Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:50

Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap

Date 2024-11-11

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 2m 11.91s (slow by 4.41s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sambucus (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Ed Walker	7/4F	Won
2nd	Rock Armour (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · John Butler	4/1	1.25
3rd	Countess Candy (GB) David Allan · Conrad Allen	100/30	1
4th	Volcanology (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Charlie Johnston	9/1	7
5th	Run For The Sun (IRE) David Egan · Ed Dunlop	11/2	2.75
6th	Redondo (GB) Jason Hart · Daragh Bourke	22/1	8
7th	Rainproof (GB) David Nolan · Patrick Morris	25/1	21

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Sambucus Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ed Walker	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ed Walker	135	—	34866	68	80	-	20d	—	—	-15	14	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Five-race maiden; improvement is not out of the question, provided she takes well to AW
1 (5)	Countess Candy Chestnut J:David Allan T:Conrad Allen	J:David Allan T:Conrad Allen	137	—	313	70	77	24	38d	—	—	+3	22.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Form figures of 313 reflect a solid start to her career, the win over C&D; respected
7 (7)	Rock Armour Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:John Butler	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:John Butler	125	—	35600	58	73	43	37d	—	—	-10	7.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Regressive five-race maiden; has finished last in both handicap starts
4 (3)	Run For The Sun Bay J:David Egan T:Ed Dunlop	J:David Egan T:Ed Dunlop	132	—	45-334	65	80	-	14d	—	—	-6	7.8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Seven-race maiden whose 2024 efforts suggest this new trip is worth exploring; interesting
6 (2)	Volcanology Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	126	—	-57300	59	77	27	28d	—	—	-3	6.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Inconsistent since maiden win last autumn; best form gives her a fighting chance
5 (4)	Redondo Bay J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	130	—	831400	63	78	45	13d	—	—	+4	7.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Won at this course in February but has a question mark over current form
3 (1)	Rainproof Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	132	—	53-6	65	73	-	61d	—	—	+1	4.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Perhaps needed her belated reappearance in September; makes AW/handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Sambucus	15/8	2/1	15/8	7/4	7/4
Countess Candy	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	3/1
Rock Armour	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Run For The Sun	9/2	5/1	9/2	5/1	9/2
Volcanology	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Redondo	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Rainproof	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Countess Candy

22.2

OR: 5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Sambucus

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 8.9

2/1

3rd

Redondo

7.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Run For The Sun

7.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Rock Armour

7.6

OR: 2 Form: 0.6 Odds: 5

9/2

Volcanology

6.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Rainproof

4.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Countess Candy	70	77	24
Sambucus	68	80	—
Run For The Sun	65	80	—
Rainproof	65	73	—
Redondo	63	78	45
Volcanology	59	77	27
Rock Armour	58	73	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Redondo	13d ago	Quick return
Run For The Sun	14d ago	Fit
Sambucus	20d ago	Fit
Volcanology	28d ago	Fit
Rock Armour	37d ago	Fit
Countess Candy	38d ago	Fit
Rainproof	61d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.