BetMGM: It's Showtime Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:00

BetMGM: It's Showtime Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-11-11

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 30.73s (slow by 6.93s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Laurens Dream (GB) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	11/2	Won
2nd	Clever Jack (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Ed Dunlop	7/4F	0.2
3rd	A Fine Claret (IRE) Pierre-Louis Jamin · K R Burke	11/4	1
4th	Paulie Two Lockers (IRE) David Nolan · Richard Fahey	13/2	1.25
4th	Invincible Love (GB) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	16/1	0
6th	Fastnet Jenkins (IRE) Sam James · Grant Tuer	13/2	.5

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Clever Jack Roan J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Dunlop	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Dunlop	135	—	098	60	67	-	28d	—	—	-17	10.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Beaten a long way in three runs to date at huge prices (6f-1m); would want to see support
6 (6)	A Fine Claret Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	122	p	94882	47	70	51	7d	—	—	-11	11.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Best effort yet, upped to this trip in first-time cheekpieces last Tuesday; leading claims
3 (1)	Laurens Dream Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	134	—	58432	59	69	-	14d	—	—	-4	15.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Had Paulie Two Lockers behind when a clear second on heavy ground latest; shortlisted
1 (3)	Paulie Two Lockers Bay J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	135	p	766954	60	67	34	14d	—	—	-6	5.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Had issues at the stalls and been inclined to hang right; need to improve on his AW debut
4 (4)	Fastnet Jenkins Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	128	—	89745	53	67	48	10d	—	—	-7	3.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Pulled hard and didn't see it out over 1m here ten days ago; should do better back at 7f
5 (2)	Invincible Love Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	126	—	86805	51	69	25	10d	—	—	-3	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Not been seeing it out in sprints, including down to 5f here ten days ago; hard to fancy

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Clever Jack	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	9/4
A Fine Claret	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4
Laurens Dream	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	3/1
Paulie Two Lockers	7/1	7/1	7/1	6/1	8/1
Fastnet Jenkins	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1	6/1
Invincible Love	14/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Laurens Dream

15.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5.7

9/2

2nd

A Fine Claret

11.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 6.9

11/4

3rd

Clever Jack

10.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Paulie Two Lockers

5.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Fastnet Jenkins

3.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Invincible Love

1.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Clever Jack	60	67	—
Paulie Two Lockers	60	67	34
Laurens Dream	59	69	—
Fastnet Jenkins	53	67	48
Invincible Love	51	69	25
A Fine Claret	47	70	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
A Fine Claret	7d ago	Quick return
Fastnet Jenkins	10d ago	Quick return
Invincible Love	10d ago	Quick return
Laurens Dream	14d ago	Fit
Paulie Two Lockers	14d ago	Fit
Clever Jack	28d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.