—
Like A Vision	—	62	—
Yellow Dream	—	65	20
Rosezan	—	—	—
Sovereign Applause	—	14	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sovereign Applause	14d ago	Fit
Platinum Crystal	17d ago	Fit
North Star	24d ago	Fit
Yellow Dream	24d ago	Fit
Like A Vision	59d ago	Fresh
Searchingtheblues	105d ago	Long break
Pineal	—	—
Majaz	—	—
Shwaimah	—	—
Rosezan	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.