Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:30

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-11-11

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (5)	Buzz Box Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	136	—	6-1245	71	82	70	13d	—	—	-9	11.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Lightly raced and won't mind the return to 5f, having hung left throughout here latest
6 (3)	Honour Your Dreams Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Appleby	J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Appleby	133	t	831252	68	83	65	18d	—	—	+2	21.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Didn't quite see it out over 6f on Tapeta last time; goes on the shortlist back over 5f
2 (2)	Brummell Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	136	—	189332	71	83	67	20d	—	—	0	19.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Another solid effort on his first run (turf) since wind surgery; player
7 (6)	Herakles Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	130	—	669652	65	84	71	14d	—	—	-2	13.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Dual C&D winner who's consistent and arrives in form; hard to leave out of the equation
1 (1)	Thunder Star Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	137	p	426763	72	83	-	10d	—	—	+2	12.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Showed more back in cheekpieces last time and this is less competitive than she's used to
4 (7)	Zuffolo Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	135	b	314412	70	85	61	14d	—	—	+13	21.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
C&D winner off the same mark this time last year; consistent spell since blinkers went on
5 (4)	Brian The Snail Grey J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Patrick Morris	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Patrick Morris	135	p	195406	70	78	71	14d	—	—	+2	6.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Rated a stone higher on the AW than turf; comfortably held behind Herakles over C&D latest

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Buzz Box	7/2	7/2	11/4
Honour Your Dreams	7/2	7/2	3/1
Brummell	7/2	10/3	7/2
Herakles	9/2	9/2	11/2
Thunder Star	13/2	13/2	15/2
Zuffolo	8/1	8/1	8/1
Brian The Snail	20/1	20/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zuffolo

21.5

OR: 5 Form: 14 Odds: 2.5

8/1

2nd

Honour Your Dreams

21.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 11.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Brummell

19.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Herakles

13.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Thunder Star

12.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 4 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Buzz Box

11.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Brian The Snail

6.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Thunder Star	72	83	—
Buzz Box	71	82	70
Brummell	71	83	67
Zuffolo	70	85	61
Brian The Snail	70	78	71
Honour Your Dreams	68	83	65
Herakles	65	84	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Thunder Star	10d ago	Quick return
Buzz Box	13d ago	Quick return
Herakles	14d ago	Fit
Zuffolo	14d ago	Fit
Brian The Snail	14d ago	Fit
Honour Your Dreams	18d ago	Fit
Brummell	20d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.